Navigant Research » Smart Utilities

Direct Current Distribution Networks

Alexandria Davis — Fri, 14 Jun 2013 23:05:40 +0000

The market for direct current (DC) distribution networks is not a single, cohesive sector. Rather, it consists of several disparate opportunities – including data centers, green telecommunication towers, DC subsystems within grid-tied commercial buildings, and off-grid military networks – that revolve around different market assumptions, dynamics, and drivers. Given the broad political and policy support for inverter-based native DC power sources, it makes inherent sense to reduce DC-AC-DC conversion losses and integrate DC distribution networks into the power supply infrastructure. At least, so goes the argument on behalf of DC.

A growing list of technology vendors is targeting this space, among them ABB, Emerson Network Power, Johnson Controls, Intel, and a cadre of smaller specialists. Unlike many smart grid markets, the most robust markets for these systems today are in the developing world, especially in the Asia Pacific region and Africa, for telecommunications towers and associated village power offerings. Navigant Research forecasts that, under a conservative forecast scenario, revenue from DC distribution networks will grow from $2.8 billion annually in 2013 to $24.1 billion by 2025.

This Navigant Research report provides a review of key market and technology trends with DC at high, medium, and low-voltage levels, along with capacity and vendor revenue forecasts, broken down by region, for the following four market segments: DC data center microgrids, off-grid green telecom/village power systems, DC subsystems within commercial buildings, and small-scale modular systems for the U.S. Department of Defense’s 600 forward operating bases and mobile, tactical microgrids. Key players in the industry are profiled in detail, and SWOT analyses are provided for each market segment.

Key Questions Addressed:

Why is there increased market interest in DC technologies at the distribution level today?
What are the key near-term application opportunities globally?
Who are the key technology vendors in this space, and in which market segments are they most active?
What is the status of efforts to develop medium-voltage DC standards to help build this market?
What are the expected vendor revenues for the four key DC distribution market segments by 2025?
What will the impact of low prices for natural gas be on DC distribution networks?
What are the most likely new DC grid-tied business models?

Who needs this report?

Manufacturers of DC distribution grid level devices
Renewable energy and energy storage companies
Data center operators
Military agencies
Building controls providers and system integrators
Investors in telecommunication infrastructure
Smart grid hardware and software solution providers
Microgrid value chain companies
Utilities
Government agencies
Investor community

1. Executive Summary

1.1 Direct Current Distribution Network Market Overview

1.1.1 Direct Current Market Analysis

1.2 Understanding Direct Current

1.3 Market Forecast Overview

2. Market Issues

2.1 Today’s Alternating Current Power Grid: A Historical Perspective

2.2 Why DC Distribution Networks?

2.2.1 High-Voltage and Low-Voltage DC: What about the Middle?

2.3 Why Microgrids?

2.4 AC versus DC Distribution Networks

2.4.1 The Business Case for AC Distribution Networks

2.4.2 The Business Case for DC Distribution Networks

2.5 DC Distribution Network Segments

2.5.1 DC Data Center Microgrids

2.5.2 DC Commercial Building Subsystems

2.5.3 DC Telecom/Village Power Systems

2.5.4 LED Lighting Anchors for Village Power Systems

2.5.5 DC Network Military Applications

2.5.6 DC Electric Vehicle Charging Systems

2.6 Implementation Challenges

2.6.1 Public Safety Concerns about DC

2.6.2 Impact of Low Natural Gas Prices

2.6.3 Need for New DC Grid-Tied Business Models

2.7 DC Market Drivers

2.7.1 Medium-Voltage DC Standards

2.7.1.1 Occupied Space Standard

2.7.1.2 Data and Telecommunications Standard

2.7.1.2.1. Case Study: ABB’s Zurich-West DC Microgrid-Virtual Power Plant

2.7.1.3 Net Zero Energy Buildings

2.7.2 Evolving Bottom-of-the-Pyramid Strategies

2.7.3 High Diesel Prices

2.7.3.1 Case Study: Baharbari Biomass Village Power Project

3. Technology Issues

3.1 DC Technology Advantages Overview

3.2 DC Markets Are Heating Up Due to Technology Trends

3.2.1 Case Study: Sendai DC Microgrid

3.3 Overview of DC Infrastructure Trends

3.3.1 Recent DC Technology Advances

3.3.2 The AC versus DC Uninterrupted Power Supply

3.3.3 The Advent of LED Lighting

3.3.4 The Impact of DC Electric Vehicle Charging Technology

3.3.5 The Question of Controls

4. Key Industry Players

4.1 Overview

4.2 Major Technology Providers

4.2.1 ABB Ltd.

4.2.2 Emerson Network Power

4.2.3 Johnson Controls, Inc.

4.3 DC Microgrid-Nanogrid Integrators/Developers

4.3.1 Nextek Power Systems, Inc.

4.3.2 Pareto Energy

4.3.3 Pika Energy, Inc.

4.4 DC Component Suppliers

4.4.1 Armstrong Industries

4.4.2 Philips Lighting

4.5 Military Specialists

4.5.1 NextEnergy Corp.

4.5.2 ZBB Energy

4.6 Telecommunications/Village Power Entrepreneurs

4.6.1 Flexenclosure

4.6.2 Mobisol

4.6.3 OMC Power

5. Market Forecasts

5.1 Market Forecast Overview

5.2 The Three-Scenario Formula

5.3 Revenue Methodologies

5.4 Global DC Distribution Network Forecasts

5.4.1 North America

5.4.2 Europe

5.4.3 Asia Pacific

5.4.4 Rest of World

5.5 Market Segment Analysis and Revenue Forecasts

5.5.1 DC Data Center Microgrids

5.5.2 DC Telecom/Village Power Systems

5.5.3 DC Commercial Building Subsystems

5.5.4 DC Network Military Applications

5.6 Conclusions and Recommendations

6. Company Directory
7. Acronym and Abbreviation List
8. Table of Contents
9. Table of Charts and Figures
10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

Total DC Distribution Network Vendor Revenue by Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
Annual Spending on Planned HVDC Systems by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
DC Fast Charging Equipment Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2013-2020
DC Distribution Network Capacity by Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Distribution Network Capacity by Segment, Conservative Scenario, North America: 2013-2025
DC Distribution Network Vendor Revenue by Segment, Conservative Scenario, North America: 2013-2025
DC Distribution Network Capacity by Segment, Conservative Scenario, Europe: 2013-2025
DC Distribution Network Vendor Revenue by Segment, Conservative Scenario, Europe: 2013-2025
DC Distribution Network Capacity by Segment, Conservative Scenario, Asia Pacific: 2013-2025
DC Distribution Network Vendor Revenue by Segment, Conservative Scenario, Asia Pacific: 2013-2025
DC Distribution Network Capacity by Segment, Conservative Scenario, Rest of World: 2013-2025
DC Distribution Network Vendor Revenue by Segment, Conservative Scenario, Rest of World: 2013-2025
DC Data Center Microgrid Revenue by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Telecom/Village Power System Revenue by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Commercial Building Subsystem Revenue by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Network Military Applications Revenue by Scenario, United States: 2013-2025
The Evolution of DC Power and Loads
Enernet: Connecting DC Microgrids (and Nanogrids) to AC Macrogrids
The DC Path to Net Zero Energy Buildings
DC vs. AC for Data Centers: An Opposing View from Schneider Electric
Transforming Data Centers into Revenue Generators via DC Microgrids
SPEED Telecom/Village Power Business Model
Timeframe Analysis of Sendai Microgrid: Continuous DC Supply
Pros and Cons of Medium-Voltage AC and DC Systems
UPS Efficiency: AC vs. DC
Lighting as Largest Load within Commercial Buildings
Comparison of AC vs. DC Current
AC vs. DC Island Network for Large Ships
Nextek Power’s Direct Coupling DC Topology
Depiction of REbus Home DC Nanogrid
eSite Deployments in Africa: Diesel Consumption Savings
The Link between Solar PV Cost Declines and the Rise in Mobile Phone Usage

