Automated Driving Vehicle Technologies

Lidar, Radar, Vision Sensor, Ultrasonic Sensor, and Compute Platform Technologies: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts

The development of automated driving is driven by multiple societal issues, including safety, air quality, energy use, and road congestion. Ever increasing computing power, new sensing technologies, software architecture advancements, electric propulsion, and wireless communications are enabling the development of vehicle components and vehicles that will eventually be able to drive in almost all road and weather conditions without human intervention. Each of these components can provide individual benefits, but the combination has a major societal effect.

The ability to wirelessly summon an automated vehicle (AV) of the right type for the trip a passenger is about to take has the potential to enhance personal mobility for a growing and aging population. As increasing degrees of automation come to market, AVs will need to be equipped with larger numbers of sophisticated sensors, higher performance compute platforms, and robust actuation systems. This report provides forecasts of the adoption and sales of the primary technologies required for vehicle automation, such as lidar, radar, cameras, and compute platforms. According to Navigant Research, the number of light duty vehicles sold globally with at least Level 2 capability will grow from more than 250,000 in 2017 to more than 93 million in 2026.

This Navigant Research report examines the technologies required to implement automated driving, with a focus on solutions that go above and beyond current driver assist systems, including perception and actuation systems, software, and compute platforms. The study provides an analysis of the major market and technology issues associated with the AV technologies required to enable highly automated driving capabilities. Global market forecasts for sensor and electronic control unit sales, segmented by technology and region, extend through 2026. The report also examines the major demand drivers and key industry players within the competitive landscape.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • How big is the market for perception systems for automated vehicles (AVs), including vision, ultrasonic, radar, and lidar?
  • What types of sensors are expected to be used at each level of automation and how many are required?
  • How much redundancy will be required and which components will require redundancy at each automation level?
  • What are the key forces driving each of these automated driving vehicle technologies?
  • What the roadblocks to the adoption of certain technologies?
  • What the pros and cons of the various technologies?
  • Which companies are developing these technologies and are likely to play a crucial role?
Who needs this report?
  • Vehicle manufacturers and service providers
  • Automotive industry suppliers
  • Commercial fleet managers
  • Carsharing and ride-hailing companies
  • Mobility service providers
  • Insurance companies
  • Government agencies
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1   Driving the Market for Automated Vehicle Technologies

1.2   Forecast Highlights

2. Market and Technology Issues

2.1   Automated Driving Technologies Definition and Scope

2.1.1   Report Scope

2.2   Automated Driving Vehicle Technologies

2.2.1   Perception Systems

2.2.1.1   Vision

2.2.1.2   Ultrasonic

2.2.1.3   Satellite Positioning

2.2.1.4   Lidar

2.2.1.5   Radar

2.2.1.6   Vehicle Measurement

2.2.1.7   Vehicle-to-External Communications

2.2.1.8   Telematics

2.2.2   Actuation Systems

2.2.2.1   Braking

2.2.2.2   Steering

2.2.3   Compute Platforms

2.2.4   Software

2.3   Electrical Power

2.4   Commercial Vehicles

3. Key Industry Players

3.1   OEMs

3.1.1   BMW

3.1.2   Daimler

3.1.3   Ford

3.1.4   Honda

3.1.5   GM

3.1.6   Hyundai Motor Group

3.1.7   International Truck

3.1.8   Renault-Nissan Alliance

3.1.9   PSA

3.1.10   Tesla

3.1.11   Volkswagen Group

3.1.12   Volvo Cars

3.1.13   Volvo Group

3.2   Suppliers

3.2.1   Autoliv/Zenuity

3.2.2   Baidu

3.2.3   Bosch

3.2.4   Continental

3.2.5   Delphi

3.2.6   Denso

3.2.7   Ibeo

3.2.8   Intel

3.2.9   Mobileye

3.2.10   nuTonomy

3.2.11   Nvidia

3.2.12   Peloton Technologies

3.2.13   Polysync

3.2.14   QNX

3.2.15   Quanergy Systems

3.2.16   Renesas Electronics Corporation

3.2.17   Texas Instruments

3.2.18   Uber

3.2.19   Waymo

3.2.20   Velodyne

3.2.21   ZF

4. Market Forecasts

4.1   Forecasts

4.1.1   Lidar

4.1.2   Radar

4.1.3   Vision

4.1.4   Ultrasonic

4.1.5   High Performance Compute Platform

4.2   Conclusions and Recommendations

5. Acronym and Abbreviation List
6. Table of Contents
7. Table of Charts and Figures
8. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • SAE J3016 Standard Core Reference for AVs
  • Lidar Point Cloud
  • Second-Generation Chevrolet Bolt EV Autonomous Prototype
  • Annual LDV Sales by Automation Level, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Automated Driving Level 4+ LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Lidar Sales by Region for Level 2, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Lidar Sales by Region for Level 3, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Lidar Sales by Region for Level 4+, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Lidar Sales by Region, Total, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Radar Sales by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Vision Sensor Sales by Region for Level 2, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Vision Sensor Sales by Region for Level 3, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Vision Sensor Sales by Region for Level 4+, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Vision Sensor Sales by Region, Total, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Ultrasonic Sensor Sales by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • High Performance Compute Platforms, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Redundant Compute Platforms, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Automated Driving Level 2 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Automated Driving Level 3 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Automated Driving LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026

List of Tables

  • Annual LDV Sales by Automation Level, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Automated Driving Level 2 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Automated Driving Level 3 LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Automated Driving Level 4+ LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Automated Driving LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Lidar Sales by Region for Level 2, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Lidar Sales by Region for Level 3, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Lidar Sales by Region for Level 4+, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Lidar Sales by Region for all Levels, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Radar Sales by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Vision Sensor Sales by Region for Level 2, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Vision Sensor Sales by Region for Level 3, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Vision Sensor Sales by Region for Level 4+, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Vision Sensor Sales by Region, Total, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Ultrasonic Sensor Sales by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • High Performance Compute Platforms, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Redundant Compute Platforms, World Markets: 2017-2026

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