Navigant Research » Research http://www.navigantresearch.com Wed, 22 Oct 2014 06:02:44 +0000 en-US hourly 1 http://wordpress.org/?v=3.8.1 Smart Cities and the Energy Cloud http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/smart-cities-and-the-energy-cloud http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/smart-cities-and-the-energy-cloud#comments Thu, 09 Oct 2014 16:11:51 +0000 http://www.navigantresearch.com/?p=69697 Smart Cities
The electricity utility was developed to deliver power to the growing cities of the 20th century. Energy is of even greater importance to cities in the 21st century, but there are new challenges in terms of ensuring the sustainability and reliability of energy supplies. While energy networks underpin the digital city, the sources of that [...]]]>
Smart Cities

The electricity utility was developed to deliver power to the growing cities of the 20th century. Energy is of even greater importance to cities in the 21st century, but there are new challenges in terms of ensuring the sustainability and reliability of energy supplies. While energy networks underpin the digital city, the sources of that energy are being examined closely. Cities are also looking at how efficiently energy is being used as they strive to reduce both greenhouse gas emissions and energy costs.

The smart city concept is a label for the dramatic changes occurring at both the local and global level in the nature of urbanization; the energy cloud performs a similar function for the radical changes happening in the energy market. As a concept, the energy cloud represents a wide range of technical, commercial, environmental, and regulatory changes that are transforming the traditional utility model for energy provision. Cities are recognizing the importance – and the opportunity – offered by these changes in energy infrastructure and the global energy markets.

This Navigant Research white paper examines the critical issues facing cities and utilities as they develop the energy policies needed in the century of the city. The emerging vision is of smart cities that integrate large and small-scale energy initiatives ranging from improvements in national infrastructure through citywide energy efficiency programs to local energy generation.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • How are the energy needs of cities changing?
  • How can cities benefit from new opportunities in the energy market?
  • What opportunities do smart city programs provide for utilities?
  • How can cities benefit from smart meter and smart grid deployments?
  • What is the energy cloud?
  • What is the role of energy technology in resilience?
  • What are the key smart city/smart grid pilots around the world?
  • How will smart energy communities emerge?
Who needs this report?
  • Smart grid hardware and software vendors
  • Energy management hardware and software vendors
  • IT, networking, and telecommunications vendors
  • Utilities
  • Industry associations and standards organizations
  • Government agencies
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Cities and the New Energy Agenda

1.1   Smart Cities and Smart Energy

1.2   The Energy Cloud and the Future of Energy Provision

2. How Cities Are Helping to Shape the Energy Revolution

2.1   The City and the Energy Cloud

2.2   The Renewable City

2.3   Smart Cities and Smart Grids

2.4   Managing Energy Demand

2.5   Cities and Energy Markets

2.6   The Resilient City

2.7   Toward Smart Energy Communities

3. Conclusions and Recommendations

3.1   The Opportunities

3.2   The Challenges

3.3   Additional Reading

4. Acronym and Abbreviation List
5. Table of Contents
6. Table of Charts and Figures
7. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • The Emerging Energy Cloud
  • Smart City Technology Annual Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023

List of Tables

  • Example Smart City, Smart Grid Projects
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Fuel Cells Annual Report 2014 http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/fuel-cells-annual-report-2014 http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/fuel-cells-annual-report-2014#comments Thu, 02 Oct 2014 21:56:22 +0000 http://www.navigantresearch.com/?p=69539 Smart Energy
During 2013 and 2014, the fuel cell market continued to see the greatest demand from stationary applications, including utility-scale fuel cells, fuel cells for industrial and commercial buildings, and fuel cells for residential power. These markets are still very location-specific. Japan is focusing primarily on residential units, while North America and South Korea have adopted [...]]]>
Smart Energy

During 2013 and 2014, the fuel cell market continued to see the greatest demand from stationary applications, including utility-scale fuel cells, fuel cells for industrial and commercial buildings, and fuel cells for residential power. These markets are still very location-specific. Japan is focusing primarily on residential units, while North America and South Korea have adopted the larger fuel cell systems. Backup power is a market mainly in North America, but also in emerging economies – especially in Southeast Asia.

Much of the interest in stationary fuel cells is driven by a shift toward distributed generation (DG), which has become the buzz phrase for the power sector. DG represents a shift away from the traditional centralized power generation model toward a more diverse and resilient grid infrastructure that includes widely dispersed and smaller generation power plants. Fuel cells fit neatly into the spectrum of technologies that support this movement. As a result, Navigant Research expects the stationary sector to have the strongest global potential within the fuel cell market in terms of fuel cell systems shipped. The transportation sector has the potential to lead in terms of fuel cell capacity shipped, as fuel cell vehicles (FCVs) are expected to take off in the 2020 timeframe.

This Navigant Research report provides a global analysis of major developments and trends in the fuel cell industry, with a focus on the stationary, portable, and transportation sectors. The study features an analysis of actual fuel cell systems and capacity shipped from 2010 to 2013, segmented by region, sector, application, electrolyte, and fuel type, as well as system revenue. Global market forecasts for fuel cell systems and capacity shipped and system revenue extend through 2023. The study also includes a special section on the growing interest in DG and profiles over 30 companies active in the global fuel cell industry.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • What have been the major trends in the global fuel cell industry in 2013 and 2014?
  • What is the current growth rate of the worldwide fuel cell industry by region and by sector?
  • What have been the leading applications in the stationary, portable, and transportation fuel cell sectors?
  • Which regions are leading in terms of manufacturing and in terms of revenue?
  • How is the shift toward distributed generation (DG) affecting the global fuel cell market?
  • What are the global prospects for the adoption of stationary, portable, and transportation fuel cells?
Who needs this report?
  • Fuel cell system and stack developer companies
  • Fuel cell component suppliers
  • Fuel cell vehicle (FCV) manufacturers
  • Infrastructure providers
  • Energy storage vendors
  • Industry associations
  • Government agencies
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1  Introduction

1.2  Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues 

2.1  Introduction

2.1.1   Overview of Fuel Cell Application Areas

2.2  Key Fuel Cell Market Trends

2.2.1   MicroCHP Market Still Strongest in Japan

2.2.2   South Korea Continues to Bring Fuel Cell Technology In-Country

2.2.3   Microgrids

   2.2.3.1  Focus on Connecticut Microgrid Program

2.2.4   Non-Ownership Business Models

2.2.5   FCVs Coming to Market

2.2.6   Power-to-Gas Concept

2.2.7   Portable Sector Still Weak

2.3  Special Focus: Power Sector Shifts toward DG

2.3.1   Policies Promoting Fuel Cells

2.3.2   Renewable Energy Targets and DG Carve-Outs

   2.3.2.1  North America

   2.3.2.2  Europe

   2.3.2.3  South Korea

2.3.3   FITs and Net Metering

   2.3.3.1  North America

   2.3.3.2  Europe

   2.3.3.3  Japan and South Korea

2.3.4   Economics of Distributed Energy

2.3.5   Resiliency and the Electrical Grid

3. Market Overview 2013 

3.1  Overview

3.2  Overall Industry Growth

3.3  Capacity Shipped by Application

3.3.1   Prime Power

3.3.2   Portable Power

3.3.3   Military

3.3.4   Transportation

3.4  Development by Revenue

3.5  Developments by Geography

3.6  Development by Electrolyte

3.7  Development by Fuel

4. Key Industry Players  

4.1  Introduction

4.2  Fuel Cell Technology Companies

4.2.1   AFC Energy (AFC)

4.2.2   Altergy Systems (PEM)

4.2.3   Ballard Power Systems (PEM)

4.2.4   Baxi Innotech (PEM)

4.2.5   Bing Energy (PEM)

4.2.6   Bloom Energy (SOFC)

4.2.7   Ceramic Fuel Cells Ltd. (SOFC)

4.2.8   Ceres Power (SOFC)

4.2.9   Cummins Inc. (SOFC, Others)

4.2.10   Doosan Corp. (PEM and PAFC)

4.2.11   Electro Power Systems (PEM)

4.2.12    FuelCell Energy (MCFC, SOFC)

4.2.13   GS Caltex (PEM)

4.2.14   Horizon Fuel Cell Technologies (PEM)

4.2.15   Hydrogenics (PEM, Fueling)

4.2.16   Hyosung Power & Industrial Systems (PEM)

4.2.17  Intelligent Energy (PEM)

4.2.18   ITM Power (PEM)

4.2.19   JX Nippon Oil & Energy Corp. (SOFC)

4.2.20   Nuvera Fuel Cells (PEM, Fueling)

4.2.21   Oorja Fuel Cells (DMFC)

4.2.22   Panasonic (PEM)

4.2.23   Plug Power (PEM, Fueling)

4.2.24   POSCO Energy (MCFC)

4.2.25   ReliOn (PEM)

4.2.26   SerEnergy (HT-PEM)

4.2.27   SFC Energy (DMFC)

4.3  Vehicle Providers

4.3.1   Daimler (PEM)

4.3.2   GM (PEM)

4.3.3   Honda (PEM)

4.3.4   Hyundai (PEM)

4.3.5   Toyota (PEM)

4.4  Other Industry Participants

5. Market Forecasts 

5.1  Introduction

5.2  Model Overview

5.2.1   Qualitative Overview of Key Flex Points in the Model

5.3  Fuel Cell Shipments by Sector

5.4  Fuel Cell Shipments by Electrolyte

5.5  Fuel Cell Shipments and Revenue by Region

5.6  Hydrogen Demand

5.7  Conclusions and Recommendations

6. Company Directory
7. Acronym and Abbreviation List
8. Table of Contents
9. Table of Charts and Figures
10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Fuel Cell System Capacity Shipped by Market Sector, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Capacity of Wind Installed and Power-to-Gas Capacity by Scenario, Select European Countries: 2014-2018
  • Solar PV Cost Curve, World Markets: 1992-2012
  • PEM Fuel Cell Cost Curve, World Markets: 2002-2017
  • Fuel Cell Systems Shipped by Market Sector, World Markets: 2010-2013
  • Fuel Cell System Capacity Shipped by Market Sector and Total Revenue, World Markets: 2010-2013
  • Fuel Cell System Capacity Shipped by Application and Market Sector, World Markets: 2011-2013
  • Fuel Cell System Revenue by Market Sector, World Markets: 2010-2013
  • Fuel Cell System Revenue by Region of Company Headquarters, World Markets: 2010-2013
  • Fuel Cell System Capacity Shipped by Region of Manufacture, World Markets: 2010-2013
  • Fuel Cell System Capacity Shipped by Region of Manufacture and Electrolyte, World Markets: 2012-2013
  • Fuel Cell Systems Shipped by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2010-2013
  • Fuel Cell Systems Shipped by Market Sector, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Fuel Cell System Capacity Shipped by Electrolyte, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Fuel Cell Systems Shipped by Region of Manufacture, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Fuel Cell System Revenue by Region of Manufacture, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Hydrogen Consumption by Region of Production, World Markets: 2014-2030
  • Renewable Portfolio Standards with Solar/Distributed Generation Provisions by U.S. State

