Market Data: Advanced Energy Storage for Automotive Applications

Li-Ion Traction Energy Batteries for Light Duty Passenger and Medium and Heavy Duty Buses and Trucks: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts

EV sales continue to rise rapidly around the world. Declining battery costs have positioned these vehicles for dramatic market success in the years to come, and long-range EVs are now competitive in price among economy brands after subsidies. This milestone marks a threshold likely to move EVs from a niche vehicle option to the next vehicle option for many light duty (LD) and some medium/heavy duty (MD/HD) vehicle consumers. Due to the effect of emissions compliance requirements, charging infrastructure considerations, and customer awareness, sales of battery EVs (BEVs), plug-in hybrid EVs (PHEVs), and hybrid EVs (HEVs)—collectively referred to as xEVs—continue to vary in popularity across all regions.

The primary engineering consideration for various xEV technologies is the approach to energy storage. Early hybrid vehicles featured nickel-metal hydride (NiMH) batteries almost exclusively, but now lithium ion (Li-ion) has taken precedence, particularly with BEVs and PHEVs. There are various Li-ion battery chemistries in the marketplace, with no single chemistry standing out as the right solution for all vehicle energy storage. Vehicle manufacturers are taking advantage of a maturing supply chain and manufacturing capacity gains to help further drive down battery costs. Lower battery costs for the industry during the next decade will likely remain a function of manufacturing and supply chain efficiencies rather than next-generation battery chemistries.

This Navigant Research report provides a detailed examination of the growing market for automotive advanced batteries, including assessments of EV roadmaps, battery manufacturers, and vehicle OEMs. The study assesses the battery markets for different vehicle types, as well as projected sales for BEVs, PHEVs, and HEVs. Global market forecasts for capacity and revenue from automotive advanced batteries, segmented by vehicle powertrain and region, extend through 2026. The report also includes a review of the different Li-ion battery chemistries and competing energy storage technologies, such as advanced lead-acid batteries, NiMH batteries, and ultracapacitors.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • What are the key market drivers and challenges related to the adoption of xEVs (battery EVs [BEVs], plug-in hybrid EVs [PHEVs], and hybrid EVs [HEVs])?
  • How will the cost per kilowatt-hour for Li-ion batteries change in the next several years?
  • What are the different chemistries available in the EV battery market?
  • Which vehicle segment offers the best opportunities for battery manufacturers?
  • Which EV models are available for light duty, medium duty, and heavy duty vehicles?
  • What are the xEV sales roadmaps through 2026?
  • What are the forecasts for battery capacity and revenue for automotive advanced batteries through 2026?
Who needs this report?
  • Vehicle manufacturers
  • Vehicle fleet managers
  • Automotive industry suppliers
  • Battery OEMs
  • Government agencies
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1   Introduction

1.2   Report Scope

1.3   Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues

2.1   EV Market Overview

2.2   EV Types

2.3   EV Drivers

2.4   EV Batteries

2.4.1   Advanced Battery Technologies for xEVs

2.4.2   Drivers for Advanced Batteries

2.4.3   Barriers for Advanced Batteries

2.4.4   Next-Generation Technologies

2.4.5   Other Considerations for Advanced Batteries in xEVs

2.4.5.1   Cell and Pack Configurations

2.4.5.2   Battery Management System

2.4.5.3   Battery Charging Trends

3. Market Forecasts

3.1   Advanced Battery Pricing by Vehicle Class

3.2   LD Advanced Battery Sales by Type and Region

3.3   MD/HD Bus Advanced Battery Sales by Type and Region

3.4   MD/HD Truck Advanced Battery Sales by Type and Region

3.5   Conclusions and Recommendations

4. Acronym and Abbreviation List
5. Table of Contents
6. Table of Charts and Figures
7. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Advanced Battery Cell Types
  • Total EV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity and Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Light Duty PEV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2012-2016
  • Li-Ion Battery Performance Score by Chemistry, World Markets: 2017
  • Light Duty Vehicle Battery Pack Price by Vehicle Powertrain, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total Light Duty Vehicle Advanced Battery Energy Capacity and Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total Light Duty Vehicle Advanced Battery Energy Capacity and Revenue by Powertrain, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total Medium and Heavy Duty Bus Advanced Battery Energy Capacity and Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total Medium and Heavy Duty Bus Advanced Battery Energy Capacity and Revenue by Powertrain, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total Medium and Heavy Duty Truck Advanced Battery Energy Capacity and Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total Medium and Heavy Duty Truck Advanced Battery Energy Capacity and Revenue by Powertrain, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Medium Duty Bus Battery Pack Price by Vehicle Powertrain, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Medium Duty Truck Vehicle Battery Pack Price by Vehicle Powertrain, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Heavy Duty Bus Battery Pack Price by Vehicle Powertrain, World Markets: 2017-2026

