Navigant Research estimates that there are approximately 47,000 distribution substations (D-subs) across the United States, including privately owned substations (such as for large commercial sites or military bases), and another 12,500 transmission substations. We understand that the vast majority of critical transmission substations are automated—that is, they are connected to utility operations centers by communications networks, which allow personnel to monitor and control what happens inside these substations.
When it comes to the distribution grid, however, the level of visibility and automation in substations varies widely. Some utilities report that they have brought fiber to virtually all of their substations; others indicate that their visibility into the distribution grid is limited. We know that this is changing and that the percentage of D-subs with connectivity and automation capabilities is growing, but we also know that those sites historically served by leased copper lines for supervisory control and data acquisition (SCADA) are now in need of a new solution as telephone companies abandon their legacy copper networks.
Our present forecasts for automated substations estimate that total distribution grid substation connectivity was approximately 34% at the end of 2014; over the next 8 years, Navigant Research expects D-sub connectivity to exceed 50%.
Whither Substation Automation?
These figures are important for quantifying the evolution of the smart grid. You can’t have an estimate for automated substations if you don’t know how many substations there are to begin with. Absent government databases, though, it can be tough to nail down infrastructure statistics like these, and so I’m turning to the readers of this blog.
I’d like to invite readers to share anecdotal or specific data related to a few key questions related to overall infrastructure and the status of smart technology deployment.
What do you think? What percentage of your distribution substations are connected? What technologies (fiber, microwave, T-1, etc.) are used for that connectivity? How quickly, if at all, is your company investing in D-sub connectivity, and why? Interesting anecdotes related to the topic of substation automation are welcome! I hope you’ll take the time to send your thoughts and data points to email@example.com.
Next time around I’ll explore distribution feeder automation and other distribution grid smart technology. Below is our forecast for distribution substation connectivity, which underlies the networking forecasts in the Navigant Research report, Smart Grid Networking and Communications.
United States Distribution Substation Connectivity Outlook
(Source: Navigant Research)