List of Tables

SWOT Analysis for AC Distribution Networks
SWOT Analysis for DC Distribution Networks
SWOT Analysis for DC Data Center Microgrids
SWOT Analysis for DC Commercial Building Subsystems
SWOT Analysis for DC Telecom/Village Power Systems
SWOT Analysis for LED Lighting Anchors for Village Power Systems
SWOT Analysis for DC Network Military Applications
SWOT Analysis for DC Electric Vehicle Charging Systems
SWOT Analysis for ABB
SWOT Analysis for Emerson Network Power
SWOT Analysis for Johnson Controls, Inc.
SWOT Analysis for Nextek Power Systems
SWOT Analysis for Pareto Energy
SWOT Analysis for Pika Energy, Inc.
SWOT Analysis for Armstrong Industries
SWOT Analysis for Philips Lighting
SWOT Analysis for NextEnergy Corp.
SWOT Analysis for ZBB Energy
Total DC Distribution Network Capacity by Region and Segment, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
Total DC Distribution Network Capacity by Region and Segment, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
Total DC Distribution Network Vendor Revenue by Region and Segment, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
Total DC Distribution Network Vendor Revenue by Region and Segment, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
Total DC Distribution Network Vendor Revenue by Region and Segment, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Data Center Microgrid Capacity by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Data Center Microgrid Capacity by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Data Center Microgrid Capacity by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Data Center Microgrid Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Data Center Microgrid Revenue by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Data Center Microgrid Revenue by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Telecom/Village Power System Capacity by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Telecom/Village Power System Capacity by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Telecom/Village Power System Capacity by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Telecom/Village Power System Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Telecom/Village Power System Revenue by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Telecom/Village Power System Revenue by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Commercial Building Subsystem Capacity by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Commercial Building Subsystem Capacity by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Commercial Building Subsystem Capacity by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Commercial Building Subsystem Revenue by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Commercial Building Subsystem Revenue by Region, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Commercial Building Subsystem Revenue by Region, Aggressive Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025
DC Network Military Applications Capacity by Scenario, United States: 2013-2025
DC Network Military Applications Revenue by Scenario, United States: 2013-2025
Total DC Distribution Network Capacity by Region and Segment, Conservative Scenario, World Markets: 2013-2025

Distribution Management Systems

ejohnson — Tue, 04 Jun 2013 18:19:41 +0000

A distribution management system (DMS) serves as the brains of distribution networks, supporting all aspects of grid operations. Third-generation advanced DMSs (ADMSs) offer a common user experience across many integrated distribution applications that share one common network model. Simply put, the DMS is the user interface to critical distribution infrastructure.

Information technology (IT) side projects following in the wake of smart grid equipment rollouts are the primary drivers behind third-generation DMSs in the near term. The underlying operational benefits of increased reliability and cost-effective optimization are also contributing to advances in this space. Moreover, rapidly growing interest in integrated distributed energy resources management motivated by renewables integration and demand response is spurring innovation. Navigant Research forecasts that annual revenue from distribution management systems will reach nearly $935 million worldwide by 2020.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the global market trends for full advanced DMS (ADMS), intermediate DMS, and light DMS solutions. The report provides a roadmap for DMS technology, along with a comprehensive assessment of the demand drivers, business models, policy factors, and technology issues associated with this diverse and dynamic market. Key industry players are profiled in depth, and worldwide revenue forecasts, segmented by deployment type and region, extend through 2020.

Key Questions Addressed:

What is the addressable market for advanced DMS/SCADA worldwide?
What are the benefits of DMS to utility operators, engineers, and planners?
How can a DMS improve system reliability, support renewable integration, and increase grid efficiency?
Who are some of the major players that are active in the DMS market?
What are the greatest technical challenges facing DMS today?
How are utilities deploying and utilizing DMSs in smart grid rollouts?
What are the market drivers and barriers for DMSs?

Who needs this report?

Smart grid hardware and software vendors
Renewable energy equipment and service providers
Utilities
Government agencies
Investor community

1. Executive Summary

1.1 Distribution Management System Overview

1.2 Changing Market Landscape

1.3 Market Forecast

2. Market Issues

2.1 Distribution Management Systems

2.2 Benefits of Distribution Management Systems

2.2.1 Operator Situational Awareness

2.2.2 Planning and Engineering Aspects

2.3 Market Drivers

2.3.1 Smart Grid Rollouts

2.3.2 System Reliability

2.3.2.1 Reliability Improvements – Value of Service to the Customer

2.3.3 Integrated Volt-VAR Control and CVR Strategy

2.3.4 Asset Utilization and Load Growth

2.3.5 Demand Response and Load Control

2.3.6 Renewables Integration

2.3.7 Modular Advanced Distribution Management Systems

2.4 Market Inhibitors

2.4.1 Funding and Deployment Timeframes

2.4.2 “Good Enough” Solutions May Delay Adoption of DMS

2.4.3 Telecommunications Concerns

2.4.4 Lack of Standards

2.5 Market Trends and Opportunities by Region

2.5.1 North America

2.5.2 Europe

2.5.3 Asia Pacific

2.5.4 Latin America

2.5.5 Middle East & Africa

3. Technology Issues

3.1 Introduction

3.2 Background

3.3 Innovation in Distribution Automation and Smart Grid Infrastructure

3.4 Increased Safety

3.5 DMS Roadmap

3.5.1 Network Model

3.5.2 State Estimator: Enhancing System Overview

3.5.3 Load Flow/Power Flow

3.5.4 Optimal Power Flow

3.5.5 Contingency Analysis (n-1)

3.5.6 Short-Circuit Computations

3.5.7 Control Center

3.5.8 Distributed Energy Resources and Demand Response

3.5.9 Advanced Metering Infrastructure Integration

3.5.10 Asset Management Integration

3.5.11 Situational Awareness and Business Intelligence

3.5.12 Integration with Field Resources

3.6 Common Information Model (CIM)

4. Key Industry Players

4.1 Introduction

4.2 Utilities

4.2.1 American Electric Power (AEP)

4.2.2 Dominion Virginia Power

4.2.3 Duke Energy/Progress Energy

4.2.3.1 Progress Energy Quick Facts

4.2.4 Électricité de France (EDF)

4.2.5 Exelon/PECO

4.2.6 Iberdrola

4.2.7 Pacific Gas and Electric Company (PG&E)

4.2.8 Portland General Electric (PGE)

4.2.9 San Diego Gas & Electric (SDG&E)

4.2.10 Southern California Edison (SCE)

4.2.11 Southern Company

4.2.12 State Grid Corporation of China (SGCC)

4.2.13 Tennessee Valley Authority (TVA)

4.3 Power System Vendors

4.3.1 ABB

4.3.1.1 Ventyx, an ABB Company

4.3.2 Accenture

4.3.3 Alstom Grid

4.3.4 Ambient Corp.

4.3.5 Cooper Power Systems (a division of Cooper Industries)

4.3.6 Current Group

4.3.7 Efacec Advanced Control Systems, Inc. (Efacec ACS)

4.3.8 EnerNex

4.3.9 ETAP

4.3.10 GE Energy

4.3.11 GRIDiant

4.3.12 Landis+Gyr

4.3.13 Open Systems International, Inc. (OSI)

4.3.14 Oracle

4.3.15 Powel

4.3.16 RuggedCom

4.3.17 Schneider Electric

4.3.18 Schweitzer Engineering Laboratories (SEL)

4.3.19 Siemens Energy

4.3.20 Silver Spring Networks

4.3.21 Space-Time Insight

4.3.22 Tollgrade Communications

4.3.23 UTILICASE

5. Market Forecasts

5.1 Introduction

5.2 Forecast Assumptions

5.2.1 Light DMS – Navigant Research Definition

5.2.2 Intermediate DMS – Navigant Research Definition

5.2.3 Full DMS – Navigant Research Definition

5.2.4 Additional Assumptions

5.3 Global Market Forecast

5.4 Regional Forecasts

5.4.1 North America

5.4.2 Europe

5.4.3 Asia Pacific

5.4.4 Latin America

5.4.5 Middle East & Africa

5.5 Smart Meters Managed by a DMS

6. Company Directory
7. Acronym and Abbreviation List
8. Table of Contents
9. Table of Charts and Figures
10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