List of Tables

  • Microgrid Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2Q 2014
  • Renewable Energy Generation Required under RPS, South Korea: 2012-2020
  • Estimated Losses per Hour of Grid Failure
  • Fuel Cell Systems Shipped by Market Sector, World Markets: 2010-2013
  • Fuel Cell System Capacity Shipped by Market Sector and Total Revenue, World Markets: 2010-2013
  • Fuel Cell System Capacity Shipped by Application and Market Sector, World Markets: 2011-2013
  • Fuel Cell System Revenue by Market Sector, World Markets: 2010-2013
  • Fuel Cell System Capacity Shipped by Market Sector, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Fuel Cell Systems Shipped by Market Sector, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Fuel Cell System Capacity Shipped by Electrolyte, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Fuel Cell Systems Shipped by Region of Manufacture, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Fuel Cell System Revenue by Region of Manufacture, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Hydrogen Consumption by Region of Production, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Policy or Regulation Pushing Adoption of Stationary Fuel Cells
  • Stationary Fuel Cells in Resiliency Applications
  • Other Industry Participants in 2014
  • Event Types That Affect a Forecast
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Residential Energy Efficient Lighting and Lighting Controls http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/residential-energy-efficient-lighting-and-lighting-controls http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/residential-energy-efficient-lighting-and-lighting-controls#comments Mon, 29 Sep 2014 17:30:27 +0000 http://www.navigantresearch.com/?p=69409 Smart BuildingsSmart Utilities
The global residential lighting market is on the verge of a major transformation. Extremely energy efficient light-emitting diode (LED) lamps are being adopted at an astonishing rate while remote control of connected lights is on the cusp of becoming much more commonplace. Additionally, the movement to more all-encompassing home energy management (HEM) and home automation, [...]]]>
Smart BuildingsSmart Utilities

The global residential lighting market is on the verge of a major transformation. Extremely energy efficient light-emitting diode (LED) lamps are being adopted at an astonishing rate while remote control of connected lights is on the cusp of becoming much more commonplace. Additionally, the movement to more all-encompassing home energy management (HEM) and home automation, of which smart lighting is a part, is steadily gathering pace.

While the desire to reduce electricity costs is an important driver for the adoption of energy efficient LEDs and controls, it is not the most important one. Increasingly, homeowners are being drawn to the range of new use cases that controllable and networked LEDs bring. The ability of these devices to communicate with other popular connected devices is likely to prove particularly popular as a way to increase comfort and convenience in the home while bringing about energy savings automatically. According to Navigant Research, global revenue associated with the installation of residential lighting controls is expected to grow from $2.4 billion in 2014 to $4.6 billion in 2023.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the global market for residential energy efficient lighting and lighting controls. The study focuses on LED lamps and luminaires while also forecasting sales for three other lamp technologies – incandescent, halogen, and fluorescent – as well as a number of control devices, including occupancy sensors, photosensors, timers, dimmers, lighting-only networks, and HEM systems. Global market forecasts for unit shipments and revenue, segmented by region, lamp type, product type, and building type, extend through 2023. The report also examines the key technologies related to residential energy efficient lighting and lighting controls, as well as the competitive landscape.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • How big is the market for residential energy efficient luminaires, lamps, and lighting controls in terms of revenue and unit shipments?
  • How quickly will this market grow during the next 10 years and what factors will drive this growth?
  • What factors could hold back market growth during the forecast period?
  • What are the main technological trends taking place in the market for residential energy efficient lighting solutions?
  • What are the main use cases for connected lighting solutions?
  • Who are the leading providers of residential energy efficient lighting products and how do their products differ?
Who needs this report?
  • Luminaire and lamp manufacturers
  • Lighting controls manufacturers
  • Lighting contractors
  • Building owners
  • Governments and municipalities
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1  Introduction

1.2  Key Market Trends

1.3  Forecast Highlights

2. Market Issues     

2.1  Market Overview

2.2  Market Drivers

2.2.1   Falling LED Costs

2.2.2   Rising Energy Prices

2.2.3   Regulations, Codes, and Initiatives

   2.2.3.1  ASHRAE Standards

      2.2.3.1.1.  ASHRAE 90.1

   2.2.3.2  California Title 24

   2.2.3.3  European Union Directives

      2.2.3.3.1.  Directives 2002/91/EC and 2010/31/EC

      2.2.3.3.2.  Directive 2009/125/EC

      2.2.3.3.3.  Other EU Directives

   2.2.3.4  International Energy Conservation Code

   2.2.3.5  ENERGY STAR

   2.2.3.6  Leadership in Energy and Environmental Design

2.2.4   Phaseout of Inefficient Light Sources

2.2.5   Utility Rebates

2.2.6   Tax Incentives

2.2.7   Rise of the Smart Home

   2.2.7.1  New Options from Controlling LEDs

2.3  Market Barriers

2.3.1   Cost of LEDs and Networked Controls

2.3.2   Lack of Understanding and Awareness

2.3.3   Mean Time to Kitchen Drawer

2.3.4   Lack of Standardization

2.3.5   Residential Construction Slowdown

2.3.6   Increased Lifespan of Energy Efficient Light Sources

2.3.7   Adverse Health Effects of Lighting

2.4  Geographic Trends

2.4.1   North America

2.4.2   Europe

2.4.3   Asia Pacific

2.4.4   Rest of the World

3. Technology Issues

3.1  Efficacy and Efficiency

3.2  CRI

3.3  CCT

3.4  Lamp Life

3.5  Lamp Types

3.5.1   Incandescent

3.5.2   Halogen

3.5.3   Fluorescent

3.5.4   LEDs

3.5.5   Lamp Types Excluded from Forecasts

   3.5.5.1  Mercury Vapor

   3.5.5.2  Metal Halide

   3.5.5.3  High-Pressure Sodium

   3.5.5.4  Induction

   3.5.5.5  OLED

3.5.6   Lamp Technology Summary

3.6  Luminaires

3.7  Lighting Controls

3.7.1   Occupancy Sensors

3.7.2   Photosensors

3.7.3   Timers

3.7.4   Dimmers

3.8  Lighting-Only Networks

3.9  HEM Systems

3.10  Networking Technologies

3.10.1  ZigBee

3.10.2  Z-Wave

3.10.3  Wi-Fi

   3.10.3.1  AllJoyn

3.10.4  Bluetooth

3.10.5  HomePlug

3.10.6  Others

3.11  Efforts to Promulgate Interoperability

3.11.1  The Connected Lighting Alliance

3.11.2  Smart Energy Profile

3.11.3  IEEE 1905.1

4. Key Industry Players   

4.1  Introduction

4.2  Selected Luminaire and Lamp Manufacturers

4.2.1   Acuity Brands

4.2.2   Cree

4.2.3   GE Lighting

4.2.4   Hubbell Lighting

4.2.5   OSRAM

4.2.6   Philips Lighting

4.3  Selected Lighting Controls and Networking Vendors

4.3.1   Eaton/Cooper Lighting

4.3.2   Legrand

4.3.3   Leviton

4.3.4   Lutron

4.3.5   Schneider Electric

4.4  Selected Home Automation Players

4.4.1   Alarm.com

4.4.2   AlertMe.com

4.4.3   Control4

4.4.4   Crestron Electronics

4.4.5   Greenwave Systems

4.4.6   iControl Networks

4.4.7   Savant Systems

4.5  Other Connected Lighting Players

5. Market Forecasts  

5.1  Introduction

5.2  Data Collection

5.3  Forecast Methodology

5.3.1   Building Types Under Analysis

5.3.2   Building Types Not Under Analysis

5.3.3   2013 Installed Lamp Inventory

5.3.4   Unit Shipment Projections

5.3.5   Average Selling Prices

5.4  Installed Base of Lamps by Form Factor

5.5  Revenue and Unit Shipments Forecasts by Product Type

5.5.1   Luminaires

5.5.2   Lamps

5.6  Revenue Forecasts for Lighting Controls

5.7  Revenue Forecasts by Geographic Region

5.8  Revenue Forecasts by Building Type

5.9  Conclusions and Recommendations

6. Company Directory
7. Acronym and Abbreviation List
8. Table of Contents
9. Table of Charts and Figures
10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Lighting Controls Revenue by Product Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Housing Completions, North America: 2005-2013
  • Installed Base of Lamps by Form Factor, North America: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire Revenue and Unit Shipments by Lamp Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lamp Revenue and Unit Shipments by Lamp Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lamp Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lighting Controls Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire Revenue by Building Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lamp Revenue by Building Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lighting Controls Revenue by Building Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lighting Controls Unit Shipments by Product Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lamp Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire, Lamp, and Lighting Controls Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire Unit Shipments by Building Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lamp Unit Shipments by Building Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lighting Controls Unit Shipments by Building Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Cost Breakdown Projection for a Typical A19 Replacement Lamp: 2012-2020
  • CCT Guide
  • Tubular CFL (Left) and Spiral CFL (Right)
  • Kindred OLED Luminaire from Acuity Brands
  • 24-Hour Mechanical Segment Timer

