Three Key Trends Align Personal Transportation with City Sustainability Plans

The convergence of automated driving, electrification, and connected services provide the potential for enormous societal benefits in the coming decades

Nov 28, 2017

A new white paper from Navigant Research examines key trends in personal mobility, outlining related impacts and critical issues, with recommendations for chief stakeholders.

Around the world, major cities are seeking ways to combat the negative effects of local transport on public health, pollution, noise levels, and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. Increasingly, cities are considering restricting or banning passenger cars from large areas, as well as a means to reduce traffic congestion and parking demand. Click to tweet: However, according to a new white paper from @NavigantRSRCH, three key trends—automated vehicles, cleaner powertrains, and the mobility as a service (MaaS) model—could make personal transportation compatible with cities’ sustainability plans.

“If implemented correctly, the convergence of automated driving, electrification, and connected services provide the potential for enormous societal benefits in the coming decades,” says Sam Abuelsamid, principal research analyst at Navigant Research. “Over time, a city of three million residents could reduce its vehicle population by two-thirds using an automated MaaS model, which presents a shift away from personally owned modes of transportation toward mobility solutions that are consumed as a service. This would also free up nearly 4 square miles of land currently dedicated to parking for more productive uses.”

Highly automated driving is expected to debut by 2020 and start to grow rapidly as soon as 2025, according to the white paper. This technological change will bring about shifts in the economics, convenience, and safety of personal mobility and will drive the move toward on-demand automated vehicle services. Automated on-demand fleets that run on clean powertrains could be competitive with or cheaper than other transportation options available today, driving consumers toward MaaS.

The white paper, Redefining Mobility Services in Cities, examines the key trends in personal mobility and their major impacts on the environmental footprint of urban mobility, city planning, and transportation planning. Navigant Research developed a potential scenario of the impacts from the high-level adoption of automated vehicles in a model city with 3 million inhabitants, collectively owning 1.5 million cars, to explore and quantify impacts. The white paper further outlines the critical issues related to the mobility service revolution that need to be addressed from the perspective of the chief stakeholder groups and provides a set of recommendations for each group. An Executive Summary of the report is available for free download on the Navigant Research website.

Contact: Lindsay Funicello-Paul


* The information contained in this press release concerning the report, Redefining Mobility Services in Cities, is a summary and reflects Navigant Research’s current expectations based on market data and trend analysis. Market predictions and expectations are inherently uncertain and actual results may differ materially from those contained in this press release or the report. Please refer to the full report for a complete understanding of the assumptions underlying the report’s conclusions and the methodologies used to create the report. Neither Navigant Research nor Navigant undertakes any obligation to update any of the information contained in this press release or the report.