DMS Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013-2020
DMS Revenue by Deployment Type, World Markets: 2013-2020
DMS Revenue by Deployment Type, North America: 2013-2020
DMS Revenue by Deployment Type, Europe: 2013-2020
DMS Revenue by Deployment Type, Asia Pacific: 2013‑2020
DMS Revenue by Deployment Type, Latin America: 2013-2020
DMS Revenue by Deployment Type, Middle East & Africa: 2013-2020
Smart Meters Served by Automated Substations by Region, World Markets: 2013-2020
High-Level Overview of a Smart Grid with a Centralized Control Center
Future Distribution Control Center with Video Wall
Common Information Model (CIM) Vision
General Categories of Smart Grid Rollout
Average Sustained Outage Durations: 2000-2009
Illustration of CVR Configuration
Feeder Voltage Profile with LTC, Voltage Regulator, and Capacitor Bank
CIM as an IEC Standard

List of Tables

Network Model Management
Network Optimization
Network Control Room
DER and DR
AMI Integration
Asset Management Integration
Situational Awareness and Business Intelligence
Integration with Field Resources
DMS Definition by Deployment Type
DMS Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013-2020
DMS Revenue by Deployment Type, World Markets: 2013-2020
Full DMS Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013‑2020
Intermediate DMS Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013-2020
Light DMS Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013‑2020
DMS Revenue by Deployment Type, North America: 2013-2020
DMS Revenue by Deployment Type, Europe: 2013‑2020
DMS Revenue by Deployment Type, Asia Pacific: 2013-2020
DMS Revenue by Deployment Type, Latin America: 2013-2020
DMS Revenue by Deployment Type, Middle East & Africa: 2013-2020
Smart Meters Served by Automated Substations by Region, World Markets: 2013-2020

Smart Meters for Commercial and Industrial Markets

ejohnson — Mon, 20 May 2013 04:23:46 +0000

Though often overshadowed by the residential sector, the market for smart commercial and industrial (C&I) electrical meters is gaining traction, too, as many utilities continue to look for ways to reduce operating costs and provide granular consumption data to valuable C&I customers. C&I customers consume the bulk of energy within a system compared to residential customers, and utilities are motivated to provide them with the latest advanced metering infrastructure technology. New smart meters aid in this effort with increased accuracy, full two-way communication between meters and utility operations centers, near-real-time interval data feeds, power quality monitoring, automated outage detection, and other advanced sensing capabilities.

Driven by customer demand and regulatory requirements, smart C&I meter penetration will grow rapidly through the end of this decade. Smart meter deployments in North America are well underway and will continue at a steady pace. Likewise, China is in the midst of a massive deployment of advanced meters, some of which will be installed at C&I facilities. In Europe, regulatory mandates are pushing smart meter deployments that will include business facilities. Navigant Research forecasts that the installed base of smart meters for C&I customers will surpass 114 million by 2020.

This Navigant Research report examines the global market opportunity for smart C&I electrical meters, analyzing the drivers and inhibitors shaping the market, along with major technology issues. The report also provides market forecasts through 2020 for smart C&I electrical meter shipments and the associated revenue. Case studies, key vendor profiles, and a discussion of broad C&I trends are also included.

Key Questions Addressed:

What forces are shaping the smart C&I electrical meter market?
How many smart C&I meters will be deployed through 2020?
What is the size of the revenue opportunity for smart C&I electrical meters?
What technology issues are shaping this market?
Who are some of the key players in the smart C&I electrical meter market?
How will the market for smart C&I electrical meters play out in the various global regions?

Who needs this report?

Electric utilities and grid operators
Smart electric meter manufacturers
Component suppliers to smart electric meter manufacturers
Electric meter communication module vendors
Regulators of electric utilities
Electric industry associations
Investor community

1. Executive Summary

1.1 Smart Commercial and Industrial Meters Gaining Traction

1.2 Market Drivers

1.3 Market Inhibitors

1.4 Market Forecast

2. Market Issues

2.1 Introduction

2.2 Definitions

2.3 Drivers

2.4 Inhibitors

2.5 Market Momentum

2.5.1 Background

2.5.2 MV-90

2.5.3 DR Programs

2.6 Regional C&I Metering Trends

2.6.1 Europe

2.6.2 Asia Pacific

2.6.3 Latin America

2.6.4 Middle East & Africa

2.7 Case Studies

2.7.1 Laclede Electric Cooperative

2.7.2 Empire State Building

2.7.3 Walmart a Wild Card?

3. Technology Issues

3.1 Introduction

3.2 Meter Technology

3.3 Single Phase versus Polyphase Meters

3.4 C&I Meter Brands Available on the Market

3.5 Communications

3.5.1 RF Mesh Networks

3.5.2 RF Point-to-Multipoint Networks

3.5.3 Cellular-Based Systems

3.5.4 Power Line Communication

3.6 Automated DR and C&I Meters

4. Key Industry Players

4.1 Aclara

4.2 Echelon

4.3 Elster

4.4 EnerNOC

4.5 GE Digital Energy

4.6 Itron

4.7 Johnson Controls

4.8 Landis+Gyr

4.9 Pulse Energy

4.10 Tantalus

4.11 Trilliant

5. Market Forecasts

5.1 Introduction

5.2 Assumptions Guiding This Forecast

5.3 Installed Base

5.3.1 North America

5.3.2 Europe

5.3.3 Asia Pacific

5.3.4 Latin America

5.3.5 Middle East & Africa

5.3.6 Worldwide

5.4 Conclusions and Recommendations

6. Company Directory
7. Acronym and Abbreviation List
8. Table of Contents
9. Table of Charts and Figures
10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

Empire State Building at Night
C&I Meters (left to right): Itron SENTINEL, GE kV2c, L+G E650 S4e, Elster A3 ALPHA
ADR System Architecture
Smart C&I Meter Penetration Rate by Region, World Markets: 2012‑2020
Smart C&I Meter Installed Base by Region, World Markets: 2012‑2020
C&I Electric Meter Shipments by Type of Meter, North America: 2012-2020
C&I Electric Meter Revenue by Type of Meter, North America: 2012‑2020
C&I Electric Meter Shipments by Type of Meter, Europe: 2012-2020
C&I Electric Meter Revenue by Type of Meter, Europe: 2012-2020
C&I Electric Meter Shipments by Type of Meter, Asia Pacific: 2012‑2020
C&I Electric Meter Revenue by Type of Meter, Asia Pacific: 2012‑2020
C&I Electric Meter Shipments by Type of Meter, Latin America: 2012-2020
C&I Electric Meter Revenue by Type of Meter, Latin America: 2012‑2020
C&I Electric Meter Shipments by Type of Meter, Middle East & Africa: 2012-2020
C&I Electric Meter Revenue by Type of Meter, Middle East & Africa: 2012-2020
Smart C&I Meter Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020

