Automotive Fuel Efficiency Strategies

Fuel Delivery Systems, Boosting, Diesel, Advanced Transmission Technologies, Materials, and Aerodynamics: Global Market Analysis and Forecasts

Automakers and suppliers around the world are faced with the challenge of meeting increasingly aggressive regulatory mandates to improve fuel efficiency and reduce greenhouse gas (GHG) emissions. While electric propulsion addresses both issues, consumer acceptance, cost, and infrastructure support remain challenges to mass adoption in the near to mid term. In many markets and for many applications, internal combustion engines (ICEs) remain the preferred choice in terms of acquisition cost, convenience, and capability.

Thus, the industry must develop the most cost-effective technologies possible that provide the greatest improvement in efficiency and emissions to maintain vehicle affordability. Advancements in electronic controls, real-time sensing, and actuation systems are enabling continuing enhancements to the thermodynamic efficiency of the ICE. Engine right-sizing, improved drivelines (more transmission ratios and reduced friction), mass reduction, and aerodynamics are also providing low cost gains. As electrified propulsion systems, including hybrid and plug-in electrics, gain market share, gasoline engines will likely take an increasing share of the remaining conventional ICE sales. Concerns about diesel emissions and threats to ban diesel from many urban areas are projected to cause a plateauing of volumes in the early 2020s as manufacturers shift to more efficient gasoline ICEs.

This Navigant Research report examines the market for technologies to improve the energy efficiency of vehicles with ICEs and low voltage electrified propulsion, with a focus on engine technologies and materials. The study provides an analysis of how these technologies are likely to be adopted based on cost and effectiveness and how they will affect OEMs, hardware and software suppliers, and policymakers. Global market forecasts of adoption for a range of efficiency improving technologies for light duty vehicles, segmented by region, extend through 2026. The report also provides a review of major market drivers and barriers related to automotive fuel efficiency strategies and key industry players within the competitive landscape.

Key Questions Addressed:
  • How big is the potential market for advanced engine systems, including dual fuel and direct fuel injection, boosting, and diesel?
  • How big is the potential market for advanced drivelines, lightweight materials, and camera-based mirrors?
  • What are the key forces driving each of these technologies?
  • What are the roadblocks to the adoption of certain technologies for achieving cost-effective improvements in fuel economy?
  • What the pros and cons of the various technologies?
  • Which companies are developing these technologies and are likely to play a crucial role?
Who needs this report?
  • Automobile OEMs
  • Fleet operators
  • Tier One, Two, and aftermarket automotive hardware and software suppliers
  • Government regulators
  • Investor community

