2Q 2019

Market Data: Virtual Power Plants

Demand Response, Supply-Side, and Mixed Asset VPP Segment and Regional Forecasts for Capacity, Implementation Spending, and Market Revenue

Virtual power plants (VPPs) can help transform formerly passive consumers into active prosumers through integration and optimization of new technologies such as demand response (DR), solar PV systems, advanced batteries, and EVs. Prosumers become active participants in delivering services tailored to their own needs and preferences that also serve the larger grid. Navigant Research began covering VPPs in 2010. The three primary VPP segments first identified and labeled by Navigant Research and tracked over time are DR, supply-side, and mixed asset VPPs.

The global VPP market is shifting toward the mixed asset VPP model. VPPs can be viewed as a part of a trend often described as transactive energy (TE). This puts the value of the grid itself in a central role. It also involves the counterintuitive trend of customers self-generating and managing supply and demand at the premise. TE involves the free communication of information among parties, allowing them to exchange energy services. The TE market is expected to expand and grow more sophisticated.

This Navigant Research report analyzes capacity, implementation spending, and market revenue for three primary market segments. The study segments the VPP market by two customer applications: commercial and industrial (C&I) and residential customers. Global market forecasts extend from 2019 to 2028 and are based on a number of key assumptions. The report also provides a total VPP forecast for five countries deemed key markets: US, Germany, UK, Australia, and Japan.
Pages 37
Tables | Charts | Figures 42
  • What is a virtual power plant (VPP)?
  • How do VPP market segments differ?
  • Which VPP market segments and regions are growing fastest?
  • How does implementation spending on VPPs compare to forecasted market revenue?
  • Which regions are leading the VPP market?
  • How do market opportunities compare between commercial and industrial (C&I) versus residential customers?
  • Which countries have the best VPP opportunities?
  • Grid operators
  • Utilities
  • Energy management software providers
  • Demand response and IoT vendors
  • Energy storage companies
  • DERMS providers
  • C&I customers
  • Investor community

1. Executive Summary

1.1   The Emerging Virtual Power Plant Market Landscape

1.2   VPP Market Segments

2. Data Assumptions

2.1   Virtual Power Plant Market Overview

2.1.1   Distributed Energy Resources Adoption Trends

2.2   Key Market Drivers

2.2.1   The Shift from Smart to Neural Grid

2.2.2   The Evolution of IoT

2.2.3   Organized Markets for Ancillary Services

2.3   Key Market Barriers

2.3.1   Dependence on Structured Markets

2.3.2   Standards, Certifications, and Property Rights

2.3.3   Grid Independence Movement

3. Market Issues

3.1   Market Overview, Methodology, and Market Segmentation

3.2   Forecast Methodology: Capacity Forecasts Are Starting Point

3.2.1   Implementation Spending

3.2.2   Market Revenue

3.3   Three Primary VPP Market Segments

3.3.1   DR-VPPs

3.3.2   Supply-Side VPPs

3.3.3   Mixed-Asset VPPs

3.4   C&I Customer VPP Capacity

3.5   Residential Customer VPP Capacity

3.6   Selected County VPP Markets

3.7   Conclusions and Recommendations

4. Acronym and Abbreviation List

5. Table of Contents

6. Table of Charts and Figures

7. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

  • Moving from Smart Grid to Neural Grid
  • Total VPP Market Revenue, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • VPP Tracker Data: VPP Cumulative Segment Project Count, World Markets: 2Q 2019
  • Annual Installed Total DER Power Capacity by Region, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Annual Residential IoT Hardware Shipments by Device Type, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • VPP Tracker Data: VPP Cumulative Segment Capacity, World Markets: 2Q 2019
  • DR-VPP Capacity and Implementation Spending, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • DR-VPP Market Revenue, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Supply-Side VPP Capacity and Implementation Spending, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Supply-Side VPP Market Revenue, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Mixed-Asset VPP Capacity and Implementation Spending, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Mixed-Asset VPP Market Revenue, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • C&I VPP Capacity and Implementation Spending, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • C&I VPP Market Revenue, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Residential VPP Capacity and Implementation Spending, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Residential VPP Market Revenue, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Select Five Country VPP Market Capacity and Implementation Spending: 2019-2028
  • Select Five Country VPP Market Revenue: 2019-2028
  • Total VPP Capacity and Implementation Spending, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Assumptions Underlying VPP Market Forecasts
  • Select Five County VPP Market Revenue: 2019 and 2028
  • Total VPP Capacity, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Total VPP Implementation Spending, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Total VPP Market Revenue, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • DR-VPP Capacity, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • DR-VPP Implementation Spending, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • DR-VPP Market Revenue, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Supply-Side VPP Capacity, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Supply-Side VPP Implementation Spending, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Supply-Side VPP Market Revenue, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Mixed-Asset VPP Capacity, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Mixed-Asset VPP Implementation Spending, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Mixed-Asset VPP Market Revenue, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • C&I VPP Capacity, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • C&I VPP Implementation Spending, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • C&I VPP Market Revenue, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Residential VPP Capacity, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Residential VPP Implementation Spending, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Residential VPP Market Revenue, World Markets: 2019-2028
  • Select Five Country VPP Market Capacity: 2019-2028
  • Select Five Country VPP Market Implementation Spending: 2019-2028
  • Select Five Country VPP Market Revenue: 2019-2028
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