List of Tables

Smart Meter Communication Technologies
All C&I Electric Meter Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
C&I Electric Meter Installed Base by Region, World Markets: 2012‑2020
Smart C&I Meter Installed Base and Penetration Rates by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
Automated C&I Meter Installed Base and Penetration Rates, North America: 2012-2020
Standard C&I Meter Installed Base and Penetration Rates by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
All C&I Electric Meter Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2012‑2020
Smart C&I Electric Meter Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
Automated C&I Electric Meter Shipments, North America: 2012‑2020
Standard C&I Electric Meter Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
C&I Meter Average Selling Prices by Type of Meter, World Markets: 2012-2020
C&I Meter Revenue by Type of Meter, North America: 2012-2020
C&I Meter Revenue by Type of Meter, Europe: 2012-2020
C&I Meter Revenue by Type of Meter, Asia Pacific: 2012-2020
C&I Meter Revenue by Type of Meter, Latin America: 2012-2020
C&I Meter Revenue by Type of Meter, Middle East & Africa: 2012‑2020
Total C&I Meter Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
Smart C&I Meter Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020

WiMAX Networks for Smart Grid Applications

ejohnson — Wed, 15 May 2013 05:55:31 +0000

Worldwide Interoperability for Microwave Access (WiMAX) is a mature and widely-available wireless technology that has been deployed in smart grid communications networks globally. A relatively low-cost, high-performance solution, WiMAX is suitable for most non-critical smart grid applications, including AMI-NAN, AMI-WAN, substation automation, distribution automation, video monitoring, and mobile workforce applications. WiMAX can be deployed cost-effectively in a private network by utilities concerned about reliance upon public networks, and new trials and deployments of WiMAX-based solutions are underway worldwide, particularly in Asia Pacific.

WiMAX’s popularity has waned in recent years as the newer Long Term Evolution (LTE) wireless standard has emerged, but the combination of a mature ecosystem for low-cost equipment and easy access to unlicensed or lightly licensed spectrum is bringing WiMAX-based solutions back to the fore, and emerging developments could further enhance its popularity. WiGRID, a new, all-IP, uplink-centric standard engineered specifically for smart grid applications, is under development and, in the United States, the FCC has proposed to make new spectrum available to utilities in the 3.5 GHz to 3.7 GHz band. WiMAX-based solutions are already readily available for these spectrum bands. Navigant Research forecasts that annual shipments of WiMAX-based communications nodes will climb by more than 70% annually between 2012 and 2020, surpassing 6.5 million by 2020.

This Navigant Research report details emerging developments in the WiMAX wireless standard and analyzes its suitability as a smart grid communications network for a variety of applications. The report provides a comprehensive assessment of the demand drivers and inhibitors, and offers detail on the WiGRID standard and on recent spectrum-related developments. Key industry players are profiled, and worldwide unit deployments of WiMAX communications nodes are forecast, segmented by application and region, through 2020.

Key Questions Addressed:

Where has WiMAX-based Smart Grid technology been deployed, and by whom, worldwide?
What are the advantages and liabilities of the WiMAX standard as a communications solution in utility applications?
How does the availability of spectrum assets globally (or lack thereof) affect the attractiveness of WiMAX as a communications solution for the smart grid?
How is the newest WiMAX standard, WiGRID, addressing earlier weaknesses in the WiMAX standard for smart grid applications?
How large is the market opportunity for vendors of WiMAX-based solutions worldwide and how extensive will utility implementations be by 2020?

Who needs this report?

Utilities
Wireless communications equipment vendors
Industry associations
Investor community
Policymakers

1. Executive Summary

2. Market Update

2.1 Background

2.2 Smart Grid Applications

2.2.1 Market Drivers

2.2.2 Market Inhibitors

2.3 WiGRID

3. Key Industry Players

3.1 Public Service Providers

3.1.1 Clearwire/Sprint

3.2 Utilities

3.2.1 Asia Pacific Trials

3.2.2 Ausgrid

3.2.3 BC Hydro

3.2.4 CenterPoint Energy

3.2.5 National Grid

3.2.6 Nova Scotia Power

3.2.7 Oklahoma Gas & Electric

3.2.8 PPL Electric

3.2.9 Salt River Project

3.2.10 San Diego Gas & Electric

3.2.11 SP AusNet

3.3 Equipment Vendors

3.3.1 Airspan

3.3.2 Alcatel-Lucent

3.3.3 Alvarion

3.3.4 Ericsson

3.3.5 GE Digital Energy

3.3.6 Grid Net

3.3.7 Itron

3.3.8 Trilliant

4. Market Forecast

4.1 Global Outlook

4.1.1 North America

4.1.2 Asia Pacific

4.1.3 Latin America

4.2 Applications

5. Conclusions and Recommendations

5.1 Recommendations for Utilities

5.2 Recommendations for Equipment Vendors

List of Charts and Tables

WiMAX-based Communication Node Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
Key Differences between WiMAX for Mobile Broadband and WiGRID for Smart Grid
WiMAX-based Communication Node Shipments by Application, World Markets: 2012-2020

LTE Networks for Smart Grid Applications

ejohnson — Wed, 15 May 2013 05:54:45 +0000

Long Term Evolution (LTE) is seen by most as the gold standard of wireless technology today, but hurdles remain before it becomes a mainstream communications network option for utilities deploying smart grid applications. LTE is a high-speed, high-capacity wireless communications standard with low latency, as well as flexibility in prioritization and in quality of service (QoS) that will enable its use in critical applications where legacy 3G wireless systems are unsuitable. LTE may also be used for AMI-NAN, AMI-WAN, substation automation, distribution automation, video monitoring, and mobile workforce management applications in the smart grid, and the standard is considered future-proof by many utilities.

Today, however, cost and spectrum availability issues make many utilities reluctant or unable to commit to LTE as a private solution, and many utilities, particularly in the United States remain wary of relying upon public communications providers. Longer term, partnerships with the federal government’s FirstNet initiative, or with incumbent local exchange carriers, may allow U.S. utilities to share the costs for LTE network deployment and operation. Navigant Research forecasts that shipments of LTE-based communications nodes will surpass 5 million units annually by 2020.

This Navigant Research report details emerging utility uses of the LTE wireless standard and analyzes its value as a smart grid communications network for a variety of applications. The report provides a comprehensive assessment of the demand drivers and inhibitors, and details the possible business cases for LTE in smart grid deployments. Key industry players are profiled, and worldwide unit shipments of LTE communications nodes are forecast, segmented by application and region, through 2020.

Key Questions Addressed:

What are the advantages and disadvantages of the LTE wireless standard as a communications solution in utility applications?
Where has LTE-based smart grid technology been deployed, and by whom, worldwide?
How does the availability of spectrum assets globally (or lack thereof) affect the attractiveness of LTE as a communications solution in the smart grid?
What are the pros and cons of using LTE service via a public communications provider as opposed to developing a private network?
What types of partnership opportunities are emerging for utilities interested in using LTE networks? What are the costs and benefits of such partnerships?
How large is the market opportunity for vendors of LTE-based solutions worldwide and how extensive will utility implementations be by 2020?

Who needs this report?

