The Annual Installed Capacity of Distributed Generation is Expected to Double by 2023

December 5, 2014

Regulators, DG providers, and utilities are struggling over the future of DG business models, report concludes

A recent report from Navigant Research analyzes the global market for distributed generation (DG) technologies, including global market forecasts for installed capacity, revenue, and pricing through 2023.

Driven by cost reductions, government incentives, and rising interest in replacing fossil-fuel sources of energy, the global market for distributed electricity generation is expanding at a rapid pace.  One of the most important trends in the energy industry today, the dramatic growth of DG is threatening utility business models and giving customers new levels of control over the energy they consume.  Click to tweet: According to a recent report from Navigant Research, the worldwide installed capacity of distributed generation is expected to more than double in the next 9 years, growing from 87,300 megawatts annually in 2014 to more than 165,000 megawatts in 2023.

“Utilities in Western Europe are losing hundreds of billions of dollars in market capitalization as DG reaches higher levels of penetration in leading countries such as Germany, the United Kingdom, and Italy,” says Dexter Gauntlett, senior research analyst with Navigant Research.  “The prospect of similar losses by utilities in the United States is prompting a struggle among utilities, the DG industry, and regulators over the future of DG models.”

Modular distributed assets can adapt to a variety of different applications, each of which comes with different technical requirements, according to the report.  Increasingly, DG systems must be able to communicate with not only the utility grid, but also other DG assets – particularly when deployed within microgrids.

The report, “Global Distributed Generation Deployment Forecast,” analyzes the global market for DG technologies, including solar PV (<1 MW), small wind turbines (<500 kW), stationary fuel cells, natural gas generator sets (<6 MW), and diesel generator sets (<6 MW).  Installed capacity, revenue, and pricing forecasts are included for the time period of 2014-2023 for 54 countries.  The report also includes region- and country-specific market analyses, qualitative analysis of installed capacity by customer segment and/or power class for leading markets, and an overview of modeling assumptions.  An Executive Summary of the report is available for free download on the Navigant Research website.

Contact: Richard Martin


* The information contained in this press release concerning the report, “Global Distributed Generation Deployment Forecast,” is a summary and reflects Navigant Research’s current expectations based on market data and trend analysis. Market predictions and expectations are inherently uncertain and actual results may differ materially from those contained in this press release or the report. Please refer to the full report for a complete understanding of the assumptions underlying the report’s conclusions and the methodologies used to create the report. Neither Navigant Research nor Navigant undertakes any obligation to update any of the information contained in this press release or the report.

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