List of Tables

  • ASPs by Product Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Installed Base of Lamps by Form Factor, North America: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire Unit Shipments by Lamp Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire Revenue by Lamp Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lamp Unit Shipments by Lamp Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lamp Revenue by Lamp Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lighting Controls Unit Shipments by Product Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lighting Controls Revenue by Product Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire and Lamp Unit Shipments by Lamp Type, North America: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire and Lamp Unit Shipments by Lamp Type, Europe: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire and Lamp Unit Shipments by Lamp Type, Asia Pacific: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire and Lamp Unit Shipments by Lamp Type, Latin America: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire and Lamp Unit Shipments by Lamp Type, Middle East & Africa: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire and Lamp Revenue by Lamp Type, North America: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire and Lamp Revenue by Lamp Type, Europe: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire and Lamp Revenue by Lamp Type, Asia Pacific: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire and Lamp Revenue by Lamp Type, Latin America: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire and Lamp Revenue by Lamp Type, Middle East & Africa: 2014-2023
  • Lighting Controls Unit Shipments by Region and Product Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lighting Controls Revenue by Region and Product Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire Unit Shipments to Single-Dwelling Housing by Building Type and Lamp Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lamp Unit Shipments to Single-Dwelling Housing by Building Type and Lamp Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lighting Controls Unit Shipments to Single-Dwelling Housing by Building Type and Product Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire Unit Shipments to Multi-Dwelling Housing by Building Type and Lamp Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lamp Unit Shipments to Multi-Dwelling Housing by Building Type and Lamp Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lighting Controls Unit Shipments to Multi-Dwelling Housing by Building Type and Product Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire Revenue to Single-Dwelling Housing by Building Type and Lamp Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lamp Revenue to Single-Dwelling Housing by Building Type and Lamp Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lighting Controls Revenue to Single-Dwelling Housing by Building Type and Product Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Luminaire Revenue to Multi-Dwelling Housing by Building Type and Lamp Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lamp Revenue to Multi-Dwelling Housing by Building Type and Lamp Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lighting Controls Revenue to Multi-Dwelling Housing by Building Type and Product Type, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lamp Technology Summary
  • Selection of Smart Bulb Vendors
  • Other Connected Lighting Players
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Smart Thermostats http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/smart-thermostats http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/smart-thermostats#comments Thu, 25 Sep 2014 21:03:39 +0000 http://www.navigantresearch.com/?p=69333 Smart UtilitiesUtility Innovations
The market for communicating and smart thermostats has exploded with activity since 2013. Although it was introduced in the late 2000s, the technology has only recently gained stronger traction. The year 2014 has seen significant business activity in the form of mergers and acquisitions, international expansion, technological growth, and more conclusive evidence of cost-effectiveness. In North [...]]]>
Smart UtilitiesUtility Innovations

The market for communicating and smart thermostats has exploded with activity since 2013. Although it was introduced in the late 2000s, the technology has only recently gained stronger traction. The year 2014 has seen significant business activity in the form of mergers and acquisitions, international expansion, technological growth, and more conclusive evidence of cost-effectiveness.

In North America and Europe, interest in smart thermostat technology is growing among utilities and energy retailers, as well as consumers. In addition, small businesses are increasingly adopting solutions originally intended for residences as a low-cost way to manage the energy use of heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems. For other regions, the technology remains nascent, though there are conditions that could foster increased adoption in coming years. According to Navigant Research, global revenue for communicating and smart thermostats and associated software and services is expected to grow from $146.9 million in 2014 to $2.3 billion in 2023.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the global market opportunities for communicating and smart thermostats. The study provides an analysis of the market issues, including the current market drivers, inhibitors, and business segments, utility and vendor activity, and broad industry trends, associated with communicating and smart thermostats. Global market forecasts for unit shipments, average selling prices, revenue, and penetration rates, as well as revenue for associated software and services, extend through 2023. The report also examines the key technologies related to communicating and smart thermostats and profiles the major industry players.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • What are the main technology segments within the global market for communicating and smart thermostats?
  • What are the main business segments within the market for communicating and smart thermostats?
  • How do the business models for each segment differ from region to region?
  • What are the main market drivers and inhibitors regionally for smart thermostats?
  • What technology trends are shaping the market for smart thermostats?
  • How are consumers engaging with smart thermostats?
  • Where are the next global opportunities within the market for communicating and smart thermostats?
Who needs this report?
  • Thermostat manufacturers and component suppliers
  • Heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) vendors and system installers
  • Energy management platform providers
  • Energy service companies and energy retailers
  • Utilities
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1  Market Overview

1.1.1   Navigant Research Segment Definitions

1.2  Market Drivers and Inhibitors

1.3  Vendor Activity

1.4  Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues 

2.1  Market Overview

2.1.1   Smart Thermostat Definitions

2.1.2   What Is in the Data?

2.2  Business Segments/Structures

2.2.1   Standalone Offerings

2.2.2   Applications, Analytics, and Services

2.2.3   Bundled Home Automation/Control

2.2.4   Utility Energy Efficiency Programs and DR Resources

2.3  Market Drivers and Inhibitors

2.3.1   Energy Efficiency Goals and Directives

   2.3.1.1  United States

   2.3.1.2  Europe

   2.3.1.3  Asia Pacific

   2.3.1.4  Latin America

   2.3.1.5  Middle East & Africa

2.3.2   Nuclear and Coal Plant Retirements

2.3.3   Deferred Generation Investment

2.3.4   Grid Resiliency

2.3.5   Consumer Discussion

2.4  Utilities and Electricity Retailer Activity

2.4.1   Increasing Customer Satisfaction, Engagement, and Program Retention

2.4.2   Smart Thermostats for DR

   2.4.2.1  DLC

   2.4.2.2  Dynamic Pricing

   2.4.2.3  Ancillary Services

2.4.3   BYOT

2.5  Vendor Activity

2.5.1   Mergers, Acquisitions, and Collaborations

2.5.2   Patent Infringement

2.5.3   Expansion into New Markets

2.6  Broad Industry Trends

2.6.1   Moving to the Cloud

2.6.2   Developer APIs: Integrating the Whole Home

3. Technology Issues

3.1  Communicating and Smart Thermostat Overview

3.2  Inside the Thermostat

3.2.1   Network Interface

3.2.2   Processing and Memory

3.3  Considerations for Heating and Cooling Applications

3.3.1   Central HVAC

3.3.2   Ductless Mini-Split HVAC

3.3.3   Transportable Systems

3.3.4   Electric and Natural Gas Boilers

3.4  Open Standards, Internet Protocol, and Wireless Communications

3.4.1   Internet Protocol

3.4.2   Wireless Technologies

   3.4.2.1  ZigBee

      3.4.2.1.1.  Technology

      3.4.2.1.2.  SEP

   3.4.2.2  Wi-Fi

      3.4.2.2.1.  Technology

   3.4.2.3  Bluetooth

3.5  Software Considerations for Smart Thermostats

3.5.1   Analytics

3.5.2   Automation

4. Key Industry Players   

4.1  Thermostat Vendors

4.1.1   Allure Energy

4.1.2   Blue Line Innovations

4.1.3   Carrier

4.1.4   Climote

4.1.5   Computime

4.1.6   Control4

4.1.7   ecobee

4.1.8   Emerson Climate Technologies/White-Rodgers

4.1.9   GridPoint

4.1.10   Honeywell

4.1.11   Nest Labs

4.1.12   Radio Thermostat Company of America

4.1.13   Schneider Electric

4.1.14   tado GmbH

4.1.15   Trane

4.2  Apps, Analytics, and Platform Providers

4.2.1   Comverge

4.2.2   Earth Networks/WeatherBug

4.2.3   EcoFactor

4.2.4   Energate

4.2.5   EnergyHub

4.2.6   Landis+Gyr

4.2.7   Opower

4.2.8   Silver Spring Networks

4.3  Home Automation and Security Vendors

4.3.1   ADT

4.3.2   Alarm.com

4.3.3   AT&T

4.3.4   Comcast

4.3.5   iControl Networks

4.3.6   Vivint (Blackstone Group)

4.4  Utilities and Energy Retailers

4.4.1   Austin Energy

4.4.2   British Gas/Hive

4.4.3   Con Edison

4.4.4   NV Energy

4.4.5   OG&E

4.4.6   PG&E

4.4.7   SCE

4.4.8   SMUD

5. Market Forecasts

5.1  Overview

5.2  Forecasting Methodology

5.3  Smart Thermostat Revenue by Technology Segment

5.4  Global Market

5.5  North America

5.6  Europe

5.7  Asia Pacific

5.8  Latin America

5.9  Middle East & Africa

5.10  Conclusions and Recommendations

6. Company Directory
7. Acronym and Abbreviation List
8. Table of Contents
9. Table of Charts and Figures
10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Device and Software and Services Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Revenue by Segment, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Revenue by Segment, North America: 2014-2023
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Revenue by Segment, Europe: 2014-2023
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Revenue by Segment, Asia Pacific: 2014-2023
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Revenue by Segment, Latin America: 2014-2023
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Revenue by Segment, Middle East & Africa: 2014-2023
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Residential Installed Base by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Residential Penetration Rate by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Communicating Thermostat Device Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Communicating Thermostat Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Smart Thermostat Device Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Smart Thermostat Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Smart Thermostat Software and Services Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Smart Thermostat Software and Services Revenue by Category, North America: 2014-2023
  • Smart Thermostat Software and Services Revenue by Category, Europe: 2014-2023
  • Smart Thermostat Software and Services Revenue by Category, Asia Pacific: 2014-2023
  • Smart Thermostat Software and Services Revenue by Category, Latin America: 2014-2023
  • Smart Thermostat Software and Services Revenue by Category, Middle East & Africa: 2014-2023
  • Number of Financial Instruments in Place by Country, EU: End of 2011
  • Gas Production and Consumption, Gulf States: 2009
  • IP Stack Overview
  • Mapping Data Sources for Data Integration

