Driven by tightening environmental regulations, competition from natural gas plants, and public pressure for cleaner sources of electricity, utilities will retire record numbers of aging coal plants between 2013 and 2020. Coal plant owners face a complex series of decisions around these plants, including whether to convert them to natural gas combustion, how best to accomplish the decommissioning process, how to replace the generating capacity, and what the eventual disposition of the facility and the land will be.
At the same time, the coming wave of retirements offers large opportunities to the companies that will carry out the decommissioning processes: consultants; engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) companies; demolition companies; environmental remediation firms; and so on. While retirements will occur in many countries, the majority will take place in North America and Western Europe, as countries in Asia Pacific, for example, continue on a path of major coal generation additions in the next 2 decades. Navigant Research forecasts that the market for coal plant decommissioning in North America and Europe will grow from $455 million in 2013 to $1.3 billion by 2016, declining rapidly thereafter. Cumulative revenue from 2013 to 2020 will total $5.3 billion.
This Navigant Research report examines the market for coal plant decommissioning, taking into account the full range of options (conversion to alternative fuel, mothballing plants and leaving them in place for possible future restarts, complete demolition and remediation, and so on) for plant owners in deciding the fate of these facilities. The report includes forecasts for North America and Western Europe for both numbers of coal plant retirements and revenue from coal plant decommissioning, through 2020. Key players in this market are profiled, and conclusions and recommendations for both plant owners and providers of decommissioning services are provided as well.
Key Questions Addressed:
- How many coal plants will be retired from 2013 to 2020?
- What decisions will plant owners face in retiring and disposing of these plants?
- What types of companies will supply coal plant decommissioning services?
- How much will a typical decommissioning project cost?
- How much revenue will be generated by coal plant decommissioning projects from 2013 to 2020?
- In which regions and countries will the majority of these retirements occur?
- What are the conclusions and recommendations for plant owners and for providers of decommissioning services?
Who needs this report?
- Utilities and power plant operators
- Engineering, procurement and construction companies
- Demolition companies
- Consulting firms
- Environmental remediation firms
- Regulatory agencies
Table of Contents
1. Executive Summary
2. Market Update
2.2 History of Coal Plant Retirements
2.3 Drivers of Coal Plant Retirements
2.3.1 Natural Gas
2.3.2 Regulatory Pressure
188.8.131.52 United States
2.3.3 Public Pressure
2.3.4 Flattening Demand
2.3.5 Aging Plants
2.4 Number of Coal Plant Retirements
2.4.1 North America
2.4.3 Market Forecasts
2.5 Retirement Options
2.6 Decommissioning Options
2.7 Phases of Decommissioning
2.7.1 Costs of Coal Plant Decommissioning
2.7.2 Cost Recoupment
2.8 Coal Plant Decommissioning Revenue
2.9 Key Players
2.9.5 Burns & McDonnell
2.9.7 URS Corporation
3. Conclusions and Recommendations
3.1 Plant Owners
3.2 Decommissioning Services Providers
List of Charts, Tables, and Figures
- Coal Plant Decommissioning Revenue by Region, Select World Markets: 2013-2020
- Coal Plant Retirements by Region, Select World Markets: 2013-2020
- Levelized Cost of Energy for Power Plants by Power Source, United States: 2018
- Cumulative Coal-Fired Generator Retirements, United States: 2020
- Annual and Cumulative Coal-Fired Capacity Retirements, United States: 2012-2024
- Cost of Coal Plant Decommissioning by Project Phase