1Q 2019

High Speed Ground Transport Technologies Are Transforming Regional Mobility

The movement of people and goods by vehicle, ship, and airplane continues to contribute to rising congestion and greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions around the world. Limited options for intercity travel are restricting economic growth and regional mobility. High speed ground transport (HSGT) technologies such as high speed rail (HSR), magnetic levitation (maglev) trains, and hyperloops can link cities into economic megaregions while simultaneously helping to transform the transportation system to become more sustainable.

The proliferation of HSR has provided an economic boost and reduced short-haul air traffic across much of Europe and several countries in Asia Pacific, such as Japan and China. Maglev trains and hyperloops could extend these trends much further. However, maglev costs will need to be significantly reduced, and hyperloops will have to overcome a myriad of technological, safety, regulatory, and business model challenges to become a viable mass transport technology.

This Navigant Research report examines the evolving landscape of HSGT technologies and their viability for mainstream adoption. The study provides an overview of recent deployments and examines the impact of HSGT technologies on various industries (e.g., aviation, oil & gas, etc.). The report discusses future growth potential and examines the benefits that result from successful HSGT implementation. Recommendations are provided to cities and technology vendors to capitalize on the growth of HSGT technologies.

Pages 19
Tables | Charts | Figures 7
  • What is the current state of HSGT technologies, and what are their relative strengths and weaknesses?
  • How do HSGT technologies differ in terms of their market penetration and long-term potential?
  • What will the impacts of HSGT be on the broader transportation ecosystem and related industries?
  • What should HSR vendors do to protect against potential future losses to hyperloops and maglev trains?
  • What should airlines and oil companies do to offset their losses from HSGT?
  • How can hyperloop vendors be most successful?
  • How should governments support the development of HSGT?
  • Government agencies
  • City and regional transportation managers
  • Hyperloop and maglev suppliers
  • HSR companies
  • Airline companies
  • Communication equipment and infrastructure providers
  • Telecoms
  • Engineering service providers and IT players
  • Investor community

Spark

Context

Recommendations

High Speed Ground Transport Definitions

High Speed Ground Transport Technologies Are Evolving to Create Faster and More Sustainable Regional Mobility Systems

High Speed Rail Is Emerging as a Major Mode of High Tech Transport

Maglev Trains Have Struggled to Achieve Mainstream Adoption

Hyperloop Industry Nearing First Commercial Deployments

HSGT Technologies Differ Significantly in Market Penetration and Long-Term Potential

HSR Lines Will Continue Expansive Deployments

Maglev Trains Will Likely Remain a Niche Technology

Hyperloops Hold Significant Potential, but Major Hurdles Remain to Commercial Viability

HSGT Technologies Are Creating Megaregions of Economic Opportunity

HSGT Will Continue to Decrease Short-Haul Air Traffic and Vehicle Miles Traveled, Reducing Oil Consumption

The Sustainability of Transport Systems Will Be Improved and Accelerated through HSGT

What Does Navigant Research Recommend?

HSR Vendors Increase the Speed Capabilities of Trains, Use Higher Levels of Automation, Invest in Hyperloop Industry

Hyperloop Vendors Demonstrate Safety, Security, Economic Viability—Focus on Shipping Goods Initially

Airlines Reduce User Friction Points, Partner with HSGT Providers, and Electrify or Develop Cleaner Fuels to Protect Market Share

Oil Companies Should Pursue New Business Opportunities to Offset Losses from HSGT  

Governments Support the Widespread Adoption of HSGT Technologies and Work to Integrate HSGT with Other Transport Modes



  • Length of HSR Lines in Operation and Under Construction, Leading Countries (Maximum Speed Ranges from 186 mph to 217 mph)
  • Lo Series Maglev Train, Japan
  • Japan’s Chuo Shinkansen Maglev Route: Tokyo-Nagoya-Osaka
  • Length of Maglev Lines in Operation, All Speeds: 2019-2029
  • Hyperloop Length of Track, Base and Aggressive Scenarios, World Markets: 2020-2030
  • HSGT Technology Definitions
  • HSGT Technology Strengths and Weaknesses
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