Smart Gensets

Automated, Interactive, and Analytics-Enabled Reciprocating Generator Sets
for Dispatchable Power Applications: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts

Reciprocating generator sets (gensets) have traditionally been deployed with simple control systems, often sitting dormant until a power outage occurs. But as the global power equation shifts toward generation that is more distributed, intelligent, and interconnected, smart features are being incorporated into gensets at a growing pace. This trend is driven in part by customers demanding advanced features like enhanced maintenance, microgrid interactivity, and demand response. It is made possible thanks to advances in control technologies and the increasingly ubiquitous connectivity of devices in the Energy Cloud.

Customers adopt smart gensets for a variety of applications, but some common project characteristics include critical loads, remote sites, sophisticated customers, higher fuel costs, and larger and more complex projects. These types of projects present an opportunity to improve genset operation through fuel savings, improved asset management, or predictive analytics for enhanced maintenance. Genset vendors and controller and software companies are embracing these value streams, both to provide added value to customers and to compete against the falling prices of alternative energy resources like solar and storage.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the global market for diesel and natural gas reciprocating gensets for six segments: residential; commercial and industrial (C&I) standby; C&I prime and continuous; C&I combined heat and power (CHP); utility; and resource extraction. The study provides an analysis of key market developments and issues, with a focus on three key smart genset applications (operator-interactive, microgrid-interactive, and grid-interactive). Global market forecasts, broken out by segment, country, and region, extend through 2026. The report also examines the main technologies related to smart gensets, as well as the competitive landscape.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • What countries and regions are expected to show the strongest demand for smart gensets in the next 10 years?
  • Which segments are expected to show the strongest demand for smart gensets in the next 10 years?
  • What are the costs and benefits of remote monitoring and control for gensets?
  • How are gensets being deployed in microgrids?
  • Which companies are the key players in the smart genset market?
  • What should engine and genset vendors do to succeed in the changing marketplace?
Who needs this report?
  • Smart genset vendors
  • Diesel genset vendors
  • Natural gas genset vendors
  • Engine and controller vendors
  • Distributed energy resources (DER) equipment vendors
  • Microgrid developers
  • Utilities and grid operators
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1   Overview

1.2   Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues

2.1   Smart Genset Applications

2.1.1   Smart Genset Application Examples

2.1.2   Smart Genset Drivers

2.1.3   Smart Genset Costs and Benefits

2.1.4   Genset Industry Segments

2.2   Operator-Interactive Gensets: Telematics-Enabled Gensets for Predictive Analytics and Fleet Digitization

2.2.1   Operator-Interactive Gensets: Industry Deployment Examples

2.3   Microgrid-Interactive Gensets: Integrating with Other DER

2.3.1   Microgrid-Interactive Genset Deployment Trends

2.3.2   Solar PV-Genset Hybrids Deployment and Solar Forecasting

2.3.3   Storage-Genset Hybrid Deployment

2.3.4   Wind-Genset Hybrid Deployment

2.4   Grid-Interactive Gensets: Cooperating with Utility Grids

2.4.1   Virtual Power Plants

2.4.2   Grid-Interactive Gensets in the US: Environmental Protection Agency Emissions Requirements and Impact on PJM Territory

2.4.2.1   Impact on BTM Generators in PJM Territory

2.4.3   UK Capacity Markets

2.4.3.1   OFGEM Policy Change for DR Compensation for Small Generator

3. Technology Issues

3.1   Smart Genset Communications

3.2   Inverter-Based Generation: Efficient and Flexible

3.3   Diesel versus NG: Do Smart Fuel Choices Make for Smart Gensets?

4. Key Industry Players

4.1   Competitive Environment

4.1.1   Engine and Genset Vendors

4.1.2   Third-Party Controller Vendors

4.1.3   BTM Deployment Companies

4.1.4   Partnerships, Mergers, and Acquisitions

4.2   Key Engine and Genset Companies

4.2.1   Caterpillar

4.2.2   Cummins

4.2.3   GE Power

4.2.4   Generac

4.2.5   Kohler

4.2.6   MTU Onsite Energy

4.2.7   Siemens

4.2.8   Wärtsilä

5. Market Forecasts

5.1   Methodology: Genset Market Sizing

5.2   Methodology: Smart Genset Market Sizing

5.3   Segment Forecasts

5.3.1   Residential

5.3.2   C&I Standby

5.3.3   C&I Prime and Continuous

5.3.4   C&I CHP

5.3.5   Utility

5.3.6   Resource Extraction

5.4   Conclusions and Recommendations

6. Acronym and Abbreviation List
7. Table of Contents
8. Table of Charts and Figures
9. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Smart Genset Examples in the Energy Cloud
  • Spinning Reserve by Engine vs Storage: Comparison
  • Changes in Capacity Factor of Natural Gas Plants in California, 2001-2016
  • Signals for Generator Operation: Present and Future
  • Example of Inverter-Based Reciprocating Generator
  • Smart Gensets Value Chain: Key Players
  • Genset Manufacturers with Publicly Announced Hybrid/Storage Plays
  • Annual Smart Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Known Microgrid Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2Q 2017
  • Generator Set Microgrids and Coincidence with Other Technologies, Known Microgrids in World Markets: 2Q 2017
  • Spot Price of Gas and Crude Oil by Market, World Markets: 2004-2017
  • Annual Smart Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, Residential Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, C&I Standby Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, C&I Prime and Continuous Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, C&I CHP Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, Utility Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, Resource Extraction Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026

List of Tables

  • Smart Genset Applications
  • Costs and Benefits of Operator-Interactive Smart Gensets
  • Known Microgrid Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2Q 2017
  • Generator Set Microgrids and Coincidence with Other Technologies, Known Microgrids in World Markets: 2Q 2017
  • Reciprocating Generator Set Key Highlights and Segmentation, World Markets: 2017
  • Spot Price of Gas and Crude Oil by Market, World Markets: 2004-2016
  • Annual Smart Genset Installed Capacity by Country, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Revenue by Country, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Installed Capacity by Country, Residential Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Revenue by Country, Residential Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Installed Capacity by Country, C&I Standby Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Revenue by Country, C&I Standby Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Installed Capacity by Country, C&I Prime and Continuous Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Revenue by Country, C&I Prime and Continuous Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Installed Capacity by Country, C&I Combined Heat and Power Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Revenue by Country, C&I Combined Heat and Power Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Installed Capacity by Country, Utility Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Revenue by Country, Utility Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Installed Capacity by Country, Resource Extraction Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual Smart Genset Revenue by Country, Resource Extraction Segment, World Markets: 2017-2026

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