Utilities
Public wireless service providers
Wireless communications equipment vendors
Industry associations
Investor community
Government agencies and policymakers

1. Executive Summary

2. Market Update

2.1 Background

2.2 Smart Grid Applications

2.2.1 Market Drivers

2.2.2 Market Inhibitors

2.3 Spectrum Allocation and Costs

2.4 LTE Deployments: Public and Private

2.5 Partnership Options

2.5.1 Green Mountain Power

2.5.2 FirstNet

3. Key Industry Players

3.1 Public Service Providers

3.1.1 AT&T

3.1.2 Sprint Nextel

3.1.3 Verizon Wireless3.2.3 Green Mountain Power

3.2 Utilities

3.2.1 Ausgrid

3.2.2 Duke Energy

3.2.3 Green Mountain Power

3.2.4 San Diego Gas & Electric

3.2.5 Tri-County Electric Coop

3.3 Equipment Vendors

3.3.1 Alcatel-Lucent

3.3.2 Ambient

3.3.3 CalAmp

3.3.4 Ericsson

3.3.5 GE Digital Energy

3.3.6 Grid Net

4. Market Forecast

4.1 Global Outlook

4.1.1 North America

4.1.2 Europe

4.1.3 Rest of World

4.2 Applications

5. Conclusions and Recommendations

5.1 Recommendations for Utilities

5.2 Recommendations for Public Service Providers

5.3 Recommendations for Equipment Vendors

List of Charts and Figures

LTE-based Communication Node Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
Global LTE Deployments
LTE-based Communication Node Shipments by Application, World Markets: 2012-2020

Wi-Fi Networks for Smart Grid Applications

Alexandria Davis — Wed, 15 May 2013 05:54:02 +0000

More than a billion devices with Wi-Fi capability are sold globally each year. Once thought of strictly in terms of personal area networks for Internet access, the 802.11 Wi-Fi networking standard is now filling an expanded role within the smart grid ecosystem, including wide area networking applications like AMI backhaul and substation and distribution automation applications. Yet, in home area networks, Wi-Fi-based nodes have not made serious headway against the entrenched ZigBee standard, but efforts are underway to reduce the power consumption of Wi-Fi chipsets and to ensure their interoperability with ZigBee-based devices.

These developments, along with advances in mesh-based Wi-Fi solutions and emerging wide-range 802.11-based standards, should lead to broader acceptance and deployment of Wi-Fi technology for smart grid applications. Wi-Fi solutions have been utilized in numerous municipal utility smart grid deployments, although many utilities remain concerned about interference and poor propagation for solutions based on Wi-Fi standards. Navigant Research forecasts that annual shipments of Wi-Fi communications nodes for smart grid applications will surpass 1.2 million worldwide by 2020.

This Navigant Research report details emerging developments with the Wi-Fi standard and analyzes its value as a smart grid communications network for a variety of applications. The report provides a comprehensive assessment of the demand drivers and inhibitors, and details its use in municipal utility smart grid deployments. Key industry players are profiled and worldwide unit deployments of Wi-Fi-based communications nodes are forecast, segmented by application and region, through 2020.

Key Questions Addressed:

What are the advantages and disadvantages of Wi-Fi as a communications solution for utility applications?
Where have municipal utilities deployed Wi-Fi-based smart grid technology? What can other utilities learn from these deployments?
How does Wi-Fi compare with ZigBee as a standard for home area networking smart grid applications?
What new standards are in development for 802.11 Wi-Fi-based technology and how will they affect the attractiveness of Wi-Fi as a communications solution in the smart grid?
What are the pros and cons of using Wi-Fi based communications over unlicensed spectrum? How great is the risk of interference?
How large is the market opportunity for vendors of Wi-Fi-based solutions worldwide, and how extensive will utility implementations be by 2020?

Who needs this report?

Utilities
Smart grid technology vendors
Wireless communications equipment vendors
Industry associations involved in wireless standards development
Investor community

1. Executive Summary

2. Market Update

2.1 Wi-Fi Background

2.2 Wi-Fi Standards and Spectrum Considerations

2.2.1 Current 802.11 Standards

2.2.2 The ISM Bands

2.2.3 Emerging Wi-Fi Standards

2.3 Wi-Fi in Smart Grid Applications

2.3.1 Wi-Fi versus ZigBee

2.4 Drivers and Inhibitors

2.4.1 Market Drivers

2.4.2 Market Inhibitors

3. Key Industry Players

3.1 Municipalities/Utilities

3.1.1 Avista Utilities

3.1.2 Burbank Water and Power

3.1.3 Fort Collins Utilities

3.1.4 DTE Energy

3.1.5 Duke Energy

3.1.6 Guam Power Authority

3.1.7 Kansas City Power & Light

3.1.8 Public Service Company of Oklahoma

3.1.9 Silicon Valley Power

3.2 Equipment Vendors

3.2.1 ABB/Tropos Networks

3.2.2 Aclara

3.2.3 Alvarion

3.2.4 Aruba Networks

3.2.5 GainSpan

3.2.6 Intwine Energy

3.2.7 Itron, Inc.

3.2.8 Qualcomm Atheros, Inc.

3.2.9 Redpine Signals

3.3 Industry Associations and Consortia

3.3.1 Consortium for Smart Energy Profile Interoperability

3.3.2 Wi-Fi Alliance

4. Market Forecast

4.1 Global Outlook

4.1.1 North America

4.1.2 Rest of World

4.2 Applications

5. Conclusions and Recommendations

5.1 Recommendations for Utilities

5.2 Recommendations for Vendors

List of Charts and Figures

Wi-Fi Smart Grid Communication Node Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
Wi-Fi Smart Grid Communication Node Shipments by Application, World Markets: 2012-2020

Distributed Solar Energy Generation

ejohnson — Fri, 05 Apr 2013 20:01:05 +0000

Distributed solar photovoltaic (PV) systems offer the benefit of producing electricity onsite, thereby reducing the need to build new transmission capacity and avoiding line losses. Distributed generation can offer significant benefits to consumers while adding resiliency to an electric grid based on a traditional centralized model. These systems are used in applications ranging from residential to small commercial to industrial use. Though this market is still primarily driven by government incentives, distributed solar PV will continue its steady march toward grid parity in major markets over the next few years.

The global distributed solar photovoltaic market contracted slightly in 2012, due to reduced market activity in Italy and Germany. However, growth in the United States, China, Japan, and other countries continued, driven by solar PV module price reductions, the growth of third-party financing models, and feed-in tariffs. Navigant Research forecasts that, from 2013 to 2018, 220 GW of distributed solar PV will be installed worldwide, representing $540.3 billion in revenue.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the global market for distributed solar PV systems less than 1 MW in capacity and provides an assessment of the most important market drivers, technology trends, and challenges faced by the growing distributed solar PV industry. Forecasts for average installed prices and annual installations, segmented by region, extend through 2018.

Key Questions Addressed:

Which countries will lead in distributed solar PV development over the next 6 years – and why?
What is the current status and outlook for distributed solar PV financial incentives?
How much does it cost to install distributed solar PV in major markets?
How is technological innovation playing a role in the development of the distributed solar PV industry?
What key barriers and opportunities will shape the distributed solar PV market?
How much capital will be invested in total distributed solar PV installations by 2018?
What is the forecast through 2018 for annual distributed solar PV installations, in terms of capacity, broken down by region?
How will average prices for distributed solar PV change over the next 4 years?

Who needs this report?

Solar PV module and component manufacturers
Solar PV industry service providers
Renewable energy technology suppliers
Renewable energy project developers
Utilities
Economic development agencies
Government agencies and regulators
Investor community

1. Executive Summary

1.1 Distributed Solar PV Market Overview and Key Trends

1.2 Key Trends in Distributed Solar Energy Generation

1.2.1 Distributed Solar PV Systems Forecast

2. Market Issues

2.1 Defining Distributed Solar Energy Generation

2.2 Distributed Solar PV Market Overview and Key Trends

2.2.1 Distributed Generation Can Still Mean Thinking Big

2.2.2 Distributed Solar Gains Public and Political Traction versus Centralized Solar

2.2.3 Solar PV Reaching Grid Parity

2.3 Market Drivers and Legislative / Regulatory Mandates

2.3.1 Financial Incentives, Public Policies, and Trade Wars

2.3.1.1 FITs

2.3.1.1.1. North America

2.3.1.1.2. Europe

2.3.1.1.3. Asia Pacific

2.3.2 Net Metering Policies

2.3.3 Renewable Energy Certificates

2.3.4 Utility Asset Ownership Models

2.3.5 Residential and Commercial Solar PV Leases and Power Purchase Agreements

2.4 Implementation Issues

2.4.1 Grid Interconnection

2.4.2 Standards and Permitting

2.4.3 Utilities’ Fear of Higher Penetration of Renewables

3. Technology Trends

3.1 PV Module Oversupply Leads to Significant Price Reductions

3.2 Inverter and Balance of System Price Declines

3.3 Technology Trend: Microinverters, AC Modules, and DC Optimizers

3.3.1 Microinverters and AC Panels

3.3.2 DC Optimizers

4. Market Forecasts

4.1 Distributed Solar PV Systems

4.1.1 North America

4.1.2 European Union

4.1.3 Asia Pacific

4.1.4 Rest of World

5. Company Directory
6. Acronym and Abbreviation List
7. Table of Contents
8. Table of Charts and Figures
9. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

