Electric Bicycles

Global Market Opportunities, Barriers, Technology Issues, and Demand Forecasts for E-Bicycles, Pedal-Assist Bicycles, and E-Bicycle Batteries and Motors

The electric bicycle market remains sharply divided between China and everywhere else. While 9 of every 10 e-bicycle sales still occur in China, elsewhere the market has matured over the last couple of years, resulting in expected sales of 2.6 million e-bicycles in 2013. New, well-established manufacturers are entering the market, either as vehicle manufacturers or industry suppliers.

However, the e-bicycle market is in a state of change. Western Europe’s market is growing increasingly crowded with competitors and now accounts for more than 20% of global e-bicycle revenue annually. Meanwhile, North American players are finding new, younger e-bicycle consumers among those who ride for transportation rather than entertainment. Even the massive 28 million unit Chinese market is in a state of change as the government considers changes to the rules governing the market and consumers begin to recognize the value of lithium ion over lead-acid batteries. Navigant Research forecasts that annual sales of e-bicycles will grow from 31 million in 2013 to nearly 38 million in 2020.

This Navigant Research report provides a detailed analysis of the market forces, key drivers of growth, technology, and government influence on the worldwide market for electric bicycles. Forecasts are included, both base and aggressive scenarios, for annual e-bicycle sales through 2020, broken down by region and by battery technology. The report also includes profiles of key e-bicycle manufacturers, suppliers, and other market players.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • What are the trends that will shape the market for electric bicycles?
  • What are the distinguishing characteristics of different types of e-bicycles?
  • What types of motors are used in e-bicycles, and why?
  • Where are e-bicycles most popular currently?
  • What are the differences in battery chemistries used in electric bicycles?
  • How much revenue will be generated by e-bicycles, segmented by battery technology?
  • How will government regulations influence the electric bicycle market?
  • Who are the key manufacturers in the e-bicycle market?
  • Who are the key battery manufacturers competing in the e-bicycle market?
Who needs this report?
  • Bicycle and component manufacturers
  • Steel, aluminum, and carbon fiber suppliers
  • Battery manufacturers
  • Electric motor manufacturers
  • Retailers
  • Government agencies and municipal planners
  • Industry associations
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1  Introduction

1.2  Market Issues

1.3  Technology

1.4  Forecasts

2. Market Issues

2.1  Definition

2.1.1   Throttle Control and Pedal-Assist Definitions

2.2  Current Market Opportunities

2.2.1   E-Bicycles as Transportation

2.2.1.1  E-Bicycle Rentals and Sharing

2.2.2   Fragmented Marketplace

2.2.3   E-Bicycle Segments

2.2.3.1  Retrofit Kits

2.2.3.2  Specialty Uses

2.2.4   Automotive Manufacturer Interest

2.3  Current Market Barriers

2.3.1   Dealer Network

2.3.2   Business Model

2.3.2.1  Importer Model

2.3.2.2  Designer Model

2.3.2.3  Bicycle Manufacturer Model

2.3.3   Geography and Climate

2.3.4   Performance and Cost Issues

2.4  Government Policies

2.4.1   Municipal Rules for E-Bicycles

2.4.2   European Union

2.4.2.1  E-Bicycle Tariffs

2.4.3   China

2.5  China’s E-Bicycle Market

2.5.1   Market Consolidation

2.5.2   Safety Issues

2.5.2.1  Lead-Acid Battery Issues

2.5.3   Chinese Exports

2.5.4   Electric Bicycle Bans

3. Technology Issues

3.1  Battery Technology

3.1.1   Sealed Lead-Acid

3.1.2   Nickel-Metal Hydride

3.1.3   Lithium Ion

3.1.4   Lithium Polymer

3.2  Battery Disposal

3.3  Electric Motors

3.3.1   Motor Location

3.3.2   Motor Controllers

4. Key Industry Players

4.1  Introduction

4.2  Key Market Original Equipment Manufacturers

4.2.1   Currie Technologies

4.2.2   Derby Cycle AG

4.2.3   Jiangsu Xinri E-Vehicle Co., Ltd.

4.2.4   Luyuan Electric Vehicle

4.2.5   Panasonic/Sanyo

4.2.6   Pedego Electric Bicycles

4.2.7   Prodeco Technologies

4.2.8   Stromer Bicycles

4.2.9   Yadea

4.3  Industry Participants

4.3.1   Accell Group

4.3.2   Sparta B.V.

4.3.3   Bionx

4.3.4   Bosch E-Bike

4.3.5   Changzhou Hongdu E-Bicycle Co.

4.3.6   e-Moto LLC

4.3.7   eZee kinetics Technology Co. Ltd.

