Market Data: Diesel and Natural Gas Generator Sets

Distributed Reciprocating Engines for Residential, Standby, Cogeneration, Utility, and Prime and Continuous Applications: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts

Diesel and natural gas generator sets (gensets) are the most widely adopted distributed energy resources on the planet, and they have been established as an industry for over a century. But as the global power equation shifts toward generation that is more distributed, clean, and intelligent, traditional markets for gensets are under threat even as new opportunities arise. Industry players that expand across the energy value chain into other distributed energy resources are more likely to gain market share as growth in some segments declines.

Customers continue to look to gensets to provide a reliable source of onsite power, but PV, battery storage, and natural gas (NG) are driving change in an industry historically dominated by diesel gensets. As customers adopt these technologies to save money or carbon emissions and environmental regulations continue to tighten, demand growth for diesel gensets is stagnating in some markets. Meanwhile, the growing availability of cheap NG is driving a shift toward gensets using that fuel. Developing economies undergoing rapid electrification still value the flexibility and efficiency of gensets, while countries across the economic spectrum are expected to adopt more grid-tied gensets to support the rapid growth of intermittent renewables. Genset deployment in microgrids and virtual power plants is also on the rise. According to Navigant Research, the market for new diesel and NG gensets is expected to surpass $33 billion in annual revenue by 2026.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the global market for diesel and NG gensets for six segments: residential, commercial and industrial (C&I) standby, C&I prime and continuous, combined heat and power (CHP), utility, and resource extraction. The study examines key market and technology developments, as well as demand drivers and hurdles related to diesel and NG gensets. Global market forecasts for capacity and revenue, broken out by segment, region, and country, extend through 2026.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • Which countries are expected to show the greatest demand for diesel and natural gas gensets in the next 10 years?
  • Which segments are expected to show the greatest demand for diesel and natural gas gensets in the next 10 years?
  • Where will natural gas gensets perform better or worse than diesel gensets?
  • How will ever cheaper storage and renewables affect demand for gensets?
  • What should engine and genset vendors do to succeed in the changing marketplace?
Who needs this report?
  • Diesel genset vendors
  • Natural gas genset vendors
  • Engine vendors
  • Distributed energy resources (DER) equipment vendors
  • DER management system vendors
  • Microgrid developers
  • Utilities and grid operators
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1   A Century-Old Industry Sees New Threats and Opportunities

1.2   Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues

2.1   Demand Drivers and Hurdles

2.2   Genset Vendors Expand Energy Solutions Offerings

2.3   Technology Developments

2.3.1   Non-Synchronous Power Generation

2.3.2   Smart Controls and Telematics

2.3.3   Gensets and Energy Storage: Friend or Foe

2.3.3.1   Gensets Will Continue to Lead Long-Duration Standby Power

3. Market Forecasts

3.1   Methodology

3.2   Segment Forecasts

3.2.1   Residential

3.2.2   C&I Standby

3.2.3   C&I Prime and Continuous

3.2.4   C&I CHP

3.2.5   Utility

3.2.6   Resource Extraction

3.3   Forecast by Technology and Country

3.3.1   Diesel Gensets by Country

3.3.2   NG Gensets by Country

3.4   Conclusions and Recommendations

4. Acronym and Abbreviation List
5. Table of Contents
6. Table of Charts and Figures
7. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Generator Manufacturers with Publicly Announced Hybrid/Storage Plays
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Installed Distributed Energy Resources by Select Technology, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Installed Cost Comparison of Diesel Genset and Li-Ion Battery by 1 MW Onsite Standby Power Application, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, Residential Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, C&I Standby Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, C&I Prime and Continuous Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, C&I Combined Heat and Power Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, Utility Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, Resource Extraction Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue by Country, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue by Country, World Markets: 2017-2026

List of Tables

  • Key Genset Demand Drivers and Hurdles
  • Key Use Cases for Storage and Distributed Natural Gas
  • Annual Installed Distributed Energy Resources by Select Technology, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Installed Cost Comparison of Diesel Genset and Li-Ion Battery by 1 MW Onsite Standby Power Application, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Country, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Revenue by Country, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Country, Residential Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Revenue by Country, Residential Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Country, C&I Standby Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Revenue by Country, C&I Standby Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Country, C&I Prime and Continuous Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Revenue by Country, C&I Prime and Continuous Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Country, C&I Combined Heat and Power Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Revenue by Country, C&I Combined Heat and Power Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Country, Utility Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Revenue by Country, Utility Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Country, Resource Extraction Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel and Natural Gas Genset Revenue by Country, Resource Extraction Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel Genset Installed Capacity by Country, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel Genset Revenue by Country, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Country, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Natural Gas Genset Revenue by Country, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Natural Gas Genset Installed Capacity by Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Diesel Genset Installed Capacity by Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026

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