List of Tables

  • Thermostat Technology Classification Comparison
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Device Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Residential Installed Base by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Residential Penetration Rate by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Device and Software and Services Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Revenue by Segment, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Revenue by Segment, North America: 2014-2023
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Revenue by Segment, Europe: 2014-2023
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Revenue by Segment, Asia Pacific: 2014-2023
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Revenue by Segment, Latin America: 2014-2023
  • Communicating/Smart Thermostat Revenue by Segment, Middle East & Africa: 2014-2023
  • Communicating Thermostat Device Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Communicating Thermostat ASP by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Communicating Thermostat Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Smart Thermostat Device Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Smart Thermostat ASP by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Smart Thermostat Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Smart Thermostat Software and Services Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Smart Thermostat Software and Services Revenue by Category, North America: 2014-2023
  • Smart Thermostat Software and Services Revenue by Category, Europe: 2014-2023
  • Smart Thermostat Software and Services Revenue by Category, Asia Pacific: 2014-2023
  • Smart Thermostat Software and Services Revenue by Category, Latin America: 2014-2023
  • Smart Thermostat Software and Services Revenue by Category, Middle East & Africa: 2014-2023
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Energy Storage Tracker 3Q14 http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/energy-storage-tracker-3q14 http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/energy-storage-tracker-3q14#comments Wed, 24 Sep 2014 13:47:58 +0000 http://www.navigantresearch.com/?p=69304 Smart Energy
Government funding, subsidies, and regulatory reforms in energy storage and related areas continue to encourage market growth. Lithium ion (Li-ion) technology has emerged as the global leader in energy storage technology. However, flywheels and flow batteries are also making significant headway. North America continues to move the market forward with commercial and demonstration grid-scale energy [...]]]>
Smart Energy

Government funding, subsidies, and regulatory reforms in energy storage and related areas continue to encourage market growth. Lithium ion (Li-ion) technology has emerged as the global leader in energy storage technology. However, flywheels and flow batteries are also making significant headway. North America continues to move the market forward with commercial and demonstration grid-scale energy storage projects. Western Europe – Germany, Italy, and the United Kingdom in particular – is also leading the market with utility-scale advanced battery and power-to-gas installations and announcements.

Key vendors in the industry continue to specialize as systems integrators in the supply chain. In some cases, integrators are entering the sector from other industries. This is a critical time for the advanced energy storage industry; in order for the industry to continue to scale, more systems integrators are needed. According to Navigant Research’s estimates, 362.8 MW of energy storage projects have been announced globally in the 2013-2014 period with an almost equal distribution between North America (103.3 MW), Asia Pacific (100.5 MW), and Western Europe (91.1 MW).

This Navigant Research report provides a comprehensive resource of energy storage projects worldwide. The Tracker includes a database of 697 projects (encompassing 1,160 systems) and tracks the country, region, market segment, capacity, status, technology vendor, systems integrator, applications, funding, investment, and key milestones of each project. In addition, the report includes analysis of the technology choice within each major region for energy storage, analysis of leading regions for energy storage capacity and projects, and market share analysis for technology vendors for deployed projects and projects in the pipeline.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • Which energy storage systems integrators have the largest market share?
  • Which energy storage technology vendors have the largest market share for deployed projects and for pipeline projects?
  • How many energy storage projects are currently underway worldwide?
  • Which regions are leading in terms of deployed market capacity and number of projects in the energy storage sector?
  • What is the technology choice within each region and which global regions are more innovative?
  • How many new energy storage projects have come online in the last 12 months?
Who needs this report?
  • Energy engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) firms
  • Energy storage technology vendors
  • Smart grid controls and software companies
  • Inverter companies
  • Solar finance companies
  • Utilities
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1  Introduction

1.2  Market Activity in 2013-2014

2. Current Market Outlook

2.1  Leading Regions and Technologies for Energy Storage Systems

2.2  Global Pipeline by Region and Technology

3. Vendor Market Share

3.1  Deployed Market Share by Technology Vendors

3.2  Pipeline Market Share by Technology Vendors

4. Company Directory
5. Acronym and Abbreviation List
6. Table of Contents
7. Table of Charts and Figures
8. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology

List of Charts and Figures

  • New Announced Projects, Excluding Pumped Storage, World Markets: 2013-2014
  • Deployed Capacity by Technology and Region, Excluding Traditional Pumped Storage, World Markets:
    3Q 2014
  • Pipeline Capacity by Technology and Region, World Markets: 3Q 2014
  • Deployed Capacity Market Share by Top 20 Technology Vendors, Excluding Traditional Pumped Storage, World Markets: 3Q 2014
  • Pipeline Capacity Market Share by Top 20 Technology Vendors, Excluding Traditional Pumped Storage, World Markets: 3Q 2014

List of Tables

  • Energy Storage Projects, All Segments, World Markets
  • Energy Storage Projects, North America
  • Energy Storage Projects, Western Europe
  • Energy Storage Projects, Eastern Europe
  • Energy Storage Projects, Asia Pacific
  • Energy Storage Projects, Latin America
  • Energy Storage Projects, Middle East & Africa
  • Energy Storage Projects, Bulk Storage Segment, World Markets
  • Energy Storage Projects, Ancillary Services Segment, World Markets
  • Energy Storage Projects, Community and Residential Segments, World Markets
  • Energy Storage Projects, Commercial Building and UPS Segments, World Markets
  • Energy Storage Projects, Microgrid and Remote/Off-Grid Segments, World Markets
  • Energy Storage Projects, Research, Development, and Demonstration Segment, World Markets
  • Energy Storage Projects, New Market Activity, World Markets: 3Q 2013-3Q 2014
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Microgrid Enabling Technologies http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/microgrid-enabling-technologies http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/microgrid-enabling-technologies#comments Tue, 16 Sep 2014 02:46:32 +0000 http://www.navigantresearch.com/?p=69063 Smart Energy
The microgrid market has changed significantly since 2012. For example, a much greater emphasis is now being placed on the economic value microgrids bring to the entire utility-led macrogrid. Furthermore, the value proposition for advanced energy storage has been greatly advanced by governments and regulators in key microgrid markets. Perhaps the most noteworthy change, though, [...]]]>
Smart Energy

The microgrid market has changed significantly since 2012. For example, a much greater emphasis is now being placed on the economic value microgrids bring to the entire utility-led macrogrid. Furthermore, the value proposition for advanced energy storage has been greatly advanced by governments and regulators in key microgrid markets. Perhaps the most noteworthy change, though, is the investigation of new business models designed to support full commercial implementation of microgrid systems.

This report profiles a variety of microgrid enabling technology (MET) options, many of which play significant roles as the purpose and design of microgrids expand to encompass technologies and services related to smart buildings, demand response, distribution and substation automation, and smart meters. The leading market opportunity within the realm of microgrids is with different forms of distributed generation (DG), including diesel generators, natural gas generators, and other forms of renewable DG. However, there is market opportunity within the microgrid space beyond DG. In fact, advanced energy storage will represent the single largest investment category among MET options by 2023, though DG investments as a whole will still be larger. According to Navigant Research, global annual DG vendor revenue is expected to grow from $1.8 billion in 2014 to $9.6 billion in 2023.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the global market for significant METs, including diesel generators, natural gas generators, fuel cells, solar PV, distributed wind, other renewables (micro-hydro and biomass), combined heat and power (CHP), smart islanding inverters, advanced energy storage, plug-in electric vehicle (PEV) energy storage capacity, and microgrid software. The study provides an analysis of the market issues, including technology drivers and implementation challenges, associated with microgrid technologies. Global market forecasts for capacity and revenue, segmented by technology and region, extend through 2023. The report also examines the basic principles and commercial time horizons for key METs, as well as the competitive landscape.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • Which technologies represent the best near- and long-term investment opportunities within the microgrid space?
  • How do distributed generation (DG) options stack up in terms of microgrid market share globally?
  • Which standards are shaping markets for different classes of key microgrid components?
  • Who are the leading players when it comes to providing integration and optimization technologies for microgrids?
  • How do key large technology players differentiate themselves in this market?
  • Why will software spending on microgrids double on a percentage basis over the next decade?
Who needs this report?
  • Distributed generation (DG) technology suppliers
  • Battery storage innovators and integrators
  • Inverter manufacturers
  • Microgrid developers
  • Smart building managers
  • Utilities
  • Regulators
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1  Introduction

