Electric Drive Trucks

Medium and Heavy Duty Trucks with Hybrid, Plug-In Hybrid, Battery Electric,
and Fuel Cell Powertrains: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts

Growing awareness of the need for better air quality is leading to stricter emissions targets for commercial vehicles in the near future. Local and national governments are also looking into ways to incentivize fleets to invest in medium and heavy duty fuel efficiency technologies, as well as alternative cleaner-burning fuels. Conventional diesel-powered vehicles are getting cleaner and more efficient through incremental improvements such as exhaust aftertreatment and advanced fuel injection systems. However, the added initial and operating costs associated with these changes are helping to reduce the incremental cost of moving to electric-assisted and all-electric powertrains.

Electric power is expected to begin to make inroads, as some fleet managers can see the potential for an attractive ROI given the right circumstances. They can also take advantage of government incentives and grants to support zero-emissions transportation options. However, the nature of the technology means that it only makes sense for fleet vehicles that can work with a limited daily range and ideally do a lot of stop-start driving. According to Navigant Research, global annual electrified powertrain medium and heavy duty truck sales are expected to grow from about 31,000 vehicles in 2016 to nearly 332,000 by 2026.

This Navigant Research report breaks the forecasts for the global truck market into medium duty trucks and heavy duty trucks for each major world region. Both of these vehicle categories are assessed for potential sales of electrified powertrain types: hybrid (gasoline and diesel), plug-in hybrid (gasoline and diesel), battery electric, and hydrogen fuel cell. Global market forecasts for annual sales, segmented by region and powertrain type, extend through 2026.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • What are the sizes of the medium and heavy duty truck markets in each of the major world regions?
  • How fast will the potential market for each type of electric powertrain grow?
  • Which type of truck will be most suited to each alternative powertrain type?
  • What is the projected penetration of electric powertrains for trucks in each world region?
  • What are the benefits and drawbacks of electric drive in commercial vehicles?
Who needs this report?
  • Fleet managers
  • Truck manufacturers
  • Battery and electric motor suppliers
  • Hydrogen infrastructure developers
  • Utility companies
  • EV supply equipment (EVSE) providers and manufacturers
  • Government agencies
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1  Introduction

1.2  Key Technologies

1.3  Market Drivers

1.4  Forecast Highlight

2. Technology and Market Issues

2.1  Introduction

2.2  Vehicle and Powertrain Classifications

2.3  Electric Drive Technology

2.3.1  Hybrid

2.3.2  Plug-In Hybrid

2.3.3  Battery Electric

2.3.4  Fuel Cell

2.4  Energy Storage

2.4.1  Battery

2.4.2  Ultracapacitor

2.4.3  Flywheel

2.5  Vehicle Charging

2.6  Electric Roads

2.7  Emissions Legislation

2.7.1  North America

2.7.2  Europe

2.7.3  Asia Pacific

2.7.4  City Low Emission Zones

2.7.4.1  London, United Kingdom

2.7.4.2  Berlin, Germany

2.7.4.3  Stuttgart, Germany

2.7.4.4  Graz, Austria

2.7.4.5  Vienna, Austria

2.7.4.6  Lyon, France

2.7.4.7  Paris, France

2.7.4.8  Lisbon, Portugal

2.7.4.9  Helsinki, Finland

2.7.4.10  Copenhagen, Denmark

2.7.4.11  Stockholm, Sweden

2.7.4.12  Prague, Czech Republic

2.7.4.13  Amsterdam, Netherlands

3. Key Industry Players

3.1  Introduction

3.2  ABB

3.3  Allison Transmission

3.4  Ashok Leyland

3.5  BYD

3.6  Capacity Trucks

3.7  Crosspoint Kinetics

3.8  Daimler

3.9  Dana

3.10  Eaton

3.11  Efficient Drivetrains Inc.

3.12  Ford

3.13  General Motors

3.14  GKN Hybrid Power

3.15  Iveco

3.16  Motiv Power Systems

3.17  Navistar

3.18  Odyne Systems

3.19  PACCAR

3.19.1  DAF

3.19.2  Kenworth

3.19.3  Peterbilt

3.20  Siemens

3.21  Smith Electric Vehicles

3.22  Terberg

3.23  TM4

3.24  TransPower

3.25  UQM

3.26  US Hybrid

3.27  Volkswagen

3.27.1  MAN

3.27.2  Scania

3.28  Volvo

3.28.1  Mack Trucks

3.28.2  Renault Trucks

3.29  Workhorse Group

3.30  Wrightspeed

3.31  XL Hybrids

3.32  ZeroTruck

4. Market Forecasts

4.1  Overall Market Forecasts

4.1.1  Medium Duty Trucks by Powertrain

4.1.2  Heavy Duty Trucks by Powertrain

4.2  Regional Forecasts

4.2.1  North America

4.2.2  Western Europe

4.2.3  Eastern Europe

4.2.4  Asia Pacific

4.2.5  Latin America

4.2.6  Middle East & Africa

4.3  Conclusions and Recommendations

5. Acronym and Abbreviation List
6. Table of Contents
7. Table of Charts and Figures
8. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Commercial Vehicle Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Electric Drive Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Eastern Europe: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Eastern Europe: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Latin America: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Latin America: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Middle East & Africa: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Middle East & Africa: 2016-2026
  • Siemens and Scania eHighway Prototype

List of Tables

  • Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Truck Size Definition by Market
  • Powertrain Terminology
  • EU Emissions Standards for New Trucks: Static Testing
  • Electric Drive Truck Model List: 2016
  • Discontinued Electric Drive Truck Models: 2016
  • Commercial Vehicle Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Electric Drive Truck Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, North America: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Western Europe: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Eastern Europe: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Eastern Europe: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Asia Pacific: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Latin America: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Latin America: 2016-2026
  • Medium Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Middle East & Africa: 2016-2026
  • Heavy Duty Electric Drive Truck Sales by Powertrain Type, Middle East & Africa: 2016-2026
  • Electric Drive Truck Data Pivot Table, World Markets: 2016-2026

Report Details

  • Pages: 62
  • Tables, Charts,
    Figures:
    41
  • Release Date: 4Q 2016
  • Release File(s): PDF* and Excel *Indicates primary report file.

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