Table of Contents

1. Executive Summary

1.1   Introduction

1.2   Key Technologies

1.3   Market Drivers

1.4   Technology Forecasts

1.4.1   Forecast Highlight

2. Market and Technology Issues

2.1   Regulations

2.1.1   North America

2.1.2   Europe

2.1.3   Asia Pacific

2.2   Technology

2.2.1   Propulsion Systems

2.2.1.1   Internal Combustion

2.2.1.1.1.   Gasoline Spark Ignition

2.2.1.1.2.   Gasoline Compression Ignition

2.2.1.1.3.   Diesel Compression Ignition

2.2.1.1.4.   Variable Compression

2.2.1.2   Alternative Combustion Cycles

2.2.1.2.1.   Atkinson Cycle

2.2.1.2.2.   Miller Cycle

2.2.1.3   Cylinder Deactivation

2.2.1.4   High Octane Fuels

2.2.1.5   Alternative Engine Architectures

2.2.1.5.1.   Wankel Rotary

2.2.1.5.2.   Opposed Piston

2.2.2   Transmissions and Drivelines

2.2.2.1   Manual

2.2.2.2   Multi-Clutch Automatic

2.2.2.3   Advanced Multi-Speed Automatic

2.2.2.4   Continuously Variable

2.2.2.5   Optimized Drivelines

2.2.3   Fuel Delivery

2.2.3.1   Port Fuel Injection

2.2.3.2   Gasoline Direct Injection

2.2.3.3   Dual Injection

2.2.4   Boosting

2.2.4.1   Mechanical Supercharging

2.2.4.2   Exhaust Turbocharging

2.2.4.3   E-Boosting

2.2.5   Electrification

2.2.5.1   Auto Stop-Start

2.2.5.2   48V Systems

2.2.5.2.1.   Micro-Hybrid

2.2.5.2.2.   Mild Hybrid

2.2.5.2.3.   48V System Market Demand

2.2.5.3   Accessory System Electrification

2.2.5.3.1.   Climate Control

2.2.5.3.2.   Pumps

2.2.5.3.3.   Active Suspension

2.2.6   Energy Recuperation

2.2.6.1   Kinetic

2.2.6.2   Thermal

2.2.7   Materials

2.2.8   Aerodynamics

2.2.8.1   Active Aerodynamics

2.2.8.2   Camera-Based Mirrors

2.2.8.3   Wind Tunnels and Development Tools

2.2.9   Predictive Navigation

3. Key Industry Players

3.1   OEMs

3.1.1   BMW Group

3.1.2   Daimler

3.1.3   Fiat Chrysler Automobiles (FCA)

3.1.4   Ford

3.1.5   Geely

3.1.6   General Motors

3.1.7   Honda Motor Company

3.1.8   Hyundai Motor Group

3.1.9   Mazda

3.1.10   Renault-Nissan Alliance

3.1.11   PSA

3.1.12   SAIC

3.1.13   Toyota

3.1.14   Volkswagen Group

3.2   Suppliers

3.2.1   A123 Systems

3.2.2   AAM Inc.

3.2.3   Achates Power

3.2.4   BorgWarner

3.2.5   Bosch

3.2.6   Continental Automotive

3.2.7   Denso

3.2.8   Delphi

3.2.9   Johnson Controls

3.2.10   Magna International

3.2.11   Valeo

4. Market Forecasts

4.1   Introduction

4.2   ICE Powertrain Forecasts

4.2.1   Advanced Gasoline ICE

4.2.1.1   Fuel Delivery Systems

4.2.1.2   Boosting

4.2.2   Diesel

4.3   Transmission and Driveline

4.3.1   Advanced Multi-Speed Transmissions

4.3.2   CVTs

4.4   Materials

4.5   Aerodynamics

4.5.1   Camera-Based Mirrors

4.6   Conclusions and Recommendations

5. Acronym and Abbreviation List
6. Table of Contents
7. Table of Charts and Figures
8. Scope of Study, Sources and Methodology, Notes

List of Charts and Figures

  • Infiniti Variable Compression Ratio Engine
  • 2017 Audi SQ7 Electric Power Compressor or E-Charger
  • 48V Mild Hybrid Benefits
  • 2017 Mercedes-Benz 48V Mild Hybrid Integrated Starter-Generator
  • Audi Electromechanical Rotary Damper
  • Annual SSV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • Annual 48V System Sales by Region, World Markets: 2016-2025
  • LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Sales by Powertrain, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Gasoline Sales by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Gasoline Direct Fuel Injection by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Gasoline Dual Fuel Injection by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Gasoline Turbocharging Adoption by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Diesel Sales by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDVs with Advanced Multi-Speed Transmissions by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDVs with CVTs by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Total Aluminum Use by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Total Composite Use by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDVs with Camera-Based Mirrors by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • SSV Sales by Region, Base Scenario, World Markets: 2017-2026

List of Tables

  • Estimated LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2012-2016
  • Estimated ICEV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2012-2016
  • Estimated SSV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2012-2016
  • Estimated HEV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2012-2016
  • Estimated PHEV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2012-2016
  • Estimated BEV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2012-2016
  • Estimated FCV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2012-2016
  • Estimated NGV Sales and Conversions by Region, World Markets: 2012-2016
  • Estimated PAGV Sales and Conversions by Region, World Markets: 2012-2016
  • LDV Sales by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Diesel Sales by Region and Scenario, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Gasoline Sales by Region and Scenario, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • SSV Sales by Region and Scenario, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Gasoline Direct Fuel Injection by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Gasoline Dual Fuel Injection by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Gasoline Turbocharging Adoption by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDVs with Advanced Multi-Speed Transmissions by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDVs with CVT by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Average Aluminum Use per Vehicle by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Total Aluminum Use by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Average Composite Use per Vehicle by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDV Total Composite Use by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026
  • LDVs with Camera-Based Mirrors by Region, World Markets: 2017-2026

Report Details

  • Pages: 66
  • Tables, Charts,
    Figures:
    43
  • Release Date: 2Q 2017
  • Release File(s): PDF* and Excel *Indicates primary report file.

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