Comparing Current Status of Distributed Solar PV and Centralized Solar Projects in California
Solar PV Cheaper than Grid Electricity in Southern Germany
German Utility Meets More than 100% of Load with Solar and Wind on May 8, 2011
Cost Comparison of Residential Solar PV Installation Costs, United States and Germany: 2011
Module-Level Power Management
Annual Distributed Solar PV Installed Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2012-2018
Annual Distributed Solar PV Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2010-2012
Annual Solar PV System Installed Capacity by System Size, Germany: 2010-2012
Annual Solar PV Installed Capacity by Segment, United States: 2010-2012E
Distributed Solar PV System Prices (Non-Weighted Average) by Component, World Markets: 2006-2018
Annual Distributed Solar PV Installed Capacity by Country, North America: 2012-2018
Annual Distributed Solar PV Installed Capacity by Country, Leading European Countries: 2012-2018
Annual Distributed Solar PV Installed Capacity by Country, Asia Pacific: 2012-2018
Average Distributed Solar PV System Installed Price by Region, World Markets: 2010-2018

List of Tables

Annual Distributed Solar PV Installed Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2009-2018
Distributed Energy Generation Technology Comparison: 2012
Annual Distributed Solar PV Installed Capacity by Country, World Markets: 2009-2018
Distributed Solar PV System Prices (Non-Weighted Average) by Component, World Markets: 2006-2018
Average Distributed Solar PV Installed Price by Region, World Markets: 2009-2018
Annual Distributed Solar PV Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2009-2018
Cumulative Solar PV Installed Systems and Capacity by System Size, Italy: 2010 and 2011
Annual Solar PV Installed Systems and Capacity by System Size, Italy: 2011
Annual Solar PV Installed Capacity by State and System Size, Germany: 2012
Annual Solar PV Installed Capacity by State and System Size, Germany: 2011
Annual Solar PV Installed Capacity by State and System Size, Germany: 2010
Quarterly Solar PV Installed Capacity by Segment, United States: 2010-2012E
Annual Solar PV Installed Capacity by Segment, United States: 2010-2012E
Annual Solar PV Installed Capacity Market Share by Segment, United States: 2008-2012E

ZigBee for Smart Energy

ejohnson — Thu, 28 Mar 2013 18:26:45 +0000

A widely deployed wireless communications technology, ZigBee is the basis for radios and software embedded in millions of smart meters and other smart energy devices, such as programmable communicating thermostats and gateways. The latest version of the ZigBee Smart Energy Profile (SEP 2.0) software, expected to become commercially available later in 2013, represents an important shift: it will be the first version of ZigBee to be Internet Protocol (IP) based, and will enable ZigBee devices to communicate with non-ZigBee devices, such as those using Wi-Fi or HomePlug. This opens up a new world for ZigBee, and poses market risks as other home networking technologies contend for relevance in the energy management sector.

ZigBee still has momentum in the energy sector, despite these risks. Some leading U.S. utilities have deployed ZigBee-enabled meters, and have encouraged customers to purchase home area network (HAN) devices that can connect to those smart meters for improved energy management. Around the world, ZigBee smart meter deployments are taking hold as well, in countries such as Australia and the United Kingdom. Navigant Research forecasts that the worldwide installed base of ZigBee-enabled devices will grow from 39.5 million at the end of 2012 to 219.2 million devices by 2020, representing a compound annual growth rate of 24%.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the global market opportunity for ZigBee’s smart energy profile, exploring key drivers and inhibitors shaping the market along with major technology issues. The report provides market forecasts through the end of the decade for shipments of ZigBee-enabled devices as well as revenue from ZigBee modules and chips, segmented by region. Profiles of key industry players, analysis of regional trends, and a utility case study are included as well.

Key Questions Addressed:

What are the forces shaping the market for ZigBee smart energy devices?
How many ZigBee-enabled energy devices will be shipped through 2020?
How large is the revenue opportunity for ZigBee chips and module sales in this market?
What technology issues are shaping this market?
Who are the major players in the ZigBee smart energy space?
Which global regions will provide the most opportunities for ZigBee smart energy vendors?

Who needs this report?

Utilities
Smart meter manufacturers
ZigBee chip and module vendors
Home area network (HAN) device manufacturers
Home energy management (HEM) vendors
Consumer electronics companies
Industry associations
Government agencies
Investor community

1. Executive Summary

1.1 ZigBee for Smart Energy

1.2 Drivers

1.3 Inhibitors

1.4 Market Momentum

1.5 Market Forecast

2. Market Issues

2.1 Introduction

2.2 Market Momentum

2.2.1 Background

2.2.2 Smart Energy Profiles

2.2.2.1 SEP 2.0

2.2.2.2 Need for a Gateway

2.3 Consumer Acceptance of Home Area Networks and Home Energy Management

2.4 Appliances

2.5 Regional Trends

2.5.1 North America

2.5.1.1 California

2.5.1.1.1. Southern California Edison

2.5.1.1.2. Pacific Gas and Electric Company

2.5.1.1.3. San Diego Gas & Electric

2.5.1.2 Texas

2.5.1.2.1. TXU Energy

2.5.1.2.2. Reliant Energy

2.5.1.3 Oklahoma

2.5.1.3.1. Oklahoma Gas & Electric

2.5.2 Europe

2.5.2.1 United Kingdom

2.5.2.2 Rest of Europe

2.5.2.2.1. ZigBee for Neighborhood Area Networks

2.5.3 Asia Pacific

2.5.3.1 Australia

2.5.3.2 China

2.5.3.3 India

2.5.3.4 Japan

2.6 Case Study: Fort Collins Utilities

2.6.1 Background

2.6.2 Challenge

2.6.3 Equipment

2.6.4 Cost

2.6.5 Rollout Arc

3. Technology Issues

3.1 ZigBee

3.1.1 Early Development

3.1.2 SEP 2.0 Draft

3.1.3 Risks

3.1.4 SEP 2.0 Features and Capabilities

3.2 ZigBee: A Suite of Standards

3.3 Competing Technologies

3.3.1 Wi-Fi

3.3.2 HomePlug

3.3.2.1 HomePlug Green PHY

3.3.3 Z-Wave

3.3.4 One Utility’s Technology Perspective

4. Key Industry Players

4.1 Aclara

4.2 Atmel

4.3 Digi International

4.4 Freescale Semiconductor

4.5 GreenPeak Technologies

4.6 Grid2Home

4.7 MMB Networks

4.8 NXP Semiconductors

4.9 Renesas Electronics

4.10 Silicon Labs

4.11 STMicroelectronics

4.12 Texas Instruments

4.13 Trilliant

4.14 Industry Groups

4.14.1 Consortium for SEP 2 Interoperability

4.14.2 HomePlug Alliance

4.14.3 Wi-Fi Alliance

4.14.4 ZigBee Alliance

4.14.5 Z-Wave Alliance

5. Market Forecasts

5.1 Introduction

5.2 ZigBee-Enabled Energy Device Installed Base, Shipments

5.2.1 North America

5.2.2 Europe

5.2.3 Asia Pacific

5.2.4 Latin America

5.2.5 Middle East & Africa

5.2.6 Worldwide

5.3 ZigBee Versions

5.3.1 North America

5.3.2 ZigBee Version Installed Base Migration

5.4 Conclusions and Recommendations

6. Company Directory
7. Acronym and Abbreviation List
8. Table of Contents
9. Table of Charts and Figures
10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

