Connected Vehicles

Dedicated Short-Range Communications and 4G and 5G
Cellular Data Communications: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts

As wireless communications become increasingly capable and ubiquitous around the world, vehicles are joining the connected world. Connecting vehicles to each other, to other road users, and to the surrounding infrastructure will be increasingly important as other transportation technologies penetrate the market, especially vehicle automation and electrification. Vehicle-to-external communications (V2X) using dedicated short-range communications (DSRC) as well as 4G and 5G cellular data communications will expand rapidly in the next decade.

The markets for connected and automated vehicles are driven by the desire to reduce societal costs while improving safety, reducing energy consumption, and decreasing traffic congestion. Connectivity is also a key technology enabler for plug-in electric vehicles (PEVs), as it is needed to ensure that PEV drivers can access charging infrastructure, as well as plan routes or use smartphones. The first DSRC-based V2X systems were deployed in late 2015 and more will be coming over the next several years. In addition to embedded OEM systems on new vehicles, aftermarket retrofit systems and smartphones with DSRC capability are expected to be adopted. By the early 2020s, some markets are expected to utilize 5G cellular technology as an alternative to DSRC. According to Navigant Research, global revenue from sales of OEM and aftermarket DSRC-based V2X systems is projected to reach more than $25.5 billion by 2025.

This Navigant Research report examines the market for connected vehicles, with a focus on the key components of V2X communications technology. The study provides an analysis of how these factors, including the cost of hardware, regulations, potential societal benefits, and security and privacy concerns, are projected to affect OEMs, hardware and software suppliers, regulators, and intelligent transportation infrastructure operators. Global market forecasts of OEM and aftermarket sales of V2X equipment for light duty vehicles extend through 2025. The report also provides a review of major market drivers and barriers related to connected vehicles and the key industry players.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • How big is the potential OEM market for vehicle-to-external (V2X) communications?
  • How will aftermarket V2X systems help drive the development of vehicle connectivity?
  • What are the key forces driving the deployment of V2X-connected vehicles globally?
  • What are the potential roadblocks to reaching the full potential of V2X communications?
  • What are the pros and cons of various technology solutions for connected vehicles?
  • Which companies are going to play a critical role in the deployment of V2X communications?
Who needs this report?
  • Automobile OEMs
  • Fleet operators
  • Tier One and aftermarket automotive electronics and software suppliers
  • Aftermarket automotive electronics retailers and installers
  • Telecommunications providers
  • Intelligent transportation system suppliers
  • Government regulators
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1  Market Overview

