1Q 2020

Global DER Deployment Database

Distributed Renewables, Distributed Energy Storage, DERMS, EV Charging Loads, Demand Response, and Energy Efficiency: Global Market Forecasts

The proliferation of distributed energy resources (DER) is among the most disruptive trends to the traditional energy industry for the foreseeable future. DERs have played a critical role in the transition of the traditional energy industry into a distributed ecosystem. Energy companies and utilities continue to deal with revenue erosion due to energy efficiency, demand side optimization, and solar PV.

According to estimates from Navigant Research, a Guidehouse company, new global DER capacity deployments—including DG, distributed energy storage, PEV charging load, DR, and energy efficiency—are outpacing the deployment of new centralized generation capacity. This shift away from centralized generation requires innovative technologies and solutions on the part of grid operators, including advanced software and hardware that enable greater control and interoperability across heterogeneous grid elements that are key components of the Energy Cloud.

This Navigant Research report covers DER technologies grouped in four parts of the value chain that generate, manage, and consume electricity. The study provides technology capacity and revenue forecasts for 14 leading DER technology markets globally. It also provides data on countries and regions where the proliferation of these resources is expected to have the greatest influence over the next decade until 2030, segmented by residential and other end consumers. The latter segment includes commercial, industrial, community/multifamily, institutional, military, and remote (island) installations, grouped under the commercial, industrial, and institutional (CI&I) category in this report.
Pages 36
Tables | Charts | Figures 115
  • Which countries will represent the largest markets for distributed energy resources (DER) in the coming decade?
  • What mix of DER technologies is expected in different countries and regions worldwide?
  • What are the key drivers for different DER technologies around the world?
  • How are DER technologies evolving in terms of cost and integration into the grid?
  • What are the major DER developments in each global region to date?
  • How will DER deployments displace traditional, centralized generation around the world?
  • Solar developers, installers, and operators
  • Genset and microturbine vendors
  • Fuel cell vendors
  • Microgrid vendors
  • EV charging vendors and service providers
  • Energy suppliers, utilities, and grid operators
  • Energy service companies (ESCOs)
  • Investor community

1. Executive Summary

1.1   Market Overview

1.2   Scope and Segmentation

1.3   Market Forecast

2. Data Assumptions and Forecast Methodology

2.1   Forecast Philosophy

2.2 Technology Classes

3. Market Issues

3.1   Introduction

3.2   Technology Trends

3.2.1   DG

3.2.1.1   Diesel Gensets, NG Gensets, Stationary Fuel Cells, and Microturbines

3.2.1.2   Solar PV

3.2.1.3   Wind

3.2.1.4   Other Renewables

3.2.2   DESSs

3.2.3   Thermal Storage 

3.2.4   DER Management Systems

3.2.5   EV Charging Load

3.2.6   DR

3.2.7   HVAC

3.2.8   Energy Efficiency

4. Market Forecasts

4.1   Introduction

4.2   Global Forecast

4.3   North America

4.4   Europe

4.5   Asia Pacific

4.6   Latin America

4.7   Middle East & Africa

4.8   Conclusions

5. Acronym and Abbreviation List

6. Table of Contents

7. Table of Charts and Figures

8. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

  • Annual Distributed Generation vs. Annual Central Generation Capacity Additions, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity and Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Application Segment, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • "Annual Installed CI&I DER Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2020-2030       "
  • Annual Installed Residential DER Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity and Revenue by Technology, North America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity and Revenue by Technology, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity and Revenue by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity and Revenue by Technology, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity and Revenue by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative Installed Total DER Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, North America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Country, North America: 2020-2030
  • Distributed Generation as Percentage of New Additional Central Generation Capacity, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Application Segment, North America: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative DER Distributed Generation Percentage of Cumulative Central Capacity, North America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Country, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Application Segment, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative DER Distributed Generation Percentage of Cumulative Central Capacity, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Country, Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Application Segment, Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative DER Distributed Generation Percentage of Cumulative Central Capacity, Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Country, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Application Segment, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative DER Distributed Generation Percentage of Cumulative Central Capacity, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Application Segment, Middle East and Africa: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative DER Distributed Generation Percentage of Cumulative Central Capacity, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Country, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
  • Global Distributed Energy Value Chain
  • DER Technologies
  • Segment Definitions
  • List of Countries and Regions
  • Annual Installed CI&I DER Power Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Residential DER Power Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual CI&I DER Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Residential DER Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative Installed Total DER Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total Number of Units by Region, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed CI&I DER Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Residential DER Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual CI&I DER Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Residential DER Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative Installed Total DER Capacity By Technology, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total Number of Units by Technology, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Central Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Distributed Generation as Percentage of New Additional Central Generation Capacity, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Total Cumulative Central Power Generation Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative DER Distributed Generation Percentage of Cumulative Central Capacity, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed CI&I DER Power Capacity by Technology, North America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Residential DER Power Capacity by Technology, North America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Technology, North America: 2020-2030
  • Annual CI&I DER Revenue by Technology, North America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Residential DER Revenue by Technology, North America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, North America: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative Installed Total DER Capacity By Technology, North America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total Number of Units by Technology, North America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Central Power Capacity by Technology, North America: 2020-2030
  • Distributed Generation as Percentage of New Additional Central Generation Capacity, North America: 2020-2030
  • Total Cumulative Central Power Generation Capacity by Technology, North America: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative DER Distributed Generation Percentage of Cumulative Central Capacity, North America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed CI&I DER Power Capacity by Technology, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Residential DER Power Capacity by Technology, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Technology, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual CI&I DER Revenue by Technology, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual Residential DER Revenue by Technology, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative Installed Total DER Capacity By Technology, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total Number of Units by Technology, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Central Power Capacity by Technology, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Distributed Generation as Percentage of New Additional Central Generation Capacity, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Total Cumulative Central Power Generation Capacity by Technology, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative DER Distributed Generation Percentage of Cumulative Central Capacity, Europe: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed CI&I DER Power Capacity by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Residential DER Power Capacity by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual CI&I DER Revenue by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual Residential DER Revenue by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative Installed Total DER Capacity By Technology, Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total Number of Units by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Central Power Capacity by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Distributed Generation as Percentage of New Additional Central Generation Capacity, Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Total Cumulative Central Power Generation Capacity by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative DER Distributed Generation Percentage of Cumulative Central Capacity, Asia Pacific: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed CI&I DER Power Capacity by Technology, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Residential DER Power Capacity by Technology, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Technology, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual CI&I DER Revenue by Technology, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Residential DER Revenue by Technology, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative Installed Total DER Capacity By Technology, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total Number of Units by Technology, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Central Power Capacity by Technology, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Distributed Generation as Percentage of New Additional Central Generation Capacity, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Total Cumulative Central Power Generation Capacity by Technology, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative DER Distributed Generation Percentage of Cumulative Central Capacity, Latin America: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed CI&I DER Power Capacity by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Residential DER Power Capacity by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
  • Annual CI&I DER Revenue by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
  • Annual Residential DER Revenue by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative Installed Total DER Capacity By Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Total Number of Units by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
  • Annual Installed Central Power Capacity by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
  • Distributed Generation as Percentage of New Additional Central Generation Capacity, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
  • Total Cumulative Central Power Generation Capacity by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
  • Cumulative DER Distributed Generation Percentage of Cumulative Central Capacity, Middle East & Africa: 2020-2030
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