Sales of Electric Trucks and Buses Are Expected to Reach Nearly 160,000 Annually by 2023

January 29, 2015

Penetration rates in the overall market for commercial vehicles are anticipated to remain low, report finds

A new report from Navigant Research analyzes the global market for commercial vehicles that use electric drive vehicle technology, including global market forecasts for sales and the number of vehicles in use, segmented by country, drivetrain, and liquid fuel, through 2023.

All electric power for commercial vehicles has always been a challenge, because of the sheer size of the battery packs required to store and deliver enough energy to drive heavy vehicles over practical distances.  As battery technology improves, though, electric hybrid vehicles are now gaining traction in commercial applications where the technology offers significant benefits for drive cycles that involve a lot of city driving in stop-start traffic.  Click to tweet: According to a new report from Navigant Research, worldwide sales of electric drive and electric-assisted commercial vehicles are expected to grow from less than 16,000 in 2014 to nearly 160,000 in 2023.

“Overall, we expect diesel hybrid drive to remain the most popular of the electrically assisted medium- and heavy-duty vehicle powertrains for the whole of the forecast period,” says David Alexander, senior research analyst with Navigant Research.  “Battery-electric commercial vehicles will also see growth in demand within urban fleets that average low daily mileage.”

Global penetration of electric-drive trucks and buses is anticipated to remain low, according to the report, increasing from 0.4% in 2014 to 2.9% in 2023.  The highest penetration levels will occur in regions with dense urban conglomerations where governments are taking steps to reduce emissions of greenhouse gases from city traffic.  The highest sales penetration rate for a country is expected to be in Japan, where it is forecast to reach 21.2% by 2023.

The report, “Electric Drive Trucks and Buses,” analyzes the global market for commercial vehicles that use electric drive vehicle technology in three main segments: hybrid electric vehicles (HEVs), plug-in hybrid electric vehicles (PHEVs), and battery electric vehicles (BEVs). Forecasts for the two hybrid segments fueled partly by petroleum derivatives (PHEVs and HEVs) are broken out by region and by fuel: gasoline or diesel. Global market forecasts for sales and the number of vehicles in use, segmented by country, drivetrain, and liquid fuel, extend through 2023.  An Executive Summary of the report is available for free download on the Navigant Research website.

Contact: Richard Martin

+1.303.493.5483

richard.martin@navigant.com

* The information contained in this press release concerning the report, “Electric Drive Trucks and Buses,” is a summary and reflects Navigant Research’s current expectations based on market data and trend analysis. Market predictions and expectations are inherently uncertain and actual results may differ materially from those contained in this press release or the report. Please refer to the full report for a complete understanding of the assumptions underlying the report’s conclusions and the methodologies used to create the report. Neither Navigant Research nor Navigant undertakes any obligation to update any of the information contained in this press release or the report.

Register to Receive Updates

Sign up or login to receive free newsletters, research updates, access to webinars, and other analyst content from Navigant Research.

Data Services

An interactive data visualization platform with online access to global forecasts spanning the energy, utility, transportation, and buildings industries.

More Information

Research News

Rss
The Global Market for Energy Efficient Building Technologies is Expected to Reach $360 Billion in 2026
Digitization is allowing improved building performance while also changing the competitive dynamics of the industry…
Read More »
Global Annual Capacity of Commercial & Industrial Microgrids is Expected to Skyrocket from 448 MW in 2017 to 5,389 MW by 2026
Technology trends are making cost-effective C&I microgrids increasingly attractive options A new report from Navigant…
Read More »
Mobility Services Enhanced by Automated Driving Could Result in Dramatically Fewer Vehicles on Roads by 2035
Battery electric vehicles are expected to account for 8 to 17 percent of the global…
Read More »
View All News

{"userID":"","pageName":"Sales of Electric Trucks and Buses Are Expected to Reach Nearly 160,000 Annually by 2023","path":"\/newsroom\/sales-of-electric-trucks-and-buses-are-expected-to-reach-nearly-160000-annually-by-2023","date":"5\/26\/2017"}