1.2  Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues  

2.1  What Is a Microgrid?

2.1.1   Emerging Value Proposition Underpinning Microgrids

2.1.2   Key Applications

2.2  Current Microgrid Technology Drivers

2.2.1   Rising Cost of Diesel Fuel

2.2.2   Natural Gas Price Dynamics

2.2.3   Distributed Renewables Integration

2.2.4   Distribution and Substation Automation Trends

2.2.5   Smart Inverter Advances

2.2.6   Smart Switches

2.2.7   Advanced Energy Storage

2.2.8   Automated DR

2.2.9   Smart Buildings

2.2.10   Rising Popularity of PEVs

   2.2.10.1  Case Study: University of California, San Diego

2.2.11   Microgrid Controllers

2.2.12   Unique DC Microgrid Considerations

2.3  Implementation Challenges: Key Component Standards

2.3.1   UL 1741 Safety Standards for Grid Devices

2.3.2   IEEE Standards for DG

2.3.3   IEEE Standards for Energy Storage

2.3.4   IEC Standards for Transmission and Distribution Systems and Interoperability

2.3.5   DC Medium-Voltage Standards

2.3.6   EV Charging Standards

   2.3.6.1  DC Fast Charging

   2.3.6.2  EPRI’s Open Grid Integration Platform

3. Technology Issues

3.1  MET Overview

3.2  Component Breakdown of Microgrids

3.3  DG

3.4  Diesel Generators

3.5  Natural Gas Generators

3.5.1  Commercial Time Horizon

3.6  Fuel Cells

3.6.1  Basic Principles

3.6.2  Commercial Time Horizon

3.7  Solar PV

3.7.1  Basic Principles

3.7.2  Commercial Time Horizon

3.8  Distributed Wind

3.8.1  Basic Principles

3.8.2  Commercial Time Horizon

3.9  Other Renewables

3.9.1  Hydroelectric

3.9.2  Biomass

3.10  CHP

3.10.1  Basic Principles

3.10.2  Commercial Time Horizon

3.11  Smart Islanding Inverters

3.11.1  Basic Principles

3.11.2  Commercial Time Horizon

3.12  Advanced Energy Storage

3.12.1  Basic Principles

3.12.2  Commercial Time Horizon

3.13  EV Charging Technologies

3.13.1  Basic Principles

3.13.2  Commercial Time Horizon

3.14  Other Potential Microgrid Enabling Hardware Devices

3.15  Software Innovation

3.15.1  Basic Principles

3.15.2  Commercial Time Horizon

4. Key Industry Players 

4.1  Company Profiles Overview

4.2  Large Master Controller and System Integrators

4.2.1   ABB

4.2.2   GE Digital Energy

4.2.3   Lockheed Martin

4.2.4   Schneider Electric

4.2.5   Siemens AG

4.3  DG Innovators

4.3.1   Bloom Energy

4.3.2   Cummins Inc.

4.3.3   Northern Power Systems

4.3.4   SunEdison

4.3.5   Tecogen

4.4  Smart Islanding Inverters

4.4.1   Princeton Power Systems

4.4.2   SMA Solar Technology AG

4.5  Energy Storage

4.5.1   ViZn Energy Systems, Inc.

4.5.2   Win Inertia

4.5.3   Younicos

4.6  Smart Buildings

4.6.1   Honeywell

4.6.2   Johnson Controls, Inc.

4.7  Smart Switches

4.7.1   S&C Electric Company

4.8  Smaller Microgrid Controls Specialists

4.8.1   Encorp

4.8.2   ETAP

4.8.3   Green Energy Corp.

4.8.4   IPERC

4.9  PEV Charging and Energy Storage Innovators

4.9.1   Boulder Electric Vehicle

4.9.2   Ford

4.9.3   Nissan

5. Market Forecasts  

5.1  MET Market Forecast Overview

5.2  DG

5.3  Overall MET Market Share Estimates

5.4  Leading DG Revenue Opportunities: Solar PV and Distributed Wind

5.5  CHP

5.6  Smart Islanding Inverters

5.7  Advanced Energy Storage

5.8  PEV Energy Storage

5.9  Microgrid Optimization Software

5.10  Conclusions and Recommendations

6. Company Directory
7. Acronym and Abbreviation List
8. Table of Contents
9. Table of Charts and Figures
10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Total Annual Distributed Generation Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Total Microgrid Capacity by Segment, World Markets: 2Q 2014
  • Average Spot Price of Natural Gas by Select Market: 2001-2012
  • Smart Meters for DA Applications Installed Base by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
  • Commercial Building Automation Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2012-2021
  • Distributed Solar PV System Prices (Non-Weighted Average) by Component, World Markets: 2006-2013
  • DG Capacity Market Share in Microgrids, World Markets: 2014
  • DG Capacity Market Share in Microgrids, World Markets: 2023
  • Total Annual Distributed Generation Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • MET Vendor Revenue Market Share by Technology, World Markets: 2014
  • MET Vendor Revenue Market Share by Technology, World Markets: 2023
  • Annual Solar PV Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Solar PV Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Distributed Wind Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Distributed Wind Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual CHP Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual CHP Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Smart Islanding Inverter Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Smart Islanding Inverter Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Energy Storage Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Energy Storage Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual PEV Energy Storage Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual PEV Energy Storage Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Microgrid Software Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Total Annual Microgrid Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • General Electric’s Microgrid Energy Manager
  • Solar PV vs. Diesel Fuel Prices: 2001-2013
  • Diagram of CERTS Microgrid
  • Technology Drivers for DC Applications, Including Microgrids
  • Microgrid Economic Capabilities Matrix per Internal Technology and External Markets
  • Microgrids as a Portion of U.S. CHP Market
  • Centralized vs. Distributed Controls for Microgrids
  • Merger of GE and Alstom Grid: Shared History

List of Tables

  • Operating and Cost Characteristics of Key DG Technologies for Microgrids: 2014
  • Estimated Microgrid Component Prices, Key Markets: 2013
  • Annual Diesel Generator Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Diesel Generator Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Natural Gas Generator Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Natural Gas Generator Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Fuel Cell Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Fuel Cell Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Solar PV Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Solar PV Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Distributed Wind Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Distributed Wind Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Other Renewables Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Other Renewables Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Total Annual Distributed Generation Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Total Annual Distributed Generation Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual CHP Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual CHP Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Smart Islanding Inverter Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Smart Islanding Inverter Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Energy Storage Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Energy Storage Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual PEV Energy Storage Capacity Additions by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual PEV Energy Storage Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Annual Microgrid Software Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Total Annual Microgrid Vendor Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
  • Lexicon of Nanogrids, Microgrids, and VPPs
  • Microgrid Technology Matrix of Today’s Mandatory Components
  • Microgrid Technology Matrix of Future Idealized Components
  • Energy Storage for Microgrid Services by Microgrid Type
  • Diesel Generators for Microgrids SWOT Analysis
  • Natural Gas Generators for Microgrids SWOT Analysis
  • Fuel Cells for Microgrids SWOT Analysis
  • Solar PV for Microgrids SWOT Analysis
  • Distributed Wind for Microgrids SWOT Analysis
  • Hydroelectricity for Microgrids SWOT Analysis
  • Biomass for Microgrids SWOT Analysis
  • CHP for Microgrids SWOT Analysis
  • Smart Islanding Inverters for Microgrids SWOT Analysis
  • Advanced Energy Storage for Microgrids SWOT Analysis
  • PEVs for Microgrids SWOT Analysis
  • Software Controls for Microgrids SWOT Analysis
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Energy Storage for the Grid and Ancillary Services http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/energy-storage-for-the-grid-and-ancillary-services http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/energy-storage-for-the-grid-and-ancillary-services#comments Tue, 16 Sep 2014 02:31:53 +0000 http://www.navigantresearch.com/?p=69050 Smart EnergySmart Utilities
A confluence of market drivers in several key regional markets is making energy storage viable. Intermittent renewables have begun to undermine traditional energy assets in wholesale energy markets while creating instability in both energy markets and the grid system overall. In addition, several countries, including the United States, South Korea, and Japan, are pursuing aggressive [...]]]>
Smart EnergySmart Utilities

A confluence of market drivers in several key regional markets is making energy storage viable. Intermittent renewables have begun to undermine traditional energy assets in wholesale energy markets while creating instability in both energy markets and the grid system overall. In addition, several countries, including the United States, South Korea, and Japan, are pursuing aggressive market reforms and policies that are sending positive market signals for utility-scale energy storage.

Market challenges remain, however, as advances in cost reductions, supply chain development, and integration expertise are still underdeveloped across nearly every storage technology. The current market winners are vendors that have shifted away from being pure-play technology firms and developed systems integration expertise to complement their technology. Meanwhile, lithium ion (Li-ion) has established a clear lead in the market as the technology of choice in not only short-duration applications, but also bulk storage. According to Navigant Research, global installed energy storage for the grid and ancillary services (ESGAS) power capacity is expected to grow from 538.4 MW in 2014 to 20.8 GW in 2024.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the global market for ESGAS. Specifically, the applications analyzed in this study include arbitrage, electric supply reserve capacity, frequency regulation, grid asset optimization, load following, spinning reserve, transmission and distribution (T&D) upgrade deferral, utility-scale solar integration, utility-scale wind integration, and voltage support. Global market forecasts for power capacity, energy capacity, and revenue, segmented by region, technology, and application, extend through 2024. The report also examines the key technologies related to ESGAS, as well as the competitive landscape.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • How large is the global market for energy storage for the grid and ancillary services (ESGAS)?
  • Which technologies in bulk and short-duration energy storage will lead the market?
  • How quickly will the global market for bulk and short-duration energy storage grow and why?
  • What countries and global regions will lead the market for grid-scale energy storage?
  • Which markets should each ESGAS technology target and why?
Who needs this report?
  • Engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) firms
  • Energy storage technology firms
  • Solar financing companies
  • Smart grid controls and software companies
  • Inverter companies
  • Utilities
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1  Scope

1.2  Market Developments

2. Market Issues

2.1  End-Use Markets for Energy Storage

2.2  Historical Data

2.2.1   Deployments by Technology

2.2.2   Market Share by Deployed Capacity

2.3  Regional Analysis

2.3.1   North America

   2.3.1.1  AB 2514 Procurement Plans for 2014

   2.3.1.2  Ontario

2.3.2   Europe

   2.3.2.1  Pan-European Developments

   2.3.2.2  Italy

2.3.3   Asia Pacific

   2.3.3.1  Japan

   2.3.3.2  South Korea

3. Technology Issues

3.1  Overview

3.2  Advanced Flow Batteries

3.2.1   ZBR

3.2.2   VR

3.2.3   Iron Chromium

3.3  Advanced Lead-Acid Batteries

3.4  Advanced Li-ion Batteries

3.5  CAES

3.6  Flywheels

3.7  NaS Batteries

3.8  Power-to-Gas

3.9  Pumped Storage

3.10  Sodium Metal Halide Batteries

4. Key Industry Players

4.1  Flow Battery Vendors

4.1.1   EnerVault

4.1.2   Redflow

4.2  CAES Vendors

4.2.1   Hydrostor

4.2.2   SustainX

4.3  Flywheel Vendors

4.3.1   Beacon Power

4.3.2   Temporal Power

4.4  Li-Ion Vendors

4.4.1   LG Chem

4.4.2   Panasonic

4.4.3   Samsung SDI

4.4.4   Sony

4.4.5   Toshiba

4.5  Sodium Metal Halide Vendors

4.5.1   FIAMM SoNick

4.5.2   GE

4.6  Software and Integration

4.6.1   ABB

4.6.2   S&C Electric Company

4.6.3   Other Key Players

5. Market Forecasts

5.1  Introduction

5.2  Methodology

5.2.1   ESGAS Baseline Figures

5.2.2   ESGAS CAPEX

5.3  ESGAS Power Capacity Forecast

5.4  ESGAS Energy Capacity Forecast

5.5  ESGAS Revenue Forecast

5.6  Conclusions and Recommendations

6. Company Directory
7. Acronym and Abbreviation List
8. Table of Contents
9. Table of Charts and Figures
10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • ESGAS Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2007-2013
  • ESGAS Power Capacity Market Share by Top 10 Technology Vendors, World Markets: 2007-2014
  • ESGAS Power Capacity Commissioned by Region, World Markets: 2007-2014
  • ESGAS Market Segment Growth Profiles by Growth Type, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed ESGAS Power Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed ESGAS Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed ESGAS Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed ESGAS Power Capacity by Application, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed ESGAS Energy Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed ESGAS Energy Capacity by Application, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed ESGAS Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2024