1.1.1  Scope

1.2  Technical Issues

1.3  Key Players

1.4  Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues

2.1  Background

2.2  Vehicle-to-External Communications Capabilities

2.3  V2V Communications

2.3.1  V2I Communications

2.3.2  Pedestrian/Cyclist/Motorcyclist Communications

2.3.3  Automated Vehicles

2.4  Technology Options for V2X

2.4.1  DSRC

2.4.2  Cellular Technologies

2.4.2.1  4G LTE

2.4.2.2  LTE-Direct and Cellular-V2X

2.4.2.3  5G Technologies

2.4.2.4  Smartphones

2.5  Market Drivers

2.5.1  Safety Benefits

2.5.2  Automated Vehicles

2.5.3  Advanced Driver Assistance Systems

2.5.4  Efficiency Benefits

2.5.5  Electrification

2.5.6  Regulations or Mandates

2.6  Market Barriers

2.6.1  Security and Privacy

2.6.2  In-Vehicle Equipment Cost

2.6.3  Infrastructure Funding

3. Technology Issues

3.1  Overview

3.2  Built-In versus Brought-In Solutions

3.2.1  Built-In Systems

3.2.2  Brought-In Systems

3.2.3  Retrofit Solutions

3.3  Upgrade Paths

3.4  Security and Privacy

3.5  HMI

3.6  Compatibility and Standards

4. Key Industry Players

4.1  Automotive OEMs

4.1.1  BMW

4.1.2  Daimler AG

4.1.3  Fiat Chrysler Automobiles

4.1.4  Ford Motor Company

4.1.5  GM

4.1.6  Honda

4.1.7  Hyundai Motor Group

4.1.8  Nissan

4.1.9  Tesla Motors

4.1.10  Toyota Motor Company

4.1.11  Volkswagen Group

4.1.12  Volvo Car Group

4.2  Suppliers and Infrastructure

4.2.1  AT&T

4.2.2  Automatic Labs

4.2.3  Continental AG

4.2.4  CVTA

4.2.5  Delphi Automotive

4.2.6  Denso

4.2.7  eTrans Systems

4.2.8  Harman

4.2.9  Kapsch

4.2.10  NVIDIA

4.2.11  Panasonic

4.2.12  Pioneer Corp.

4.2.13  Qualcomm

4.2.14  Robert Bosch GmbH

4.2.15  Savari Networks

4.2.16  Verizon

4.2.17  Visteon Corp.

5. Market Forecasts

5.1  Introduction

5.2  Built-In Telematics

5.3  Built-In DSRC V2X Forecasts

5.4  5G Embedded V2X

5.5  Aftermarket DSRC V2X Forecasts

5.6  Conclusions and Recommendations

6.   Acronym and Abbreviation List
7.   Table of Contents
8.   Table of Charts and Figures
9.   Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Annual LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • LDV Population by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual LDV Penetration with Built-In Telematics by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual LDV Sales with Built-In Telematics by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • LDV Population with Built-In Telematics by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual LDV Penetration with Built-In DSRC V2X by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual LDV Sales with Built-In DSRC V2X by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • LDV Population with Built-In DSRC V2X by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual LDV Penetration with Built-In 5G V2X by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual LDV Sales with Built-In 5G V2X by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • LDV Population with Built-In 5G V2X by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual Smartphone-Based DSRC Usage in LDVs by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual Aftermarket DSRC Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual DSRC Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual OEM vs. Aftermarket DSRC Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • GM V2P Demonstration at ITS World Congress, Detroit: 2014
  • Capabilities Enabled by In-Vehicle Cellular Data
  • Cellular-V2X Schematic
  • First Public Demonstration of Smartphone-Based V2P Communications by GM: 2011
  • Truck Platooning Demonstration via V2V
  • Prototype Honda Vehicle-to-Motorcycle Alert Screen

List of Tables

  • Aftermarket DSRC Cost Estimate by Type: Year 1 (2012 Dollars)
  • OEM Embedded DSRC Cost Estimate by Type: Year 1 (2014 Dollars)
  • Aftermarket Retrofit Embedded DSRC Cost Estimate by Component: Year 1 (2012 Dollars)
  • Aftermarket Self-Contained DSRC Cost Estimate by Component: Year 1 (2012 Dollars)
  • Aftermarket DSRC Vehicle-Awareness Device Cost Estimate by Component: Year 1 (2012 Dollars)
  • DSRC Consumer Cost Estimate by Type, US Market: 2016-2025
  • Annual LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • LDV Population by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual LDV Penetration with Built-In Telematics by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual LDV Sales with Built-In Telematics by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • LDV Population with Built-In Telematics by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Percentage of LDV Population with Built-In Telematics by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual LDV Penetration with Built-In DSRC V2X by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual LDV Sales with Built-In DSRC V2X by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • LDV Population with Built-In DSRC V2X by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Percentage of LDV Population with Built-In DSRC V2X by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual LDV Penetration with Built-In 5G V2X by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual LDV Sales with Built-In 5G V2X by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • LDV Population with Built-In 5G V2X by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Percentage of LDV Population with Built-In 5G V2X by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual Smartphone-Based DSRC Usage in LDVs by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual Aftermarket DSRC Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual OEM DSRC Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual Aftermarket DSRC Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Annual DSRC Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • Connected Vehicle Regulations by Region, World Markets: 2016

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