Awareness of Home Energy Management Services, United States: 2012
Reasons for Lack of Interest in Home Energy Management, United States: 2012
ZigBee-Enabled Device Installed Base by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
ZigBee Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
ZigBee-Enabled Device Shipments by Device Type, North America: 2012-2020
ZigBee Module and Chip Revenue by Device Type, North America: 2012-2020
ZigBee-Enabled Device Shipments by Device Type, Europe: 2012-2020
ZigBee Module and Chip Revenue by Device Type, Europe: 2012-2020
ZigBee-Enabled Device Shipments by Device Type, Asia Pacific: 2012-2020
ZigBee Module and Chip Revenue by Device Type, Asia Pacific: 2012-2020
ZigBee-Enabled Device Shipments by Device Type, Latin America: 2012-2020
ZigBee Module and Chip Revenue by Device Type, Latin America: 2012-2020
ZigBee-Enabled Device Shipments by Device Type, Middle East & Africa: 2012-2020
ZigBee Module and Chip Revenue by Device Type, Middle East & Africa: 2012-2020
ZigBee-Enabled Device Shipments by Device Type, World Markets: 2012-2020
ZigBee Module and Chip Revenue by Device Type, World Markets: 2012-2020
ZigBee Device Shipments by Version, World Markets: 2012‑2020
ZigBee Device Shipments by Version, North America: 2012‑2020
ZigBee Installed Base by Version, World Markets: 2012-2020
SEP 2.0 Interoperability Model for Home Area Networks
British Gas/Centrica Smart Meter and Advanced Metering Infrastructure and HAN Configuration
ZigBee Mesh Network Topology

List of Tables

Fort Collins Utilities’ Smart Meter and HAN Rollout Plan
The Suite of ZigBee Standards
PG&E: HAN Standards Pros and Cons: 2012
ZigBee-Enabled Device Installed Base by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
ZigBee Installed Base by Device Type, World Markets: 2012-2020
ZigBee-Enabled Device Shipments by Device Type, World Markets: 2012-2020
ZigBee-Enabled Device Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
ZigBee-Enabled Device Shipments by Device Type, North America: 2012-2020
ZigBee-Enabled Device Shipments by Device Type, Europe: 2012-2020
ZigBee-Enabled Device Shipments by Device Type, Asia Pacific: 2012-2020
ZigBee-Enabled Device Shipments by Device Type, Latin America: 2012-2020
ZigBee-Enabled Device Shipments by Device Type, Middle East & Africa: 2012-2020
ZigBee Module and Chip Revenue by Device Type, World Markets: 2012-2020
ZigBee Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
ZigBee Module and Chip ASPs, North America: 2012-2020
ZigBee Module and Chip Revenue by Device Type, North America: 2012-2020
ZigBee Module and Chip ASPs, Europe: 2012-2020
ZigBee Module and Chip Revenue by Device Type, Europe: 2012-2020
ZigBee Module and Chip ASPs, Asia Pacific: 2012-2020
ZigBee Module and Chip Revenue by Device Type, Asia Pacific: 2012-2020
ZigBee Module and Chip ASPs, Latin America: 2012-2020
ZigBee Module and Chip Revenue by Device Type, Latin America: 2012-2020
ZigBee Module and Chip ASPs, Middle East & Africa: 2012-2020
ZigBee Module and Chip Revenue by Device Type, Middle East & Africa: 2012-2020
ZigBee Version Installed Base by Device Type, World Markets: 2012-2020
ZigBee Version Installed Base by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
ZigBee Version Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
ZigBee Device Version Shipments by Device Type, North America: 2012-2020
ZigBee Device Version Shipments by Device Type, Europe: 2012-2020
ZigBee Device Version Shipments by Device Type, Asia Pacific: 2012-2020
ZigBee Device Version Shipments by Device Type, Latin America: 2012-2020
ZigBee Device Version Shipments by Device Type, Middle East & Africa: 2012-2020

Smart Grid: 10 Trends to Watch in 2013 and Beyond

ejohnson — Mon, 25 Mar 2013 17:16:54 +0000

Well into its second decade of existence, the smart grid market remains an exciting yet risky place to do business. This market strongly exhibits the correlation between high risk and high reward. The enormous scale of the business attracts serious players of all sizes, some disruptive and others simply opportunistic. Although several segments are well-established, little of this market could be characterized as mature. Navigant Research forecasts that smart grid technology revenue will reach a cumulative total of $494 billion during the period from 2012 to 2020, with a compound annual growth rate (CAGR) of 10%.

Navigant Research has identified 10 key trends that will shape smart grid investment in 2013 and beyond. These topics are a starting point for smart grid stakeholders to understand how the market is likely to unfold throughout 2013 and the following years. The topics are a mixture of the expected and the unforeseen:

Smart grid technology spending remains robust
Smart meter shipments continue to decline
Home energy management gains momentum
Demand response shifts to a flexibility market
Adoption of automated demand response accelerates
Utilities rely more upon real-time grid analytics
Disaster recovery and service restoration become more efficient
Distributed energy generation poses more issues
Meter data management struggles but survives
Cyber security market offers limited promise

This Navigant Research white paper provides insights into key issues that will shape the smart grid market in the months and years ahead, with summary forecasts of smart grid, smart metering, and automated demand response markets. Each of the topics in this white paper is examined more deeply in Navigant Research market overview reports. The white paper also compares the development of these markets across different world regions.

Key Questions Addressed:

Why will smart grid technology investment continue to grow and where are the opportunities?
Where are smart meter revenues likely to increase and decrease?
What is happening in the home energy management market?
What are the latest trends in demand response?
How are utilities going to use data analytics?
How will distributed energy generation fit into the smart grid?
Does meter data management have a future?
Does anyone care about cyber security yet?

Who needs this report?

Smart grid technology vendors
Service providers and systems integrators
Networking and communications suppliers
Utilities
Government agencies
Investor community

1. Smart Grid Trends

1.1 Smart Grid Market View

2. 10 Smart Grid Trends to Watch

2.1 Smart Grid Technology Spending Remains Robust

2.2 Smart Meter Shipments Continue to Decline

2.3 Home Energy Management Gains Momentum

2.4 Demand Response Shifts to a Flexibility Market

2.4.1 Flexibility Market

2.4.2 Benefits of Ancillary Services

2.5 Adoption of Automated Demand Response Picks Up

2.5.1 Prospects for ADR in the Residential and Small-to-Medium Size Business Sectors

2.5.2 Promising Market Growth across the Globe

2.6 Utilities Rely More upon Real-Time Grid Analytics

2.7 Disaster Recovery and Service Restoration Become More Efficient

2.8 Distributed Energy Generation Poses More Issues

2.8.1 DEG Outlook

2.9 Meter Data Management Struggles but Survives

2.10 Cyber Security Market Offers Limited Promise

3. Table of Contents
4. Table of Charts and Figures
5. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

Cumulative Revenue for Smart Grid Technology by Application, World Markets: 2012-2020
Smart Meter Unit Shipments by Region, World Markets: 2010-2020
Home Energy Management Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2011-2020
Automated Demand Response-Enabled Sites by Region, World Markets: 2012-2019
Advanced Distribution Management System Revenue, World Markets: 2013-2020
Renewable DEG Installed Capacity and Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013-2017
Industrial Control System Security Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2012-2020
Matching Supply and Demand

Energy Storage Systems for Ancillary Services

Alexandria Davis — Wed, 06 Mar 2013 20:48:38 +0000

Ancillary services are the services required to maintain safe, reliable, and secure transmission of energy on the grid. Designed to respond to the technical challenges of generating, transmitting and distributing electricity, these services are required to balance the grid regardless of the structure of the electricity market. It can be challenging for a new technology – such as energy storage systems (ESSs) – to make a compelling business case in this market even if on a technical level energy storage provides a compelling and competitive solution.