List of Tables

  • ESGAS Policy Drivers, North America: 2014
  • ESGAS Applications, Technologies, and Typical Customers
  • ESGAS Power Capacity by Technology and Year Commissioned, World Markets: 2007-2014
  • ESGAS Power Capacity by Region and Year Commissioned, World Markets: 2007-2014
  • ESGAS Power Capacity Market Share by Top 10 Technology Vendors, World Markets: 2007-2014
  • ESGAS Market Segment Growth Profiles by Growth Type, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • ESGAS Baseline Power Capacity by Region and Metric: 2014 and 2024
  • ESGAS CAPEX Assumptions by Technology and Application, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed ESGAS Power Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed ESGAS Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed ESGAS Power Capacity by Application, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed ESGAS Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed ESGAS Energy Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed ESGAS Energy Capacity by Application, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed ESGAS Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed ESGAS Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • Installed ESGAS Revenue by Application, World Markets: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Power Capacity by Technology and Application, North America: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Power Capacity by Technology and Application, Western Europe: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Power Capacity by Technology and Application, Eastern Europe: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Power Capacity by Technology and Application, Middle East: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Power Capacity by Technology and Application, Africa: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Energy Capacity by Technology and Application, North America: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Energy Capacity by Technology and Application, Western Europe: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Energy Capacity by Technology and Application, Eastern Europe: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Energy Capacity by Technology and Application, Asia Pacific: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Energy Capacity by Technology and Application, Latin America: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Energy Capacity by Technology and Application, Middle East: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Energy Capacity by Technology and Application, Africa: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Revenue by Technology and Application, North America: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Revenue by Technology and Application, Western Europe: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Revenue by Technology and Application, Eastern Europe: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Revenue by Technology and Application, Asia Pacific: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Revenue by Technology and Application, Latin America: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Revenue by Technology and Application, Middle East: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Revenue by Technology and Application, Africa: 2014-2024
  • Operating Characteristics of Leading Advanced Battery Technologies
  • Characteristics of Li-ion Battery Chemistries
  • LFP Summary
  • LMO Summary
  • LTO Summary
  • LCO Summary
  • NCA Summary
  • NMC Summary
  • NaS Summary
  • Other Key Players
  • Sodium Metal Halide Summary
  • Applications and Corresponding Baseline Figure
  • ESGAS Baseline Power Capacity by Region and Metric: 2014 and 2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Power Capacity by Technology and Application, Asia Pacific: 2014-2024
  • New Installed ESGAS Power Capacity by Technology and Application, Latin America: 2014-2024
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Zero Energy Buildings http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/zero-energy-buildings http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/zero-energy-buildings#comments Thu, 04 Sep 2014 19:24:26 +0000 http://www.navigantresearch.com/?p=68796 Smart Buildings
Zero energy building (ZEB) solutions are being pursued by governments, corporations, and individuals to minimize the carbon footprint of their buildings. A ZEB uses as much energy over the course of the year as it generates from onsite renewables. Also called net zero energy buildings and, in the European Union (EU), nearly zero energy buildings [...]]]>
Smart Buildings

Zero energy building (ZEB) solutions are being pursued by governments, corporations, and individuals to minimize the carbon footprint of their buildings. A ZEB uses as much energy over the course of the year as it generates from onsite renewables. Also called net zero energy buildings and, in the European Union (EU), nearly zero energy buildings (nZEBs), ZEBs bring together existing energy efficient technologies to form a high-performance building. Today, hundreds of pilot ZEBs, encompassing commercial and residential buildings of all types (retail, office, educational, government, etc.), are being developed, many as pilot projects to showcase technology.

While several pilots are trying to prove the investment savings in lower energy bills, a stronger driver for the adoption of ZEBs is regulation. Policies like the EU’s Energy Performance of Buildings Directive (EPBD) and California’s evolving Title 24 building code are forcing ZEB markets to come into place for new commercial, new residential, and retrofitted commercial space. One notable challenge is the variety of definitions of a ZEB and the lack of a single standards body to identify what success looks like. Although the global outlook for ZEBs is strong, the market will start slowly. According to Navigant Research, global ZEB revenue is expected to grow from $629.3 million in 2014 to $1.4 trillion by 2035.

This Navigant Research report defines and analyzes the global market for ZEBs with a focus on six product and service categories: lighting, walls and roof, glazing, heating, ventilation, and air conditioning (HVAC) systems, renewable energy, and soft costs. The study provides an analysis of the region-specific and worldwide market issues, including drivers and barriers, associated with ZEBs. Global market forecasts for revenue, broken out by region, product/service, and development type (commercial construction, commercial retrofits, and residential), extend through 2035. The report also examines the key technologies and services related to ZEBs, as well as the competitive landscape.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • What is a zero energy/net zero energy/nearly zero energy building?
  • How is policy driving the adoption of zero energy buildings (ZEBs)?
  • What are the main barriers to widespread ZEB adoption?
  • What kinds of technologies are used in ZEBs?
  • Who are the primary market players in the ZEB industry?
  • How are the market players influencing the regional ZEB markets?
Who needs this report?
  • Energy efficient equipment vendors
  • Real estate investors and property managers
  • Production homebuilders
  • Smart building service and technology vendors
  • Solar hardware vendors
  • Electric utilities
  • Government agencies and policymakers
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1  Introduction