List of Tables

  • Bus and Truck Size Definitions, Select Markets: 2017
  • Energy Storage Technology Comparison for Light Duty Vehicles: 2017
  • Advanced Batteries for Light Duty xEVs Cost Breakdown, Global Averages: 2017 and 2026
  • Top 10 Light Duty BEVs by Sales: 1H 2017
  • Top 10 Light Duty PHEVs by Sales: 2Q 2017
  • Top 10 Light Duty HEVs by Sales: 2Q 2017
  • Selected Medium and Heavy BEV Trucks Available by Manufacturer, World Markets: 2017
  • Selected Medium and Heavy Duty PHEV Trucks Available by Manufacturer, World Markets: 2017
  • Selected Medium and Heavy Duty HEV Trucks Available by Manufacturer, World Markets: 2017
  • Selected BEV Medium, Heavy Duty Buses Available by Manufacturer, World Markets: 2017
  • Selected PHEV Medium, Heavy Duty Buses Available by Manufacturer, World Markets: 2017
  • Selected HEV Medium, Heavy Duty Buses Available by Manufacturer, World Markets: 2017
  • Roadmap of Light Duty PEVs and HEVs by Model, World Markets: 2017-2022
  • Supply-Side Policies vs. Demand-Side Policies
  • Adoption of Li-Ion Battery Chemistry by Battery Vendor and Vehicle OEM
  • Li-Ion Battery Specifications in Vehicle Applications by Chemistry, All Vehicle Segments: 2017
  • Ranking of Li-Ion Technology Options by Property: 2017
  • Light Duty PEV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2012-2016
  • Light Duty Vehicle Battery Pack Price by Vehicle Powertrain, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Medium Duty Bus Battery Pack Price by Vehicle Powertrain, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Medium Duty Truck Vehicle Battery Pack Price by Vehicle Powertrain, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Heavy Duty Bus Battery Pack Price by Vehicle Powertrain, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Heavy Duty Truck Battery Pack Price by Vehicle Powertrain, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total EV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Vehicle Type and Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total EV Advanced Battery Revenue by Vehicle Type and Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Light Duty Vehicle BEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Light Duty Vehicle BEV Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Light Duty Vehicle PHEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Light Duty Vehicle PHEV Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Light Duty Vehicle HEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Light Duty Vehicle HEV Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total Light Duty Vehicle Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total Light Duty Vehicle Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Medium Duty Bus BEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Medium Duty Bus BEV Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Medium Duty Bus PHEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Medium Duty Bus PHEV Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Medium Duty Bus HEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Medium Duty Bus HEV Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total Medium Duty Bus Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total Medium Duty Bus Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Medium Duty Truck BEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Medium Duty Truck BEV Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Medium Duty Truck PHEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Medium Duty Truck PHEV Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Medium Duty Truck HEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Medium Duty Truck HEV Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total Medium Duty Truck Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total Medium Duty Truck Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Heavy Duty Bus BEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Heavy Duty Bus BEV Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Heavy Duty Bus PHEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Heavy Duty Bus PHEV Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Heavy Duty Bus HEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Heavy Duty Bus HEV Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total Heavy Duty Bus Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total Heavy Duty Bus Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Heavy Duty Truck BEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Heavy Duty Truck BEV Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Heavy Duty Truck PHEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Heavy Duty Truck PHEV Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Heavy Duty Truck HEV Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Heavy Duty Truck HEV Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total Heavy Duty Truck Advanced Battery Energy Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Total Heavy Duty Truck Advanced Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026

Report Details

  • Pages: 29
  • Tables, Charts,
    Figures:
    80
  • Release Date: 4Q 2017
  • Release File(s): Excel* and PDF *Indicates primary report file.

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