Fastest Growth in Wind Power Will Occur in Emerging Markets

January 27, 2014

Several factors, including austerity measures implemented in a number of European economies and boom-and-bust cycles in the United States caused by fluctuating policy on production tax credits, are combining to limit the growth of wind power markets across much of the developed world in the coming years.  At the same time, demand for wind power in Africa and the former Soviet Union is growing.  Click to tweet: According to a new report from Navigant Research, while many established markets are experiencing flat or single-digit growth rates, the average compound annual growth rate for 10 selected emerging wind markets in Africa and the former Soviet Union from 2013 to 2023 will be 21.9 percent.

“Amidst the slowdown in the established markets, the demand for wind power in certain emerging markets will make these regions critical to the global wind market,” says Feng Zhao, research director with Navigant Research.  “The opportunities arising in these underserved regions will not only help reduce the exposure of wind turbine manufacturers to ups and downs in the mainstream wind power markets, but will also hold the key for current leading turbine suppliers to maintain their leadership in the future.”

Many of these countries are starting from installed bases near zero, but will experience rapid growth starting around 2015, according to the report.  South Africa’s Renewable Energy Independent Power Producer Procurement program, which calls for 3,320 megawatts (MW) of wind power, has been attractive for foreign investors since its launch in December 2011.  In Russia, the world’s largest country by area, about two-thirds of the hinterland is beyond the reach of the centralized power grid, and wind provides the ideal solution for isolated communities that rely on expensive fuel for power generation.

The report, “Emerging Wind Markets Assessment”, provides a comprehensive view of the wind power market dynamics at play in 10 emerging markets in Africa and the former Soviet Union.  The report offers country profiles that include a broad description of each country’s macroeconomy, energy structure, and utility system, as well as detailed information about wind resources, latest market status, regulatory framework, local supply chain, and wind-related infrastructures.  Market forecasts for wind power installations, capacity, and market share in the 10 selected markets in Africa and the former Soviet Union, segmented by country, company, and fuel source, extend through 2023.  Outlooks based on current project pipelines and drivers and challenges identified in each market are also included in each profile.  An Executive Summary of the report is available for free download on the Navigant Research website.

Contact: Richard Martin

+1.303.493.5483

richard.martin@navigant.com

* The information contained in this press release concerning the report, “Emerging Wind Markets Assessment,” is a summary and reflects Navigant Research’s current expectations based on market data and trend analysis. Market predictions and expectations are inherently uncertain and actual results may differ materially from those contained in this press release or the report. Please refer to the full report for a complete understanding of the assumptions underlying the report’s conclusions and the methodologies used to create the report. Neither Navigant Research nor Navigant undertakes any obligation to update any of the information contained in this press release or the report.

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