1.1  Overview

1.2  Key Market Trends

1.3  Global Market Size and Forecast

2. Market Issues 

2.1  Introduction

2.2  Definition of ZEBs

2.2.1   Other Net Zero Approaches

2.3  Market Drivers

2.3.1   Commercial versus Residential Buildings

2.3.2   New Construction versus Retrofits

2.3.3   Legislation and Building Code

2.3.4   The Rise of Green Buildings

   2.3.4.1  Green Buildings, LEED, and ZEBs

2.3.5   ZEB Standards and Certification Bodies

   2.3.5.1  Passive House

   2.3.5.2  Other ZEB Leaders

2.3.6   Technology Innovation and Cost Decreases

2.4  Market Barriers

2.4.1   Cost Premiums

2.4.2   ROIs

2.4.3   Grid Integration

2.4.4   Electric Vehicles and Rising Plug Load

2.4.5   Construction and Operation

2.4.6   Terminology and Awareness

3. Regional Analysis 

3.1  Regional Overview

3.2  North America

3.2.1   U.S. Federal Government

   3.2.1.1  U.S. DOE

   3.2.1.2  U.S. GSA

3.2.2   California

   3.2.2.1  TDV

3.2.3   Massachusetts

3.2.4   Canada

3.3  Europe

3.3.1   EU Policies

   3.3.1.1  EPBD

   3.3.1.2  Very Low Energy Houses

3.3.2   United Kingdom

3.3.3   France

3.3.4   Germany

3.4  Asia Pacific

3.4.1   Japan

3.4.2   Singapore

3.4.3   China

3.4.4   Rest of Asia Pacific

3.5  Latin America

3.6  Middle East

3.7  Africa

4. Technology Issues

4.1  Technology Overview

4.2  Siting and Context

4.2.1   Integrated Design

4.2.2    Building Design

4.2.3   Building Energy Modeling

4.2.4   Location-Based Issues

4.2.5   Calculating Renewable Power Potential

4.2.6   Campuswide Integration

4.2.7   Microgrids and Nanogrids versus ZEBs

4.3  Building Envelope

4.3.1   Wall Insulation and Building Envelope

4.3.2   Windows and Glazing

   4.3.2.1  Modern Window Characteristics

   4.3.2.2  Smart Glass

4.3.3   Thermal Mass Storage and ZEBs

4.3.4   Roofs and ZEBs

   4.3.4.1  Cool and Green Roofs

4.4  Energy Efficiency and Integrated Design

4.4.1   HVAC Systems

   4.4.1.1  Heating

   4.4.1.2  Cooling

   4.4.1.3  Ground-Source Heat Pumps

   4.4.1.4  IAQ

4.4.2   Energy Efficient Lighting

4.4.3   Daylighting and Fenestration

4.4.4   Hot Water

4.4.5   Direct Current Power

4.5  Plug Loads

4.5.1   Energy Efficient Appliance Standards

4.5.2   Smart Appliances

4.5.3   Electric Vehicle Integration

4.6  Building Energy Management

4.6.1   Building Controls

4.6.2   BEMSs

4.6.3   Continuous Commissioning

4.7  Renewable Energy

4.7.1   Solar PV

   4.7.1.1  Inverters and Micro-Inverters

   4.7.1.2  BIPV

4.7.2   Solar Thermal Systems

4.7.3   Biomass and CHP

4.7.4   Fuel Cells

4.7.5   Energy Storage Technology

4.8  Net Zero Water

5. Key Industry Players  

5.1  Overview

5.2  Real Estate, AEC, and Software Firms

5.2.1   Autodesk

5.2.2   CBRE

5.2.3   DPR Construction

5.2.4   Hines

5.2.5   JLL

5.2.6   Masdar

5.2.7   Meritage Homes

5.2.8   Related Companies

5.3  Energy Efficient Equipment and Performance Firms

5.3.1   Altura Associates

5.3.2   Big Ass Solutions

5.3.3   Building Robotics

5.3.4   Daikin

5.3.5    Honeywell

5.3.6   Schneider Electric

5.3.7   Siemens Building Technologies

5.3.8   SunPower

5.3.9   View Inc.

6. Market Forecasts 

6.1  Overview

6.1.1   Products and Services Segmentation

6.2  Global Outlook

6.3  North America

6.3.1   Commercial

6.3.2   Residential

6.4  Europe

6.4.1   Commercial

6.4.2   Residential

6.5  Asia Pacific

6.5.1   Commercial

6.5.2   Residential

6.6  Middle East

6.6.1   Commercial

6.6.2   Residential

6.7  Rest of World

6.8  Conclusions and Recommendations

7. Company Directory
8. Acronym and Abbreviation List
9. Table of Contents
10. Table of Charts and Figures
11. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Total Zero Energy Building Revenue, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • NBI-Tracked New Zero Energy Buildings by Year, North America: 1994-2013
  • Total Building Stock by Building Type, World Markets: 2014
  • Total Commercial Building Stock by Development Type, World Markets: 2014
  • Average Solar PV Installed Price by Size, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Total Zero Energy Building Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Construction Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, North America: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Retrofit Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, North America: 2014-2035
  • Residential Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, North America: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Construction Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Europe: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Retrofit Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Europe: 2014-2035
  • Residential Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Europe: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Construction Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Asia Pacific: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Retrofit Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Asia Pacific: 2014-2035
  • Residential Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Asia Pacific: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Construction Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Middle East: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Retrofit Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Middle East: 2014-2035
  • Residential Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Middle East: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Construction Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Rest of World: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Retrofit Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Rest of World: 2014-2035
  • Residential Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Rest of World: 2014-2035
  • The Evolution of Building Energy Demand and Generation
  • Representative ZEB and Its Associated Components
  • Zero Energy Building Annual Energy Balance
  • Successive Code Improvements for California’s Building Stock
  • Building Performance Mechanisms
  • A Schematic Representation of an Integrated Design Team
  • Modeled PV Potential in the United States
  • PVWatts Screenshots of PV Size Estimation
  • Ciralight Global Positioning System-Powered Solar Tracking Sunlight
  • BIPV at the UC Merced Science and Engineering 2 Building
  • The U.S. Army’s Net Zero Implementation Strategy

List of Tables

  • NBI-Tracked New Zero Energy Buildings by Year, North America: 1994-2013
  • Average Solar PV Installed Price by Size, World Markets: 2013-2020
  • Total Building Stock by Building Type, World Markets: 2014
  • Total Commercial Building Stock by Development Type, World Markets: 2014
  • Commercial Construction Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, North America: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Retrofit Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, North America: 2014-2035
  • Total Commercial Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, North America: 2014-2035
  • Residential Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, North America: 2014-2035
  • Total Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, North America: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Construction Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Europe: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Retrofit Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Europe: 2014-2035
  • Total Commercial Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Europe: 2014-2035
  • Residential Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Europe: 2014-2035
  • Total Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Europe: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Construction Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Asia Pacific: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Retrofit Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Asia Pacific: 2014-2035
  • Total Commercial Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Asia Pacific: 2014-2035
  • Residential Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Asia Pacific: 2014-2035
  • Total Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Asia Pacific: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Construction Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Middle East: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Retrofit Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Middle East: 2014-2035
  • Total Commercial Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Middle East: 2014-2035
  • Residential Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Middle East: 2014-2035
  • Total Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Middle East: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Construction Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Rest of World: 2014-2035
  • Commercial Retrofit Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Rest of World: 2014-2035
  • Total Commercial Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Rest of World: 2014-2035
  • Residential Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Rest of World: 2014-2035
  • Total Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, Rest of World: 2014-2035
  • Total Zero Energy Building Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • Total Zero Energy Building Revenue by Product/Service, World Markets: 2014-2035
  • nZEB 2020 Roadmap Status, European Union: 2012
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Global Distributed Generation Deployment Forecast http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/global-distributed-generation-deployment-forecast http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/global-distributed-generation-deployment-forecast#comments Fri, 29 Aug 2014 17:26:23 +0000 http://www.navigantresearch.com/?p=68691 Smart Energy
The rise of distributed generation (DG) is one of the most important trends in the energy industry today. Utility business models are threatened by the dramatic growth in the deployment of technologies that generate electricity onsite or at the distribution grid level, reducing the need to purchase electrons from centrally located utility-scale generation facilities. To date, [...]]]>
Smart Energy

The rise of distributed generation (DG) is one of the most important trends in the energy industry today. Utility business models are threatened by the dramatic growth in the deployment of technologies that generate electricity onsite or at the distribution grid level, reducing the need to purchase electrons from centrally located utility-scale generation facilities.

To date, DG has been more disruptive in Western Europe than in any other region. Utilities are losing hundreds of billions of dollars in market capitalization as DG reaches higher levels of penetration in leading countries such as Germany, the United Kingdom, and Italy. The prospect of similar losses by utilities in the United States is prompting a battle among utilities, the DG industry, and regulators seeking to strike a balance that allows for DG growth while allowing utilities to benefit. Such a balance would enable DG customers and utilities to take advantage of new revenue opportunities enabled by DG while fairly compensating utilities for the ability to use the existing electrical grid as a backup service for onsite power at higher concentrations in the future. According to Navigant Research, annual installed capacity in the global DG market is expected to grow from 87.3 GW in 2014 to 165.5 GW in 2023.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the global market for DG technologies, including solar PV (<1 MW), small wind turbines (SWTs; <500 kW), stationary fuel cells, natural gas generator sets (gensets; <6 MW), and diesel gensets (<6 MW).  Installed capacity, revenue, and pricing forecasts are included for the time period of 2014-2023 for 54 countries.  The report also includes region- and country-specific market analyses, qualitative analysis of installed capacity by customer segment and/or power class for leading markets, and an overview of modeling assumptions.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • What countries are the strongest markets for distributed generation (DG) deployment?
  • What is the DG market size by technology and country?
  • What are the key drivers and barriers to the deployment of DG in leading markets?
  • What are the costs of DG technologies now and in the future?
  • What are the most important technology, policy, and capital trends affecting DG?
  • What is the projected market size for distributed solar PV, small wind turbines (SWTs), fuel cells, natural gas generator sets (gensets), and diesel gensets by country?
  • What is the overall global outlook for DG?
Who needs this report?
  • Utilities
  • Distributed generation (DG) OEMs and suppliers
  • Solar PV companies
  • Small wind turbine (SWT) companies
  • Diesel generator set (genset) companies
  • Natural gas genset companies
  • Government agencies and regulators
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1  Introduction

1.2  Technology Scope

1.3  Global Forecasts

2. Data Assumptions 

2.1  Introduction

2.2  Methodology

2.2.1   Annual Installed Capacity

2.2.2   Revenue

2.3  Geographic Scope

2.4  Technology Scope

2.4.1   Solar PV Systems

2.4.2   Small Wind Systems

2.4.3   Stationary Fuel Cells

2.4.4   Gensets

2.5  Technology Pricing Assumptions

2.5.1   Solar PV Pricing Assumptions

2.5.2   Small Wind Pricing Assumptions

2.5.3   Stationary Fuel Cell Pricing Assumptions

2.5.4   Genset Pricing Assumptions

2.6  DG Market Drivers

2.6.1   Renewable Energy Targets and DG Carve-Outs

   2.6.1.1  North America

   2.6.1.2  Europe

   2.6.1.3  Asia Pacific

2.6.2   FITs and Net Metering

   2.6.2.1  North America

   2.6.2.2  Europe

   2.6.2.3  Asia Pacific

2.6.3   Increase in Catastrophic Power Outages

2.6.4   Rural Electrification

2.6.5   The Evolving Utility Business Model

3. Market Forecasts 

3.1  DG Forecasts

3.1.1   DG Forecasts by Technology

   3.1.1.1  Distributed Solar PV Forecast

   3.1.1.2  Small Wind Forecasts

   3.1.1.3  Fuel Cell Forecasts

   3.1.1.4  NG Genset Forecasts

   3.1.1.5  Diesel Genset Forecasts

3.1.2   DG Forecasts by Geography

   3.1.2.1  North America

      3.1.2.1.1.  United States

   3.1.2.2  Western Europe

      3.1.2.2.1.  France

      3.1.2.2.2.  Germany

      3.1.2.2.3.  Italy

      3.1.2.2.4.  United Kingdom

   3.1.2.3  Eastern Europe

   3.1.2.4  Asia Pacific

      3.1.2.4.1.  Australia

      3.1.2.4.2.  China

      3.1.2.4.3.  India

      3.1.2.4.4   Japan

   3.1.2.5  Latin America

   3.1.2.6  Middle East

   3.1.2.7  Africa

3.2  Conclusions

4. Acronym and Abbreviation List
5. Table of Contents
6. Table of Charts and Figures
7. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
    • Annual Centralized Power Plant and Distributed Generation Capacity Additions and Revenue, World Markets: 2014-2023
    • Distributed Solar PV Installed Cost by Region, World Markets: 2009-2023
    • Small Wind System Installed Cost by System Size, United Kingdom: 2013
    • Annual GDP, New Electric Capacity Additions, and New Distributed Generation Capacity Additions, World Markets: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity and Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Solar PV Installed Capacity and Revenue, World Markets: 2014-2023
    • Annual Small Wind Installed Capacity and Revenue, World Markets: 2014-2023
    • Annual Stationary Fuel Cell Installed Capacity and Revenue, World Markets: 2014-2023
    • Annual Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue, World Markets: 2014-2023
    • Annual Diesel Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue, World Markets: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity and Revenue by Country, North America: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity and Revenue by Country, Western Europe: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity and Revenue by Country, Eastern Europe: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity and Revenue by Country, Asia Pacific: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity and Revenue by Country, Latin America: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity and Revenue by Country, Middle East: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity and Revenue by Country, Africa: 2014-2023
    • RPSs with Solar/DG Provisions, United States: March 2013
    • Forward Spot Price for Baseload Electricity, Europe: 2010-2013
    • California Independent System Operator Net Load: 2012-2020
    • FIT Rate Schedule, United Kingdom: 2012-2016

