Electric Drive Buses

Medium and Heavy Duty Buses with Hybrid, Plug-In Hybrid, Battery Electric,
and Fuel Cell Powertrains: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts

The global medium and heavy duty bus industry is beginning to respond to environmental concerns that are driving local and national governments to enforce stricter emissions policies. Governments worldwide are implementing legislation to improve overall vehicle efficiency and help make the air in cities cleaner. Fleet managers are always looking for ways to reduce operating costs, but must be convinced of savings potential before investing in new technology. Hybrid and electric powertrains have been under testing in real world conditions for some years, and solid performance data is now available.

Due to recent strong growth in the consumer EV market, battery cell costs are coming down. Meanwhile, the ROI for hybrid and electric powertrains is more attractive than it was in the recent past as a result of lower fuel and maintenance costs. Overall, the battery EV (BEV) is expected to be the leading type of electric powertrain for buses through 2026. Hybrid drive is anticipated to grow steadily and fuel cells to begin to enter volume production by the end of 2026. Plug-in hybrid drive is expected to grow for the rest of the current decade and then see sales begin to drop off. According to Navigant Research, the global market for electric drive buses is expected to grow from about 119,000 buses in 2016 to 181,000 in 2026.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the global market for medium and heavy duty electric drive buses for each major world region. Both of these vehicle categories are assessed for potential sales of four electric drive technologies: hybrid, plug-in hybrid, battery electric, and fuel cell. The study provides an analysis of the market and technology issues associated with electric drive buses, as well as the competitive landscape. Global market forecasts for annual sales, segmented by region and powertrain type, extend through 2026.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • What are the relative sizes of the bus markets in each of the major world regions?
  • How fast will the potential market for each alternative powertrain grow?
  • Which type of bus will be most suited to each alternative powertrain type?
  • What is the projected penetration of alternative powertrains for buses in each world region?
  • What are the benefits and drawbacks to consider when planning future vehicle acquisitions?
Who needs this report?
  • Fleet managers
  • Bus manufacturers
  • Battery and electric motor suppliers
  • Hydrogen infrastructure developers
  • Utility companies
  • EV supply equipment (EVSE) providers and manufacturers
  • Government agencies
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1    Introduction

1.2    Market Drivers

1.3    Key Technologies

1.4    Forecast Highlight

2. Market and Technology Issues

2.1    Introduction

2.2    Vehicle and Powertrain Classifications

2.3    Electric Drive Options

2.3.1   Hybrid

2.3.2   Plug-In Hybrid

2.3.3   Battery Electric

2.3.4   Fuel Cell

2.4    Market Dynamics

2.4.1   Emissions Regulations

2.4.1.1       North America

2.4.1.2       European Union

2.4.2   City Low Emissions Zones

2.4.2.1       Brighton, United Kingdom

2.4.2.2       London, United Kingdom

2.4.2.3       Oxford, United Kingdom

2.4.2.4       Stuttgart, Germany

2.4.2.5       Berlin, Germany

2.4.2.6       Lyon, France

2.4.2.7       Lisbon, Portugal

2.4.2.8      Helsinki, Finland

2.4.2.9       Copenhagen, Denmark

2.4.2.10     Stockholm, Sweden

2.4.2.11      Prague, Czech Republic

2.4.2.12      Amsterdam, Netherlands

2.4.2.13      Asia Pacific

2.4.3   Bus Fleet Finance

2.4.4   Vehicle Charging

3. Key Industry Players

3.1    Overview

3.1.1   ABB

3.1.2   Alexander Dennis Ltd.

3.1.3   Allison Transmission

3.1.4   Ashok Leyland

3.1.5   BAE Systems

3.1.6   Bolloré

3.1.7   BYD

3.1.8   Cummins

3.1.9   Daimler AG

3.1.10   Gillig

3.1.11   GKN Hybrid Power

3.1.12   MAN SE

3.1.13   New Flyer

3.1.14   Proterra

3.1.15   Scania AB

3.1.16   Siemens

3.1.17   Solaris Bus

3.1.18   TM4

3.1.19   UQM Technologies

3.1.20   Volvo

3.1.21   Wrightspeed

4. Market Forecasts

4.1    Overall Market Forecasts

4.1.1   Medium Duty Buses by Powertrain

4.1.2   Heavy Duty Buses by Powertrain

4.2    Regional Forecasts

4.2.1   North America

4.2.2   Western Europe

4.2.3   Eastern Europe

4.2.4   Asia Pacific

4.2.5   Latin America

4.2.6   Middle East & Africa

4.3    Conclusions and Recommendations

5. Acronym and Abbreviation List
6. Table of Contents
7. Table of Charts and Figures
8. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Commercial Vehicle Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Electric Drive Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Eastern Europe: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Eastern Europe: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Latin America: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Latin America: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Middle East & Africa: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Middle East & Africa: 2016-2026

List of Tables

  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Electric Drive Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Bus Size Definition
  • Powertrain Terminology
  • EU Emissions Standards for New Buses: Static Testing
  • Electric Drive Bus Installation Examples
  • Electric Drive Bus Specification Examples
  • Electric Drive Bus Model List: 2015
  • Commercial Vehicle Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Eastern Europe: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Latin America: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Middle East & Africa: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Bus Sales Penetration by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Electric Drive Medium Duty Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Eastern Europe: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Latin America: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, Middle East & Africa: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Bus Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Bus Sales Penetration by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Electric Drive Heavy Duty Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Electric Drive Bus Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • All Bus Sales Forecast Data Pivot Table: 2016-2026
  • EU Emissions Standards for New Buses

{"userID":"","pageName":"Electric Drive Buses","path":"\/research\/electric-drive-buses","date":"9\/19\/2017"}