2Q 2019

Market Data: EV Geographic Forecasts – Europe

European Plug-in EV Forecasts by Country and Region

With plug-in EV (PEV) sales on track for another record year in Europe and worldwide, understanding the geographic distribution and policies that influence PEV adoption is more important than ever for stakeholders. PEVs are increasingly being considered by more consumers as a top choice for their next vehicle purchase, more countries are implementing purchase incentives, and the price of PEV technologies continues to decline.

Model availability, consumer awareness, and infrastructure all pose challenges to PEV adoption in Europe, and globally. The number of models available in Europe is expected to increase in the next 3-5 years, especially with European automakers committing to transition to only hybrid and PEV models over the next several years. Challenges to adoption include lack of consumer awareness and charging infrastructure. However, charging technologies continue to advance, and Europe continues to see the development of public charging networks such as E.ON.

This Navigant Research report analyzes the European market conditions and country-level policies for PEVs. The study examines the next decade of the European PEV market with a specific focus on how government policies, vehicle and energy economics, and infrastructure will affect PEV population and sales growth. Sales and population forecasts of major European countries and regions by PEV powertrain type extend to 2030. Forecasts are provided by segment under conservative, base, and aggressive scenarios alongside historical data on battery EV (BEV), plug-in hybrid EV (PHEV), and overall light duty vehicle (LDV) sales and population.

Pages 26
Tables | Charts | Figures 34
  • How will the growth rates of plug-in EVs (PHEVs) and battery EVs (BEVs) vary by country and region across Europe?
  • How many light duty PHEVs and BEVs will be on the roads through 2030?
  • What are the implications of country-level policies on PEV adoption?
  • What key factors are driving growth in the light duty PEV market across Europe?
  • What challenges remain for the PEV market in Europe?
  • Automotive OEMs
  • Plug-in EV (PEV) component manufacturers and suppliers
  • PEV charging equipment manufacturers
  • Energy service companies (ESCOs)
  • Utilities
  • Government agencies
  • Industry associations
  • Investor community

1. Executive Summary

1.1   Introduction

1.2   Scope

1.3   Market Forecasts

2. Market Issues

2.1   Introduction

2.2   Drivers

2.2.1   Battery Innovations

2.2.2   Government Policies

2.2.3   Energy Economics

2.3   Challenges

2.3.1   Availability

2.3.2   Awareness

2.3.3   Infrastructure

3. Market Forecasts

3.1   Scope

3.2   Methodology

3.3   Overall Market and Population

3.4   Base Scenario

3.4.1   Western Europe

3.4.2   Northern Europe

3.4.3   Russia & Rest of Europe

3.5   Scenarios

3.6   Conclusions and Recommendations

4. Acronym and Abbreviation List

5. Table of Contents

6. Table of Charts and Figures

7. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

  • LD PEV Population by Powertrain, Base Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Major Country Market, Base Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD BEV Battery Pack Price Actual and Projection Range: 2010-2030
  • LDV Sales by Region, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Country, Western Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Country, Northern Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Specific Region, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Scenario, Europe: 2019-2030
  • Model Methodology to Evaluate PFCs in LDV Segments
  • European Regions for Forecasts
  • BEV Li-Ion Battery Pack Prices by Scenario, World Markets
  • Retail Fuel Prices by Country, Base Scenario: 2018
  • LDV Population by Country, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LDV Sales by Country, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Powertrain and Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD BEV Sales by Country, Conservative Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD BEV Sales by Country, Base Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD BEV Sales by Country, Aggressive Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD PHEV Sales by Country, Conservative Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD PHEV Sales by Country, Base Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD PHEV Sales by Country, Aggressive Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Powertrain and Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD BEV Population by Country, Conservative Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD BEV Population by Country, Base Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD BEV Population by Country, Aggressive Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD PHEV Population by Country, Conservative Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD PHEV Population by Country, Base Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD PHEV Population by Country, Aggressive Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD PEV Population by Region, Base Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • LD PEV Sales by Region, Base Scenario, Europe: 2015-2030
  • Government Policies Benefiting PEVs in European Markets
  • Sampling of Near-Term LD PEV Deployments, Europe: 2019-2022
  • Geographic Dimensions
  • Major Assumptions
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