List of Tables

    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity by Technology and Country, North America: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity by Technology and Country, Western Europe: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity by Technology and Country, Eastern Europe: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity by Technology and Country, Asia Pacific: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity by Technology and Country, Latin America: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity by Technology and Country, Middle East: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Installed Capacity by Technology and Country, Africa: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Revenue by Technology and Country, North America: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Revenue by Technology and Country, Western Europe: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Revenue by Technology and Country, Eastern Europe: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Revenue by Technology and Country, Asia Pacific: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Revenue by Technology and Country, Latin America: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Revenue by Technology and Country, Middle East: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Generation Revenue by Technology and Country, Africa: 2014-2023
    • Annual Distributed Solar PV Generation Capacity by Country and Customer Segment, Europe: 2013
    • Cumulative Distributed Solar PV Generation Capacity by Country and Customer Segment, Europe: 2013
    • Distributed Solar PV Installed Cost by System Size and Region, World Markets: 2009-2023
    • Small Wind System Average Installed Cost, World Markets: 2009-2023
    • Fuel Cell Average Installed Cost, World Markets: 2009-2023
    • Natural Gas Genset Average Installed Cost, World Markets: 2009-2023
    • Diesel Genset Average Installed Cost, World Markets: 2009-2023
    • DG Technology Comparison
    • Estimated Losses per Hour of Grid Failure
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Smart Meters http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/smart-meters http://www.navigantresearch.com/research/smart-meters#comments Wed, 27 Aug 2014 20:43:19 +0000 http://www.navigantresearch.com/?p=68617 Smart UtilitiesUtility Innovations
The smart electric meter market has shifted emphasis to projects in Europe and Asia Pacific while the once hot U.S. market has leveled off, as federal funding for projects has been nearly exhausted. However, deployments do continue. Even with the U.S. slowdown, smart meter vendors report business activity is increasing in Western Europe, where utilities [...]]]>
Smart UtilitiesUtility Innovations

The smart electric meter market has shifted emphasis to projects in Europe and Asia Pacific while the once hot U.S. market has leveled off, as federal funding for projects has been nearly exhausted. However, deployments do continue. Even with the U.S. slowdown, smart meter vendors report business activity is increasing in Western Europe, where utilities in Spain, France, and the United Kingdom have projects underway or about to begin that will account for some 93 million new meters by the end of 2020. Similarly, in Eastern Europe, utilities have stepped up plans for smart meter deployments.

In Asia Pacific, utilities in China continue to install large numbers of smart meters as part of a 5-year nationwide plan to upgrade grid infrastructure. Major deployments are planned in Japan that are expected to eventually account for some 80 million smart meters, with Tokyo Electric Power Company (TEPCO) taking the lead there. In India, pilot projects are taking place that will set the stage for large smart meter deployments that will start later this decade and are expected to total more than 150 million new devices. According to Navigant Research, global revenue from annual smart meter shipments is expected to grow from $4.4 billion in 2013 to $6.6 billion in 2023.

This Navigant Research report examines the global market opportunity for smart electric meters, with a focus on four neighborhood area network (NAN) communications technologies: radio frequency (RF) mesh, RF point-to-point, RF public, and power line communications (PLC). The study examines the drivers and barriers shaping the market, along with the major technology issues. Global market forecasts for smart electric meter shipments and the associated revenue, broken out by region, meter type, and NAN technology, extend through 2023. The report also provides key vendor profiles and a discussion of broad metering trends and activities worldwide.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • What market forces are shaping the global smart electric meter market?
  • How many smart meters will be shipped worldwide through 2023?
  • What is the size of the revenue opportunity for smart meters?
  • What technical issues are shaping the smart electric meter market?
  • How will the market for smart meters play out across the global regions?
Who needs this report?
  • Smart electric meter manufacturers and component suppliers
  • Electric utilities and grid operators
  • Electric meter communications module vendors
  • Regulators
  • Electric industry associations
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1  Introduction

1.2  Market Drivers

1.3  Market Barriers

1.4  Market Forecast

2. Market Issues

2.1  Smart Meter Market Overview

2.1.1   Maturing Market, Different Specs

2.1.2   Smart Electric Meters

2.1.3   Common Terms

2.2  Market Drivers

2.2.1   Energy Policy Drivers

   2.2.1.1  North America

   2.2.1.2  Europe

   2.2.1.3  Asia Pacific

   2.2.1.4  Latin America

   2.2.1.5  Middle East & Africa

2.3  Market Barriers

2.3.1   Broader Electricity Industry Issues

2.4  Market Activity

2.4.1   North America

   2.4.1.1  Cooperatives, Municipal Utilities

   2.4.1.2  Canada

2.4.2   Europe

   2.4.2.1  Poland

   2.4.2.2  Spain

   2.4.2.3  Denmark

   2.4.2.4  Great Britain

   2.4.2.5  France

   2.4.2.6  Netherlands

   2.4.2.7  Germany

2.4.3   Asia Pacific

   2.4.3.1  Japan

   2.4.3.2  China

   2.4.3.3  India

2.4.4   Latin America

2.4.5   Middle East & Africa

2.5  Industry Dynamics

3. Technology Issues

3.1  Smart Meter Overview

3.1.1   Key Components

3.1.2   Smart Meter Requirements

   3.1.2.1  European Minimums

3.2  Meter Technology

3.3  NAN Communications Technologies

3.3.1   RF Mesh Networks

   3.3.1.1  Physical and Link Layer Protocols

   3.3.1.2  Performance Characteristics

3.3.2   RF Point-to-Multipoint Networks

   3.3.2.1  Private RF Point-to-Multipoint Systems

   3.3.2.2  Cellular-Based Systems

   3.3.2.3  Performance Characteristics

3.3.3   PLC

   3.3.3.1  Low-Speed PLC

   3.3.3.2  Narrowband PLC

   3.3.3.3  Broadband over Power Line

   3.3.3.4  Performance Characteristics

3.3.4   HAN Interface

   3.3.4.1  RF HANs

      3.3.4.1.1.  ZigBee

      3.3.4.1.2.  Other RF HAN Technologies

   3.3.4.2  PLC HANs

      3.3.4.2.1.  HomePlug

      3.3.4.2.2.  HomeGrid/ITU G.hn

3.4  Other Smart Meter Communications Configurations

3.5  Key Technical Issues

3.5.1   Interoperability and the Move to IP-Based Networks

3.5.2   Integrated System Security

3.5.3   Future-Proofing

3.6  Standards Issues

3.6.1   Who Sets Metering Standards?

3.6.2   Standard Set of Standards Efforts

   3.6.2.1  National Institute of Standards and Technology

   3.6.2.2  European OPEN Meter Project

   3.6.2.3  Utility-Driven Standardization

3.6.3   Standards Evolution Implications

4. Key Industry Players  

4.1  Smart Meter and Communications Vendors

4.1.1   Aclara

4.1.2   Echelon

4.1.3   Elster Group

4.1.4   GE Digital Energy

4.1.5   Holley Metering

4.1.6   Iskraemeco

4.1.7   Itron

4.1.8   Kamstrup

4.1.9   Landis+Gyr

4.1.10   Nuri Telecom

4.1.11   Sagemcom

4.1.12   Sensus

4.1.13   Siemens Energy

4.1.14   Silver Spring Networks

4.1.15   Tantalus Systems

4.1.16   Trilliant

4.1.17   Wasion Group

4.1.18   ZIV

5. Market Forecasts   

5.1  Introduction

5.2  Global Electric Meter Installed Base

5.3  Global Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Region

5.3.1   North American Smart Meter Shipments

5.3.2   European Smart Meter Shipments

5.3.3   Asia Pacific Smart Meter Shipments

5.3.4   Latin America Smart Meter Shipments

5.3.5   Middle East & Africa Smart Meter Shipments

5.4  Global Smart Meter Revenue

5.5  Conclusions and Recommendations

6. Company Directory
7. Acronym and Abbreviation List
8. Table of Contents
9. Table of Charts and Figures
10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Smart Meter Penetration Rate of All Electric Meters by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Electric Meter Installed Base by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Electric Meter Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Share of Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Utility Type, United States: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Unit Shipments and Installed Base Penetration, United States: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Unit Shipments and Installed Base Penetration, Canada: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Revenue and ASPs, North America: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Revenue and ASPs, Europe: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Revenue and ASPs, Asia Pacific: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Revenue and ASPs, Latin America: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Revenue and ASPs, Middle East & Africa: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Installed Base by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Segment, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments as a Percentage of All Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Advanced Smart Meter Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Advanced Smart Meter Penetration of All Meters by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Share of Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Share of Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology, North America: 2013-2023
  • Share of Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology, Europe: 2013-2023
  • Share of Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Basic and Advanced Smart Meter Revenue and ASPs, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Simplified Smart Meter Network Architecture
  • Smart Meter Deployment Plans by EU Member States
  • Smart Meter Form Factors
  • European Commission’s Recommended 10 Minimum Functional Requirements
  • Mesh Network Configuration
  • Star Network
  • A PLC Topology
  • SEP 2.0 Interoperability Model for HANs

List of Tables

  • Electric Meter Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Electric Meter Installed Base by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Installed Base and Penetration Rates by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Advanced Smart Meter Installed Base and Penetration Rates by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Unit Shipments, ASPs, and Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Unit Shipments as a Percentage of All Electric Meter Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Region and NAN Technology, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Basic Smart Meter Unit Shipments, ASPs, and Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Basic Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Region and NAN Technology, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments, ASPs, and Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Region and NAN Technology, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Electric Meter Unit Shipments by Country, North America: 2013-2023
  • Electric Meter Installed Base by Country, North America: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Installed Base and Penetration Rate by Country, North America: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Unit Shipments, ASPs, and Revenue by Country, North America: 2013-2023
  • Basic Smart Meter Unit Shipments and Revenue by Country, North America: 2013-2023
  • Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments and Revenue by Country, North America: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Installed Base and Penetration Rate by Utility Type, United States: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Utility Type, United States: 2013-2023
  • Electric Meter Installed Base by Meter Type, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments as a Percentage of Total Smart Meter Unit Shipments, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology and Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Advanced Smart Meter Unit Shipments by NAN Technology, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Basic and Advanced Smart Meter Revenue and ASPs, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Smart Meter Mergers and Acquisitions: 2014
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