Energy storage, however, is poised to take advantage of several global trends in this market. Demand for energy will continue to grow at a rapid pace, leading to more deregulation of the electricity market as well as more instability on the grid system as renewables penetration will also grow. In this scenario, ESSs offer, in many cases, better quality ancillary services in addition to an alternative to using traditional generation assets. Navigant Research forecasts that worldwide annual installed capacity of energy storage systems for ancillary services will reach 3,500 MW by 2023.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the global market for energy storage to provide ancillary services. The report provides a comprehensive assessment of the demand drivers and technology issues associated with the ancillary services market. Key industry players are profiled in depth and worldwide revenue and capacity forecasts, segmented by technology and region, extend through 2023.

Key Questions Addressed:

How will increased renewables penetration affect the ancillary service market and the opportunity for ESS in this market?
What are the macro trends that will influence ancillary service markets and the opportunity for ESS in these markets?
How large is the market, in terms of capacity and revenue, by technology and region?
How large will the market be, in terms of capacity and revenue, in 2023?
What are the leading applications for ESS in ancillary services? What is the regional segmentation, the technology segmentation?
Who are the key players in the ESS for ancillary services market?
What are the key countries for ESS for ancillary services going forward and what are the key drivers, barriers, and opportunities for energy storage in those markets?
What are the estimated installed energy storage costs and revenue opportunities for energy storage technology providers?

Who needs this report?

Energy storage technology providers and service providers
Battery manufacturers and component providers
Electronics and power systems firms
Renewable energy technology providers and project developers
Utilities and grid operators
Government agencies
Investor community

1. Executive Summary

1.1 Introduction

1.2 Key Market Conditions

1.3 Industry Issues

1.4 Market Forecast

2. Market Issues

2.1 Definitions, Regulated and Deregulated Markets, Energy Mix, and Current Market

2.1.1 Ancillary Services Definition

2.1.2 Regulated and Deregulated Markets

2.1.3 Market Structures

2.1.4 Current Energy Storage Systems for Ancillary Services

2.2 Regional Analysis

2.2.1 Spotlight on Asia Pacific

2.2.1.1 Reserves and Capacity Services in Asia Pacific

2.2.1.2 China

2.2.2 Spotlight on Europe

2.2.2.1 Energy Mix

2.2.2.2 European Grid System

2.2.2.3 Ancillary Service Cost Recovery

2.2.3 Spotlight on the United States

2.2.3.1 ESS Pipeline: Interconnection Queues

2.2.3.2 FERC Order 755

2.2.3.2.1. Specifics

2.2.3.2.2. Technologies

2.2.3.2.3. Timeline

3. Technology Issues

3.1 Pumped Storage

3.2 Compressed Air Energy Storage

3.3 Flywheels

3.3.1 Basic Principles

3.3.2 Strengths and Weaknesses

3.4 Advanced Batteries

3.4.1 Technology Overview

3.4.1.1 Battery Management System

3.4.1.2 Balance of System

3.4.2 Battery Chemistries

3.4.2.1 Advanced Lead-Acid Batteries

3.4.2.2 Sodium Sulfur Batteries

3.4.2.3 Lithium Ion Batteries

3.4.2.3.1. Lithium Ion Chemistries

4. Key Industry Players

4.1 Introduction

4.1.1 ABB

4.1.2 AES Energy Storage, LLC

4.1.3 Ampard

4.1.4 Beacon Power

4.1.5 BYD Co. Ltd.

4.1.6 Ecoult

4.1.7 LightSail Energy

4.1.8 NEC Corp.

4.1.9 NGK Insulators

4.1.10 S&C Electric

5. Market Forecasts

5.1 Forecasting Methodology, Baseline Figures, and Costs

5.1.1 Forecast Methodology

5.1.2 Key Flex Points in the Model

5.1.3 Energy Storage for Ancillary Services Baseline Figures

5.1.4 Energy Storage for Ancillary Services Cost Figures

5.1.5 How Costs Will Change Over Time

5.2 Market Forecast by Region

5.3 Market Forecast by Technology

5.4 Market Forecast by Application

5.5 Conclusions and Recommendations

6. Company Directory
7. Acronym and Abbreviation List
8. Table of Contents
9. Table of Charts and Figures
10. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for All Ancillary Services by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
Installed Capacity of Energy Storage Delivering Ancillary Services as a Primary Application (Excluding Pumped Storage), World Markets: 4Q 2012
Energy Storage for Ancillary Services Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Technology, World Markets: 2013-2023
Energy Storage for Ancillary Services Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Application, World Markets: 2013-2023
The European Grid’s Five Synchronous Areas
Schematic of Compressed Air Energy Storage
Second Generation CAES Design
Commercial Flywheel Performance

List of Tables

Summary of Forecasted Ancillary Services
Spinning Reserves Requirements, Asia Pacific
China’s Southern Grid Spinning Reserves Payment Structure
Components of Transmission Tariffs, Select European Countries
Costs Included in Transmission Tariffs, Select European Countries
Summary of Energy Storage Projects in Interconnection Queues by System Operator, U.S. Markets: 1Q 2013
Summary of the Operating Characteristics of Leading Advanced Battery Technologies
Characteristics of Lithium Ion Battery Chemistries
Key Flex Points in the Energy Storage Systems for Ancillary Services Model
Projects Listed in ISO Interconnection Queues, Active Requests Only, U.S. Markets: 1Q 2013
Installed Energy Storage Capacity and Units, All Ancillary Services, 1Q 2013
Energy Storage Capacity and Units for Ancillary Services by Primary Application and Technology, 1Q 2013
Energy Storage Capacity and Units for Ancillary Services by Secondary Application and Technology, 1Q 2013
Installed Capacity of Energy Storage Delivering Ancillary Services as a Primary Application (Excluding Pumped Storage), World Markets: 4Q12
Baseline Figures for Each Application in the Market Forecast by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
Installed Power Cost for Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Technology, North America and Europe: 2013-2018
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for All Ancillary Services by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Frequency Regulation by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Voltage Support by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Spinning Reserve by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Electric Supply Reserve Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Load Following by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Application, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Application, North America: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Application, Western Europe: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Application, Eastern Europe: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Application, Asia Pacific: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Application, Latin America: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Application, Middle East: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Application, Africa: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Technology, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Technology, North America: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Technology, Western Europe: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Technology, Eastern Europe: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Technology, Latin America: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Technology, Middle East: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Technology, Africa: 2013-2023
Energy Storage for Ancillary Services Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2013-2023
Energy Storage for Ancillary Services Revenue by Technology, North America: 2013-2023
Energy Storage for Ancillary Services Revenue by Technology, Western Europe: 2013-2023
Energy Storage for Ancillary Services Revenue by Technology, Eastern Europe: 2013-2023
Energy Storage for Ancillary Services Revenue by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2013-2023
Energy Storage for Ancillary Services Revenue by Technology, Latin America: 2013-2023
Energy Storage for Ancillary Services Revenue by Technology, Middle East: 2013-2023
Energy Storage for Ancillary Services Revenue by Technology, Africa: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for All Ancillary Services by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of NaS Batteries by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of CAES by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Pumped Hydro by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Advanced Lithium Ion by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Advanced Lead-Acid by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Flywheel by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
Energy Storage for Ancillary Services Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed NaS Battery Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed CAES Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Pumped Hydro Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Advanced Lithium Ion Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Advanced Lead-Acid Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Flywheel Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Energy Storage for Ancillary Services by Application, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of NaS Batteries by Application, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of CAES by Application, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Pumped Hydro by Application, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Advanced Lithium Ion by Application, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Advanced Lead-Acid by Application, World Markets: 2013-2023
New Installed Capacity of Flywheel by Application, World Markets: 2013-2023