4.3.8   Fallbrook Technologies (NuVinci)

4.3.9   Giant Bicycles

4.3.10   GRACE GmbH & Co. KG

4.3.11   Hero Eco

4.3.12   Hoganas AB

4.3.13   OHM Cycles, Ltd.

4.3.14   Shanghai CRANES Electric Vehicle Co., Ltd.

4.3.15   Shimano

4.3.16   SRAM

4.3.17   Trek Bicycles

4.3.18   Yamaha Motor Co., Ltd.

4.4  Battery Suppliers

4.4.1   AllCell Technologies

4.4.2   Chaowei Power

4.4.3   NEC

4.4.4   Phylion Battery Co., Ltd.

4.4.5   Samsung SDI Co., Ltd.

4.4.6   Sinopoly Battery, Ltd.

4.4.7   Tianneng Power International Ltd.

4.5  Other Industry Participants in Asia Pacific

5. Market Forecasts

5.1  Overview

5.1.1   North America and Latin America

5.1.2   Europe

5.1.3   Asia Pacific

5.1.4   The Middle East and Africa

5.2  E-Bicycle Sales by Battery Type

5.3  E-Bicycle Sales by Drivetrain

5.4  E-Bicycle Sales Revenue

5.5  Conclusions and Recommendations

6. Company Directory
7. Acronym and Abbreviation List
8. Table of Contents
9. Table of Charts and Figures
10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales by Region and Forecast Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Percentage of Households Owning Bicycles by Region, World Markets: 2011
  • Gross Domestic Product and E-Bicycle Sales, China: 2005-2013
  • Lead Consumption by Region, World Markets: 2008-2013
  • Source of Lead Consumption by Technology, China: 2009-2010
  • Lead Production by Source, China: 2012
  • Complete E-Bicycle Exports by Region, China: 2011
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales by Forecast Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales by Forecast Scenario and Region, North America and Latin America: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales by Forecast Scenario and Region, Europe: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales by Forecast Scenario, Asia Pacific: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales by Region, Base Scenario, Middle East & Africa: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales with Lithium Ion Batteries by Region, Baseline Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales by Motor Design, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Bicycle Commuting Growth, United States: 2000-2010
  • E-Bicycle Designs
  • Torque Sensor Diagram

List of Tables

  • E-Bicycle Definitions by Region, World Markets
  • Typical Vehicle Specifications by Country
  • Battery Type Comparison
  • VRLA Module Characteristics of Various Manufacturers, World Markets
  • E-Bicycle Motor Locations: Advantages and Disadvantages
  • Electric Two-Wheel Vehicle Definition by Region, World Markets
  • Gross Domestic Product, China: 2005-2013
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales, China: 2005-2013
  • Percentage of Households Owning Bicycles by Region, World Markets: 2011
  • Lead Consumption by Market, World Markets: 2008-2013
  • Source of Lead Consumption by Technology, China: 2009-2010
  • Lead Production by Source, China: 2011-2012
  • Lead Production by Source, United States: 2011-2012
  • China Complete E-Bicycle Exports by Market, China: 2011
  • Currie Technologies SWOT Analysis
  • Derby Cycle SWOT Analysis
  • Xinri E-Vehicles SWOT Analysis
  • Luyuan Electric Vehicle SWOT Analysis
  • Panasonic/Sanyo SWOT Analysis
  • Pedego SWOT Analysis
  • Prodeco Technologies SWOT Analysis
  • Stromer SWOT Analysis
  • Yadea SWOT Analysis
  • Asia Pacific Industry Participants
  • Annual Sales CAGR of Different E-Bicycle Battery Types, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales with Lithium Ion Batteries by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Percentage of E-Bicycles Sales with Lithium Ion Batteries by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales with SLA Batteries by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Percentage of E-Bicycles Sales with SLA Batteries by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales with NiMH and Other Battery Chemistries by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Percentage of E-Bicycles Sales with NiMH and Other Battery Chemistries by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual Lithium Ion E-Bicycle Sales Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual SLA E-Bicycle Sales Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales with Other Chemistries Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual Lithium Ion E-Bicycle Sales Revenue by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual SLA E-Bicycle Sales Revenue by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales with Other Chemistries Revenue by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales Revenue by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Percentage of E-Bicycle Sales Revenue by Battery Type, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Percentage of E-Bicycle Sales Revenue by Battery Type, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • E-Bicycle Average Transaction Price by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • E-Bicycle Average Transaction Price by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales with Bottom Bracket Mid-Mounted Motor by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Growth Rate of E-Bicycle Sales with Bottom Bracket Mid-Mounted Motor by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales with Front Wheel Hub Motor by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales with Rear Wheel Hub Motor by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Percentage of Annual E-Bicycle Sales with Rear Wheel Hub Motor by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales with Bottom Bracket Mid-Mounted Motor by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Growth Rate of E-Bicycle Sales with Bottom Bracket Mid-Mounted Motor by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales with Front Wheel Hub Motor by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Annual E-Bicycle Sales with Rear Wheel Hub Motor by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2020

Downloads

Register or Login to download free sample content.


{"userID":"","pageName":"Electric Bicycles","path":"\/research\/electric-bicycles","date":"9\/21\/2014"}