1Q 2019

Global DER Deployment Database

Distributed Generation, Distributed Energy Storage, DERMS, EV Charging Loads, Demand Response, and Energy Efficiency: Global Market Forecasts

The proliferation of distributed energy resources (DER) will be among the most disruptive trends to the traditional energy industry over the next decade. Most energy companies and utilities are already wrestling with revenue erosion due to energy efficiency, demand-side optimization, and solar PV. As deployments of distributed generation and energy storage, plug-in EVs (PEVs), and microgrids gain further traction, the impact on incumbent revenue will become more pronounced.

The global electric power industry is facing transformation from centralized generation toward a more decentralized grid with two-way energy flows, known as the Energy Cloud. The Energy Cloud consists of a mix of DER technology and smart grid solutions poised to disrupt traditional utility models for end consumers. According to Navigant Research estimates, new global DER capacity deployments—including distributed generation, DER, PEV charging load, demand response, and energy efficiency—are outpacing the deployment of new centralized generation capacity.

This Navigant Research report covers DER technologies grouped in six distinct parts of the value chain that generate, manage, and consume electricity. The study provides technology capacity and revenue forecasts for 12 leading DER technology markets globally. It provides data on countries and regions where the proliferation of these resources is expected to have the greatest influence by 2028, segmented by residential and other end consumers. The latter segment includes commercial, industrial, community/multifamily, institutional, military, and remote installations, grouped under the commercial and industrial (C&I) category in this report.

Pages 33
Tables | Charts | Figures 75
  • Which countries will represent the largest markets for distributed energy resources in the coming decade?
  • What mix of distributed energy resource technologies is expected in different countries and regions?
  • What are the key drivers for different distributed energy resource technologies around the world?
  • How are distributed energy resource technologies evolving in terms of cost and integration into the grid?
  • What are the major distributed energy resource developments in each global region to date?
  • How will distributed energy resources deployments displace traditional, centralized generation around the world?
  • Solar developers, installers, and operators
  • Genset and microturbine vendors
  • Fuel cell and microgrid vendors
  • EV charging vendors and service providers
  • Energy suppliers, utilities, and grid operators
  • Energy service companies (ESCOs)
  • Government agencies
  • Investor community

1. Executive Summary

1.1   Market Overview

1.2   Scope and Segmentation

1.3   Market Forecast

2. Market Issues

2.1   Introduction

2.2   Technology Trends

2.2.1   Distributed Generation

2.2.1.1   Diesel Gensets, Natural Gas Gensets, Fuel Cells, and Microturbines

2.2.1.2   Distributed Solar PV

2.2.1.3   Distributed Wind

2.2.2   DESS

2.2.3   DERMS

2.2.4   EV Charging Load

2.2.5   Demand Response

2.2.6   Energy Efficiency

3. Data Assumptions and Forecast Methodology

3.1   Forecast Philosophy

4. Market Forecasts

4.1   Introduction

4.2   Global Forecast

4.2.1   North America

4.2.2   Europe

4.2.3   Asia Pacific

4.2.4   Latin America

4.2.5   Middle East & Africa

4.3   Conclusions and Recommendations

5. Acronym and Abbreviation List

6. Table of Contents

7. Table of Charts and Figures

8. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

  • Distributed Generation as Percentage of Central Generation by Region, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Segment, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed C&I DER Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Residential DER Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity and Revenue by Technology, North America: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Country, North America: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity and Revenue by Technology, Europe: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Country, Europe: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity and Revenue by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Country, Asia Pacific: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity and Revenue by Technology, Latin America: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Country, Latin America: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity and Revenue by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2019-2028
  • DER Value Chain
  • Annual Installed C&I DER Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Residential DER Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual C&I DER Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual Residential DER Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, World Markets: 2018-2028
  • Annual Installed Central Power Capacity by Technology, World Markets: 2018-2028
  • Distributed Generation as Percentage of Central Generation, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed C&I DER Power Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Residential DER Power Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual C&I DER Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual Residential DER Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2018-2028
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Region, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Distributed Generation as Percentage of Central Generation by Region, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed C&I DER Power Capacity by Technology, North America: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Residential DER Power Capacity by Technology, North America: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Technology, North America: 2019-2028
  • Annual C&I DER Revenue by Technology, North America: 2019-2028
  • Annual Residential DER Revenue by Technology, North America: 2019-2028
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, North America: 2018-2028
  • Annual Installed Central Power Capacity by Technology, North America: 2019-2028
  • Distributed Generation as Percentage of Central Generation, North America: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed C&I DER Power Capacity by Technology, Europe: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Residential DER Power Capacity by Technology, Europe: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Technology, Europe: 2019-2028
  • Annual C&I DER Revenue by Technology, Europe: 2019-2028
  • Annual Residential DER Revenue by Technology, Europe: 2019-2028
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, Europe: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Central Power Capacity by Technology, Europe: 2019-2028
  • Distributed Generation as Percentage of Central Generation, Europe: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed C&I DER Power Capacity by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Residential DER Power Capacity by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2019-2028
  • Annual C&I DER Revenue by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2019-2028
  • Annual Residential DER Revenue by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2019-2028
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2018-2028
  • Annual Installed Central Power Capacity by Technology, Asia Pacific: 2019-2028
  • Distributed Generation as Percentage of Central Generation, Asia Pacific: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed C&I DER Power Capacity by Technology, Latin America: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Residential DER Power Capacity by Technology, Latin America: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Technology, Latin America: 2019-2028
  • Annual C&I DER Revenue by Technology, Latin America: 2019-2028
  • Annual Residential DER Revenue by Technology, Latin America: 2019-2028
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, Latin America: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Central Power Capacity by Technology, Latin America: 2019-2028
  • Distributed Generation as Percentage of Central Generation, Latin America: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed C&I DER Power Capacity by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Residential DER Power Capacity by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2019-2028
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2018-2028
  • Annual C&I DER Revenue by Technology, Middle East & Africa : 2019-2028
  • Annual Residential DER Revenue by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2019-2028
  • Annual Total DER Revenue by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2018-2028
  • Annual Installed Central Power Capacity by Technology, Middle East & Africa: 2019-2028
  • Distributed Generation as Percentage of Central Generation, Middle East & Africa: 2019-2028
  • DER Technologies Discussed
  • Segment Definitions
  • Regions
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