Market Data: Biofuels

Ethanol, Biobutanol, Biodiesel, Green Diesel, Synthetic Gasoline, and Renewable Biojet Consumption and Production from Biomass Resources: Global Market Sizing, Segmentation, and Forecasts

Biofuels are becoming big policy and big business as countries around the world look to decrease petroleum dependence, reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions in the transportation sector, and support agricultural interests.  After more than a decade of healthy growth for conventional biofuels like ethanol and biodiesel, the next wave of advanced biofuels is currently on the cusp of commercial scale-up.  Cellulosic ethanol, biobutanol, biodiesel, green diesel, synthetic gasoline, and renewable jet fuel are among the emerging class of advanced biofuels poised for growth this decade.

Conventional and advanced biofuels both face a number of headwinds, however, that will cause production to miss policy targets currently in place in more than 65 countries and territories.  Navigant Research forecasts that global biofuels production will reach 61 billion gallons by 2023, replacing nearly 6% of global transportation fuel production from fossil sources and generating $70 billion in new revenue over the next decade.  Leading this expansion will be advanced drop-in biofuels production, with a compound annual growth rate of 14% between 2013 and 2023.  The United States, Brazil, and the countries of the European Union are expected to remain the leading biofuels markets worldwide.

This Navigant Research report provides forecasts, market sizing, and market share analysis for conventional ethanol, advanced ethanol, biobutanol, biodiesel, green diesel, synthetic gasoline, and renewable jet fuel.  The report also includes comprehensive data and forecasts for biofuels blending and supply-oriented policies.  The total volume of biofuels produced by fuel type and market penetration in retail fuel markets is forecast through 2023, segmented by world region and key countries or sub-regions.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • How large a global market for ethanol, biodiesel and advanced biofuels will be created by current and proposed blending and supply targets?
  • How many gallons of biofuels will be produced over the next decade?
  • What regions and key markets offer the greatest potential for biofuels production?
  • Which advanced biofuel pathways are expected to scale up fastest over the next decade?
  • How much petroleum-based fuel demand are biofuels expected to offset in the gasoline, diesel, and jet fuel pools?
  • Which conventional and advanced biofuels pathways will generate the most revenue over the next decade?
Who needs this report?
  • Feedstock growers and suppliers
  • Biofuel producers
  • Petroleum producers and refiners
  • Engineering, procurement, and construction (EPC) companies
  • Commercial airlines
  • Military agencies
  • Industry associations
  • Government agencies and policymakers
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1   Market Overview

1.2   Market Forecasts

1.2.1     Policy Forecasts

1.2.2     Production Forecasts

1.3   Regional Market Share

2. Biofuels Policy Forecasts

2.1   Overview

2.2   Blending Mandates

2.2.1     Ethanol Blending Mandates

2.2.2     Biodiesel Blending Mandates

2.2.3     Biofuel Blending Mandates

2.3   Supply Mandates

2.4   Comparing Policy Instruments

3. Biofuels Production Forecasts

3.1   Overview

3.2   Forecast Assumptions

3.3   Biofuel Production Forecasts

3.3.1     Gasoline Pool

3.3.2     Diesel Pool

3.3.3     Jet Fuel Pool

3.4   Regional Biofuels Production Forecasts

3.5   Conclusions and Recommendations

4. Acronym and Abbreviation List
5. Table of Contents
6. Table of Charts and Figures
7. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Total Biofuels Production by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Total Mandated Biofuel Consumption by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Total Mandated Biofuel Consumption by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Total Obligatory and Voluntary Ethanol Blending Volume by Region, World Markets: 2020
  • Obligatory Ethanol Blending Volume by Key Market, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Obligatory and Voluntary Biodiesel Blending Volume by Region, World Markets: 2020
  • Obligated Biodieesl Blending Volume by Key Market, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Volume of Biofuels Supply Targets by Key Market, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Total Biofuels Addressable Market by Policy Instrument, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Share of Total Biofuels Production in Liquid Fuels Market, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Total Annual Revenue by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Gasoline Pool Market Share by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Cumulative New Gasoline Pool Revenue by Biofuel Type, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Diesel Pool Market Share by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Cumulative New Diesel Pool Revenue by Biofuels Type, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Jet Fuel Market Share by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Total Biofuels Production by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Forecasted Market Penetration of Biofuels by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Cumulative Revenue from New Biofuels Production by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Biofuels Consumption, Supply, and Production by Forecast, World Markets: 2013-2023

List of Tables

  • Biofuel Types, Applications, and Deployment Status
  • Obligatory Ethanol Blending Policies as Percentage of National Gasoline Consumption, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Voluntary Ethanol Blending Policies as Percentage of National Gasoline Consumption, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Volume of Obligatory Ethanol Consumption by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Volume of Voluntary Ethanol Blending Consumption by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Obligatory Biodiesel Blending Policies as Percentage of National Diesel Consumption, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Voluntary Biodiesel Blending Policies as Percentage of National Gasoline Consumption, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Volume of Obligatory Biodiesel Blending Consumption by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Volume of Voluntary Biodiesel Consumption by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Total Mandated Biofuels Consumption by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Obligated Ethanol Blending Volume by Key Market, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Obligated Biodiesel Blending Volume by Key Market, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Biofuels Supply Targets as Percentage of National Biofuels Consumption, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Volume of Biofuel Supply Targets Policies by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Biofuel Supply Targets by Key Market, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Volume of Biofuels Market by Policy Instrument, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Biofuels Total Production Volume by Fuel Pathway, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Biofuels Total Production Volume by Fuel Pathway, North America: 2013-2023
  • Biofuels Total Production Volume by Fuel Pathway, Europe: 2013-2023
  • Biofuels Total Production Volume by Fuel Pathway, Asia Pacific: 2013-2023
  • Biofuels Total Production Volume by Fuel Pathway, Latin America: 2013-2023
  • Biofuels Total Production Volume Capacity by Fuel Pathway, Middle East & Africa: 2013-2023
  • Biofuels Total Production Volume by Fuel Group, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Total Production Gasoline Pool by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Total Production Diesel Pool by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Total Production Jet Pool by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Annual Revenue from New Production by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Cumulative Revenue from New Production by Fuel Type, World Markets: 2013-2023
  • Cumulative Revenue from New Production by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023

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